Brandon Nakashima and Mattia Bellucci will face off in the quarter of the Pau Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.39
Mattia Bellucci -> 2.79
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Mattia Bellucci
There is no head to head record between Brandon Nakashima and Mattia Bellucci since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44-21 | 11-5 | 13-7 | 11-4 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 90, Brandon reached the quarter after beating Joris De Loore 6-4 6-4 and James Kent Trotter 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Brandon had a good straight sets win against Kent Trotter (6-4 6-4). During the match, Nakashima scored 60 points vs Kent Trotter’s 47. Brandon was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nakashima managed to score 4 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Brandon Nakashima was exceptionally effective on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 76% (16/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Kent Trotter twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Nakashima has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (183-113). 10-3 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nakashima has an overall60-22 match record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he defeated Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.
Nakashima has an overall 18-5 win-loss record in 2024, 10-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Pau Challenger
Brandon has never competed in this tournament before.
Mattia Bellucci
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-22 | 8-9 | 5-2 | 5-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-6 | 13-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 190, Bellucci reached the quarter after defeating Matteo Martineau 6-3 7-65 and Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Mattia had a good straight sets win against Herbert (6-4 6-3). During the match Bellucci scored 65 points vs Herbert’s 49. Bellucci was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Bellucci managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Mattia Bellucci was quite efficient on serve to win 74% (23/31) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Herbert 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mattia hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Bellucci has a compiled 4-6 win-loss record in 2024, 3-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakashima | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 41 |
| Pts | 131-104 | 140-116 |
| Total Points | 235 | 256 |
| Winners | 55 | 55 |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% |
Both Nakashima and Bellucci played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Nakashima and Bellucci have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Nakashima played 1 game less than Bellucci. The American scored 55 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Bellucci fired 55 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakashima | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 72/116 | 78/124 |
| %1st in | 62% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 55/72 | 55/78 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 29/44 | 32/46 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 70% |
Nakashima recorded 15 aces (7.5 per match). Bellucci struck 6 aces (3 per match). Nakashima won 76% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Bellucci won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakashima | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 6 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 6/16 |
| % Converted | 56% | 38% |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Saved | 5 | 5 |
| % Saved | 83% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The American broke his opponents 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The American lost his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Mattia broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Bellucci conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nakashima | ||||
| R1 De Loore |
R2 Kent |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 40 | |
| pts | 71-57 | 60-47 | 131-104 | |
| Total points | 128 | 107 | 235 | |
| Winners | 31 | 24 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 4 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 42/65 | 30/51 | 72/116 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 59% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 24/30 | 55/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 80% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 16/21 | 29/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 76% | 66% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 2/6 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 33% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 0/0 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | – | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Bellucci | ||||
| R1 Martineau |
R2 Herbert |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-65 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 | 41 | |
| pts | 75-67 | 65-49 | 140-116 | |
| Total points | 142 | 114 | 256 | |
| Winners | 32 | 23 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 35% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 47/73 | 31/51 | 78/124 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 61% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 32/47 | 23/31 | 55/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 74% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/26 | 13/20 | 32/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 65% | 70% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 4/9 | 6/16 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 44% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 2/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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