Jordan Thompson and Alex Michelsen will fight against each other in the quarter of the Mifel Tennis Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:30 pm on ESTADIO MEXTENIS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jordan Thompson who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jordan Thompson is the pick to win this match.
Jordan Thompson -> 1.69
Alex Michelsen -> 2.18
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Prediction and head to head Jordan Thompson vs. Alex Michelsen
This will be the 2nd time that Jordan Thompson and Alex Michelsen play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Thompson (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Thompson won 6-4 6-2 in the final in the Rome Challenger back in 2023.
Jordan Thompson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-16 | 13-7 | 3-5 | 2-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-28 | 22-15 | 0-3 | 7-4 | 12-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-26 | 18-14 | 2-6 | 8-1 | 12-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-25 | 10-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 9-5 | 2-2 |
| 2020 | 12-13 | 6-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 40 (career-high), Thompson reached the quarter after defeating Ernesto Escobedo 6-4 6-3 and Emilio Nava 7-65 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Jordan had a good straight sets win against Nava (7-65 6-3). During the match, Thompson scored 84 points vs Nava’s 67. Thompson was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Thompson blasted 4 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Jordan Thompson was very effective on serve to win 81% (35/43) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jordan broke Nava twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Thompson has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (350-235). 8-4 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Thompson has a compiled 200-128 match record in the last years on hard.
The Australian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Brisbane.
The Australian has an aggregate 10-5 win-loss record in 2024, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Los Cabos
Alex Michelsen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-23 | 11-7 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 74, Michelsen got to the quarter after beating Constant Lestienne 6-3 7-63 and Alex De Minaur 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Michelsen had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (6-4 6-1). During the match Michelsen scored 61 points vs De Minaur’s 39. Alex was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Michelsen scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Alex Michelsen was very efficient on serve to win 76% (25/33) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alex broke De Minaur 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alex hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The American has a compiled 10-5 win-loss record in 2024, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Thompson | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 41 | 39 |
| Pts | 154-117 | 136-105 |
| Total Points | 271 | 241 |
| Winners | 63 | 54 |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% |
Both Thompson and Michelsen played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Thompson and Michelsen have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Thompson played 2 games more than Michelsen. The Australian scored 63 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Alex fired 54 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Thompson | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 80/118 | 75/123 |
| %1st in | 68% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 63/80 | 54/75 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 24/38 | 25/48 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 52% |
Thompson fired 12 aces (6 per match). Michelsen fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Thompson won 79% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Michelsen won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Thompson | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 8 |
| Converted | 6/20 | 8/17 |
| % Converted | 30% | 47% |
| Conceded | 10 | 13 |
| Saved | 9 | 9 |
| % Saved | 90% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Jordan broke his opponents 6 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Australian dropped his serve once and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Thompson | ||||
| R1 Escobedo |
R2 Nava |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 41 | |
| pts | 70-50 | 84-67 | 154-117 | |
| Total points | 120 | 151 | 271 | |
| Winners | 28 | 35 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 37/52 | 43/66 | 80/118 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 65% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 35/43 | 63/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 81% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 14/23 | 24/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 61% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 2/8 | 6/20 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 25% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 5/5 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 100% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Michelsen | ||||
| R1 Lestienne |
R2 De Minaur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-63 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 39 | |
| pts | 75-66 | 61-39 | 136-105 | |
| Total points | 141 | 100 | 241 | |
| Winners | 29 | 25 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 42/70 | 33/53 | 75/123 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 62% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 29/42 | 25/33 | 54/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 76% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/28 | 12/20 | 25/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 60% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/6 | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 67% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 | 13 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 4/5 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 80% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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