Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini will clash against each other in the quarter of the Dubai Duty Free Championships for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.32
Jasmine Paolini -> 3.4

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Jasmine Paolini

This will be the 3rd time that Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Paolini won 4-6 5-2 ret. in the 3rd round in Cincinnati back in 2023.

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina

17 - 3win/loss

Hard
17-3
I Hard
0-0
Rank
4
High
3
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 34-6 22-4 12-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 18-5 7-3 4-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 4, Elena reached the quarter after beating Victoria Azarenka 4-6 6-2 ret. and Magdalena Frech 7-65 3-6 6-4.

In the 3rd round, The Kazakhstani defeated Frech (7-65 3-6 6-4). During the match, Rybakina scored 108 points vs Frech’s 103. The Kazakhstani was exceptionally aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rybakina made 13 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 63% of her first serves in, winning 77% (50/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (17/39) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Frech 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).

Rybakina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 69% of her matches (306-135). 17-3 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has an overall 144-69 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Brisbane where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she beat Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4.

Rybakina has a composed 17-3 win-loss record in 2024, 17-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Dubai

Dubai
Rybakina's Record

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

7 - 5win/loss

Hard
7-4
I Hard
0-1
Rank
7
High
7
LWWWWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 22-11 12-6 10-4 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 26, the Italian got to the quarter after beating Beatriz Haddad Maia 4-6 6-4 6-0, Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-3 6-4 and Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-2.

In the 3rd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Sakkari (6-4 6-2). During the match Paolini scored 61 points vs Sakkari’s 48. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.

About the serving games, Paolini couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 75% of her first serves in, winning 49% (20/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 79% (11/14) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Sakkari 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

The Italian has a compiled 7-5 win-loss record in 2024, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Dubai

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See her history.

Dubai
Paolini's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Rybakina
J.Paolini
3h:57
3h:57
Time on court​
4h:56
4h:56
!
2h:39
2h:39
Last match​
1h:21
1h:21
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
50
50
Games Played​
63
63
6
6
Set played​​
7
7
163
163
Total points​
210
210
81.5
81.5
Avg point​
70
70
73
73
Winners
97
97
36.5
36.5
Avg Winners​
32.3
32.3
45%
45%
Ratio winners
46%
46%
-- Serve --
17
17
Aces
3
3
8.5
8.5
Avg Aces
1
1
2
2
Double Faults
6
6
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2
2
73/95
73/95
1st won total​
97/158
97/158
!
77%
77%
1st won %
61%
61%
28/60
28/60
2nd won total​
26/50
26/50
47%
47%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
5/13
5/13
BP won
16/20
16/20
2.5/6.5
2.5/6.5
Avg BP won
5.3/6.7
5.3/6.7
38%
38%
Won
!
80%
80%
12
12
Conceded
25
25
6
6
Avg Conceded
8.3
8.3
4
4
Broken
8
8
2
2
Avg Broken
2.7
2.7
8
8
Saved
17
17

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rybakina Paolini
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 6 7
Tot Games 50 63
Pts 163-155 210-179
Total Points 318 389
Winners 73 97
%Winners 45% 46%

Rybakina played 2 matches while Paolini competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina lost 2 sets, while Jasmine Paolini dropped 1 set. Rybakina has played 1 set(s) less than Paolini (6 vs 7). Therefore, Rybakina played 13 games less than Paolini. Rybakina scored 73 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Paolini scored 97 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rybakina Paolini
Aces 17 3
Avg per match 8.5 1
1st in 95/155 158/208
%1st in 61% 76%
1st pts 73/95 97/158
%1st pts 77% 61%
2nd pts 28/60 26/50
%2nd pts 47% 52%

Rybakina struck 17 aces (8.5 per match). Paolini bagged 3 aces (1 per match). Rybakina won 77% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 61% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rybakina Paolini
Won 5 16
Converted 5/13 16/20
% Converted 38% 80%
Conceded 12 25
Saved 8 17
% Saved 67% 68%
Times Broken 4 8

Elena broke her opponents 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The Italian broke her opponents 16 times with a 80% conversion rate. Jasmine conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
R2
Azarenka
R3
Frech
Total
Score 4-6 6-2 ret. 7-65 3-6 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 18 32 50
pts 55-52 108-103 163-155
Total points 107 211 318
Winners 23 50 73
%Winners 42% 46% 45%
SERVE
Aces 4 13 17
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 30/51 65/104 95/155
% 1st in 59% 63% 61%
1st pts 23/30 50/65 73/95
% 1st pts 77% 77% 77%
2nd pts 11/21 17/39 28/60
% 2nd pts 52% 44% 47%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/5 3/8 5/13
Converted % 40% 38% 38%
Conceded 3 9 12
Saved 2/3 6/9 8
Saved % 67% 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 3 4
Paolini
R1
Haddad Maia
R2
Annie
R3
Sakkari
Total
Score 4-6 6-4 6-0 6-3 6-4 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 2 7
Tot Games 26 19 18 63
pts 79-68 70-63 61-48 210-179
Total points 147 133 109 389
Winners 43 34 20 97
%Winners 54% 49% 33% 46%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 0 3
Double Faults 3 3 0 6
1st in 60/78 57/75 41/55 158/208
% 1st in 77% 76% 75% 76%
1st pts 43/60 34/57 20/41 97/158
% 1st pts 72% 60% 49% 61%
2nd pts 8/18 7/18 11/14 26/50
% 2nd pts 44% 39% 79% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 5 6 16
Converted 5/6 5/7 6/7 16/20
Converted % 83% 71% 86% 80%
Conceded 6 11 8 25
Saved 4/6 8/11 5/8 17
Saved % 67% 73% 63% 102%
Times Broken 2 3 3 8

Tennis Scores in Dubai

Upcoming matches in the draw