Sebastian Baez and Thiago Moura Monteiro will square off in the quarter of the Rio Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:30 pm on QUADRA GUGA KUERTEN. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.5
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 2.6
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Thiago Moura Monteiro
This will be the 5th time that Sebastian Baez and Thiago Moura Monteiro face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Baez (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on clay.
The last time that they played, Baez won 7-5 3-6 6-4 in the quarter in Santiago back in 2022.
Highlights Sebastian Baez vs Thiago Moura Monteiro – Santiago 25-February-2022
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-16 | 3-5 | 20-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-13 | 10-3 | 18-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Baez reached the quarter after beating Corentin Moutet 6-4 6-3 and Facundo Diaz Acosta 7-61 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Baez had a good straight sets win against Diaz Acosta (7-61 6-3). During the match, Baez scored 75 points vs Diaz Acosta’s 62. Baez was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Baez scored 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Sebastian Baez was exceptionally effective on serve to win 74% (34/46) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Baez broke Diaz Acosta twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Baez hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Baez has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 65% of his matches (229-126). 7-2 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Baez has a compiled193-80 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
Sebastian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Cordoba.
Baez has a composed 9-5 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Thiago Moura Monteiro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-13 | 0-1 | 21-10 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-30 | 3-7 | 30-22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-33 | 8-8 | 28-16 | 4-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-27 | 8-8 | 25-18 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-18 | 7-9 | 20-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 117, the Brazilian reached the quarter after beating Carlos Alcaraz 1-1 ret. and Felipe Meligeni Alves 7-5 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Meligeni Alves (7-5 6-3). During the match Moura Monteiro scored 70 points vs Meligeni Alves’s 58. Moura Monteiro was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Moura Monteiro scored 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Thiago Moura Monteiro was quite efficient on serve to win 78% (29/37) of his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Brazilian broke Meligeni Alves 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Moura Monteiro has a composed 7-2 win-loss record in 2024, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2017. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Baez | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 41 | 23 |
| Pts | 146-119 | 76-63 |
| Total Points | 265 | 139 |
| Winners | 66 | 30 |
| %Winners | 45% | 39% |
Both Baez and Moura Monteiro played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Baez and Moura Monteiro have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Baez played 18 games more than Moura Monteiro. Sebastian scored 66 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Moura Monteiro bagged 30 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Baez | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 94/133 | 40/69 |
| %1st in | 71% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 66/94 | 30/40 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 22/39 | 16/29 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 55% |
Baez fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Moura Monteiro made 6 aces (3 per match). Baez won 70% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Moura Monteiro won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Baez | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/18 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 |
| Saved | 3 | 0 |
| % Saved | 50% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Sebastian broke his opponents 6 times with a 33% conversion rate. Baez surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Moura Monteiro broke his opponents 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Thiago conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Baez | ||||
| R1 Moutet |
R2 Diaz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-61 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 41 | |
| pts | 71-57 | 75-62 | 146-119 | |
| Total points | 128 | 137 | 265 | |
| Winners | 32 | 34 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 48/65 | 46/68 | 94/133 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 68% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 32/48 | 34/46 | 66/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 74% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 13/22 | 22/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 59% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 2/9 | 6/18 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 22% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 0/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 0% | 30% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Moura Monteiro | ||||
| R1 Alcaraz |
R2 Meligeni Alves |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-1 ret. | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 2 | 21 | 23 | |
| pts | 6-5 | 70-58 | 76-63 | |
| Total points | 11 | 128 | 139 | |
| Winners | 1 | 29 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 17% | 41% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 3/6 | 37/63 | 40/69 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 59% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 1/3 | 29/37 | 30/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 33% | 78% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 1/3 | 15/26 | 16/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 58% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Converted | 1/1 | 3/7 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 43% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLWWLW
LLWLWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Rio De Janeiro
- Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul – Julian Cash/Robert GallowayCash/Robert Galloway (6-4 3-6 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nicolas Barrientos/Rafael MatosBarrientos/Rafael Matos – Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz (3-6 7-65 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Dusan LajovicLajovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
