Sorana Cirstea and Jasmine Paolini will face off in the semifinal of the Dubai Duty Free Championships for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sorana Cirstea who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sorana Cirstea is the pick to win this match.
Sorana Cirstea -> 1.7
Jasmine Paolini -> 2.16
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Prediction and head to head Sorana Cirstea vs. Jasmine Paolini
This will be the 3rd time that Sorana Cirstea and Jasmine Paolini square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Paolini (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Paolini won 7-5 2-6 6-2 in the 1st round in at the French Open back in 2023.
Highlights Jasmine Paolini vs Sorana Cirstea – French Open 30-May-2023
Sorana Cirstea
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-16 | 9-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-22 | 21-14 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-21 | 10-10 | 4-6 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 11-10 | 11-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-10 | 14-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Sorana reached the semifinal after defeating Sofia Kenin 6-3 7-62, Veronika Kudermetova 6-1 6-4, Donna Vekic 3-6 6-3 7-5 and Marketa Vondrousova 2-6 7-61 6-2.
In the quarter against Vondrousova, The Romanian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-61 6-2). During the match, Cirstea scored 124 points vs Vondrousova’s 118. Cirstea was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Cirstea bagged 7 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Sorana Cirstea lost the serve 5 times and she saved 15 break points. Furthermore, Cirstea put 59% of her first serves in, winning 65% (43/66) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (19/45) on the 2nd serve. The Romanian broke Vondrousova 5 times after converting 22% of her break points (5/23).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sorana has dropped 2 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points she played.
Cirstea has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 54% of her matches (224-189). 7-5 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Cirstea has a composed 111-87 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Romanian has a composed 7-5 win-loss record in 2024, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, the Italian got to the semifinal after defeating Beatriz Haddad Maia 4-6 6-4 6-0, Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-3 6-4, Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-2 and Elena Rybakina w/o.
In the quarter, Paolini defeated Rybakina (w/o). During the match Paolini and Rybakina scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 22 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Italian was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
About the serving games, Paolini was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jasmine Paolini conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jasmine has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Paolini has an aggregate 7-5 win-loss record in 2024, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Cirstea | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 98 | 63 |
| Pts | 366-322 | 210-179 |
| Total Points | 688 | 389 |
| Winners | 144 | 97 |
| %Winners | 39% | 46% |
Cirstea played 4 matches while Paolini competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Sorana Cirstea surrendered 2 sets, while Jasmine Paolini conceded 1 set. Cirstea has played 3 sets more than Paolini (10 vs 7). Therefore, Cirstea played 35 games more than Paolini. The Romanian scored 144 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Jasmine fired 97 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Cirstea | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 38 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 9.5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 205/327 | 158/208 |
| %1st in | 63% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 144/205 | 97/158 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 52/122 | 26/50 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 52% |
Cirstea scored 38 aces (9.5 per match). Paolini struck 3 aces (1 per match). Cirstea won 70% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 61% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Cirstea | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 16 |
| Converted | 18/49 | 16/20 |
| % Converted | 37% | 80% |
| Conceded | 33 | 25 |
| Saved | 20 | 17 |
| % Saved | 61% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 13 | 8 |
Cirstea broke her opponents 18 times with a 37% conversion rate. Cirstea conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded. Paolini broke her opponents 16 times with a 80% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
| Cirstea | ||||||
| R1 Kenin |
R2 Kudermetova |
R3 Vekic |
1/4 Vondrousova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-62 | 6-1 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 7-5 | 2-6 7-61 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 98 | |
| pts | 86-70 | 63-49 | 93-85 | 124-118 | 366-322 | |
| Total points | 156 | 112 | 178 | 242 | 688 | |
| Winners | 37 | 31 | 33 | 43 | 144 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 49% | 35% | 35% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 18 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 38 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 50/72 | 42/61 | 47/83 | 66/111 | 205/327 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | 57% | 59% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 37/50 | 31/42 | 33/47 | 43/66 | 144/205 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | 70% | 65% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 6/19 | 15/36 | 19/45 | 52/122 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 32% | 42% | 42% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 5/8 | 6/9 | 5/23 | 18/49 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 63% | 67% | 22% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 33 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 4/6 | 1/6 | 15/20 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 67% | 17% | 75% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | |
| Paolini | ||||||
| R1 Haddad Maia |
R2 Annie |
R3 Sakkari |
1/4 Rybakina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-0 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | – | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 19 | 18 | – | 63 | |
| pts | 79-68 | 70-63 | 61-48 | – | 210-179 | |
| Total points | 147 | 133 | 109 | – | 389 | |
| Winners | 43 | 34 | 20 | – | 97 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 49% | 33% | – | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 0 | – | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 0 | – | 6 | |
| 1st in | 60/78 | 57/75 | 41/55 | – | 158/208 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 76% | 75% | – | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 43/60 | 34/57 | 20/41 | – | 97/158 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 60% | 49% | – | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 7/18 | 11/14 | – | 26/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 39% | 79% | – | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 6 | – | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/7 | 6/7 | – | 16/20 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 71% | 86% | – | 80% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 11 | 8 | – | 25 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 8/11 | 5/8 | – | 17 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 73% | 63% | – | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 3 | – | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLWWLW
WLWLLWLWWL Tennis Scores in Dubai
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Tristan LamasineLamasine (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Ignacio LonderoIgnacio Londero – Hugo DellienDellien (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (2-0) – H2H and prediction
