Sorana Cirstea and Jasmine Paolini will face off in the semifinal of the Dubai Duty Free Championships for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sorana Cirstea who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sorana Cirstea is the pick to win this match.
Sorana Cirstea -> 1.7
Jasmine Paolini -> 2.16

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Prediction and head to head Sorana Cirstea vs. Jasmine Paolini

This will be the 3rd time that Sorana Cirstea and Jasmine Paolini square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Paolini (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Paolini won 7-5 2-6 6-2 in the 1st round in at the French Open back in 2023.

Highlights Jasmine Paolini vs Sorana Cirstea – French Open 30-May-2023

Sorana Cirstea

Sorana Cirstea

7 - 6win/loss

Hard
7-6
I Hard
0-0
Rank
70
High
21
LLLLLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 12-16 9-8 3-5 0-0 0-3 0-0
2023 31-22 21-14 7-4 0-1 3-3 0-0
2022 22-21 10-10 4-6 4-2 4-3 0-0
2021 24-18 11-10 11-3 0-2 2-3 0-0
2020 15-10 14-6 0-2 1-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 22, Sorana reached the semifinal after defeating Sofia Kenin 6-3 7-62, Veronika Kudermetova 6-1 6-4, Donna Vekic 3-6 6-3 7-5 and Marketa Vondrousova 2-6 7-61 6-2.

In the quarter against Vondrousova, The Romanian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-61 6-2). During the match, Cirstea scored 124 points vs Vondrousova’s 118. Cirstea was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about the service games, Cirstea bagged 7 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Sorana Cirstea lost the serve 5 times and she saved 15 break points. Furthermore, Cirstea put 59% of her first serves in, winning 65% (43/66) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (19/45) on the 2nd serve. The Romanian broke Vondrousova 5 times after converting 22% of her break points (5/23).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sorana has dropped 2 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points she played.

Cirstea has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 54% of her matches (224-189). 7-5 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Cirstea has a composed 111-87 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The Romanian has a composed 7-5 win-loss record in 2024, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Dubai

Dubai
Cirstea's Record

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

8 - 5win/loss

Hard
8-4
I Hard
0-1
Rank
4
High
4
LWLLWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 41-21 19-10 12-5 2-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 26, the Italian got to the semifinal after defeating Beatriz Haddad Maia 4-6 6-4 6-0, Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-3 6-4, Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-2 and Elena Rybakina w/o.

In the quarter, Paolini defeated Rybakina (w/o). During the match Paolini and Rybakina scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 22 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Italian was not very aggressive do strike just winners.

About the serving games, Paolini was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jasmine Paolini conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jasmine has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Paolini has an aggregate 7-5 win-loss record in 2024, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Dubai

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See her history.

Dubai
Paolini's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

S.Cirstea
J.Paolini
!
8h:08
8h:08
Time on court​
4h:56
4h:56
!
2h:41
2h:41
Last match​
1h:21
1h:21
!
4
4
Match played
3
3
98
98
Games Played​
63
63
10
10
Set played​​
7
7
366
366
Total points​
210
210
91.5
91.5
Avg point​
70
70
144
144
Winners
97
97
36
36
Avg Winners​
32.3
32.3
39%
39%
Ratio winners
46%
46%
-- Serve --
38
38
Aces
3
3
9.5
9.5
Avg Aces
1
1
4
4
Double Faults
6
6
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2
2
144/205
144/205
1st won total​
97/158
97/158
70%
70%
1st won %
61%
61%
52/122
52/122
2nd won total​
26/50
26/50
43%
43%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
18/49
18/49
BP won
16/20
16/20
4.5/12.3
4.5/12.3
Avg BP won
5.3/6.7
5.3/6.7
37%
37%
Won
!
80%
80%
33
33
Conceded
25
25
8.3
8.3
Avg Conceded
8.3
8.3
13
13
Broken
8
8
3.3
3.3
Avg Broken
2.7
2.7
20
20
Saved
17
17

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Cirstea Paolini
Match played 4 3
Tot Set 10 7
Tot Games 98 63
Pts 366-322 210-179
Total Points 688 389
Winners 144 97
%Winners 39% 46%

Cirstea played 4 matches while Paolini competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Sorana Cirstea surrendered 2 sets, while Jasmine Paolini conceded 1 set. Cirstea has played 3 sets more than Paolini (10 vs 7). Therefore, Cirstea played 35 games more than Paolini. The Romanian scored 144 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Jasmine fired 97 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve Cirstea Paolini
Aces 38 3
Avg per match 9.5 1
1st in 205/327 158/208
%1st in 63% 76%
1st pts 144/205 97/158
%1st pts 70% 61%
2nd pts 52/122 26/50
%2nd pts 43% 52%

Cirstea scored 38 aces (9.5 per match). Paolini struck 3 aces (1 per match). Cirstea won 70% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 61% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Cirstea Paolini
Won 18 16
Converted 18/49 16/20
% Converted 37% 80%
Conceded 33 25
Saved 20 17
% Saved 61% 68%
Times Broken 13 8

Cirstea broke her opponents 18 times with a 37% conversion rate. Cirstea conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded. Paolini broke her opponents 16 times with a 80% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.

Cirstea
R1
Kenin
R2
Kudermetova
R3
Vekic
1/4
Vondrousova
Total
Score 6-3 7-62 6-1 6-4 3-6 6-3 7-5 2-6 7-61 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 3 3 10
Tot Games 22 17 30 29 98
pts 86-70 63-49 93-85 124-118 366-322
Total points 156 112 178 242 688
Winners 37 31 33 43 144
%Winners 43% 49% 35% 35% 39%
SERVE
Aces 18 8 5 7 38
Double Faults 0 1 2 1 4
1st in 50/72 42/61 47/83 66/111 205/327
% 1st in 69% 69% 57% 59% 63%
1st pts 37/50 31/42 33/47 43/66 144/205
% 1st pts 74% 74% 70% 65% 70%
2nd pts 12/22 6/19 15/36 19/45 52/122
% 2nd pts 55% 32% 42% 42% 43%
Breaks
Won 2 5 6 5 18
Converted 2/9 5/8 6/9 5/23 18/49
Converted % 22% 63% 67% 22% 37%
Conceded 1 6 6 20 33
Saved 0/1 4/6 1/6 15/20 20
Saved % 0% 67% 17% 75% 40%
Times Broken 1 2 5 5 13
Paolini
R1
Haddad Maia
R2
Annie
R3
Sakkari
1/4
Rybakina
Total
Score 4-6 6-4 6-0 6-3 6-4 6-4 6-2 w/o
Tot Set 3 2 2 7
Tot Games 26 19 18 63
pts 79-68 70-63 61-48 210-179
Total points 147 133 109 389
Winners 43 34 20 97
%Winners 54% 49% 33% 46%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 0 3
Double Faults 3 3 0 6
1st in 60/78 57/75 41/55 158/208
% 1st in 77% 76% 75% 76%
1st pts 43/60 34/57 20/41 97/158
% 1st pts 72% 60% 49% 61%
2nd pts 8/18 7/18 11/14 26/50
% 2nd pts 44% 39% 79% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 5 6 16
Converted 5/6 5/7 6/7 16/20
Converted % 83% 71% 86% 80%
Conceded 6 11 8 25
Saved 4/6 8/11 5/8 17
Saved % 67% 73% 63% 51%
Times Broken 2 3 3 8

Tennis Scores in Dubai

Upcoming matches in the draw