Alexander Bublik and Alexei Popyrin will play each other in the quarter of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Bublik is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.63
Alexei Popyrin -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Alexei Popyrin
This will be the 3rd time that Alexander Bublik and Alexei Popyrin clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Popyrin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Popyrin won 4-6 6-0 6-2 in the final in Singapore back in 2021.
Highlights Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander Bublik – Singapore 28-February-2021
Alexander Bublik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-17 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21 (career-high), Bublik reached the quarter after defeating Marton Fucsovics 2-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Fucsovics, Alexander recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Bublik scored 83 points vs Fucsovics’s 82. Alexander was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bublik managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 64% of his first serves in, winning 67% (37/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (14/31) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Fucsovics 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Bublik has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (317-231). 4-2 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bublik has a compiled 125-95 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Montpellier where he defeated Borna Coric in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3.
The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 9-3 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Alexei Popyrin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-22 | 17-8 | 4-8 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-29 | 18-14 | 15-6 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-31 | 7-16 | 7-4 | 3-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-26 | 13-11 | 8-6 | 10-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-16 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 46, the Australian reached the quarter after defeating Abedallah Shelbayh 3-6 6-3 6-4 and Hugo Grenier 7-63 6-78 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Popyrin defeated Grenier (7-63 6-78 6-1). During the match Popyrin scored 116 points vs Grenier’s 94. Alexei was extremely aggressive to blast 59 winners.
About the serving games, Popyrin blasted 14 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alexei Popyrin was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (59/75) of his 1st serve and 56% (20/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alexei broke Grenier 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Alexei has a composed 4-2 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bublik | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 61 |
| Pts | 83-82 | 208-179 |
| Total Points | 165 | 387 |
| Winners | 37 | 94 |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% |
Bublik played 1 match while Popyrin competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Bublik lost 1 set, while Alexei Popyrin lost 2 sets. Bublik has played 3 set(s) less than Popyrin (3 vs 6). Therefore, Bublik played 34 games less than Popyrin. Alexander scored 37 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Alexei fired 94 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bublik | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 12 |
| 1st in | 55/86 | 126/192 |
| %1st in | 64% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 37/55 | 94/126 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 14/31 | 39/66 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 59% |
Bublik made 5 aces . Popyrin struck 24 aces (12 per match). Bublik won 67% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bublik | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/11 | 6/13 |
| % Converted | 36% | 46% |
| Conceded | 7 | 10 |
| Saved | 3 | 7 |
| % Saved | 43% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
Bublik broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Alexander conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. Popyrin broke his opponents 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bublik | |||
| R2 Fucsovics |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 83-82 | 83-82 | |
| Total points | 165 | 165 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 55/86 | 55/86 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 37/55 | 37/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/31 | 14/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Popyrin | ||||
| R1 Shelbayh |
R2 Grenier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 7-63 6-78 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 33 | 61 | |
| pts | 92-85 | 116-94 | 208-179 | |
| Total points | 177 | 210 | 387 | |
| Winners | 35 | 59 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 51% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 14 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 51/81 | 75/111 | 126/192 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 68% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 35/51 | 59/75 | 94/126 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 79% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/30 | 20/36 | 39/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 56% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/4 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 75% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 4/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 80% | 140% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLLWLLL
LWWLLWLWWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrey RublevRublev – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Alexander BublikBublik (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Gael MonfilsMonfils (2-0) – H2H and prediction
