Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini will clash against each other in the quarter of the Dubai Duty Free Championships for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.32
Jasmine Paolini -> 3.4
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Jasmine Paolini
This will be the 3rd time that Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Paolini won 4-6 5-2 ret. in the 3rd round in Cincinnati back in 2023.
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Elena reached the quarter after beating Victoria Azarenka 4-6 6-2 ret. and Magdalena Frech 7-65 3-6 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The Kazakhstani defeated Frech (7-65 3-6 6-4). During the match, Rybakina scored 108 points vs Frech’s 103. The Kazakhstani was exceptionally aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina made 13 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 63% of her first serves in, winning 77% (50/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (17/39) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Frech 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Rybakina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 69% of her matches (306-135). 17-3 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has an overall 144-69 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Brisbane where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she beat Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4.
Rybakina has a composed 17-3 win-loss record in 2024, 17-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, the Italian got to the quarter after beating Beatriz Haddad Maia 4-6 6-4 6-0, Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-3 6-4 and Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Sakkari (6-4 6-2). During the match Paolini scored 61 points vs Sakkari’s 48. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.
About the serving games, Paolini couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 75% of her first serves in, winning 49% (20/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 79% (11/14) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Sakkari 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
The Italian has a compiled 7-5 win-loss record in 2024, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 63 |
| Pts | 163-155 | 210-179 |
| Total Points | 318 | 389 |
| Winners | 73 | 97 |
| %Winners | 45% | 46% |
Rybakina played 2 matches while Paolini competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina lost 2 sets, while Jasmine Paolini dropped 1 set. Rybakina has played 1 set(s) less than Paolini (6 vs 7). Therefore, Rybakina played 13 games less than Paolini. Rybakina scored 73 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Paolini scored 97 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 95/155 | 158/208 |
| %1st in | 61% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 73/95 | 97/158 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 28/60 | 26/50 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 52% |
Rybakina struck 17 aces (8.5 per match). Paolini bagged 3 aces (1 per match). Rybakina won 77% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 61% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 16 |
| Converted | 5/13 | 16/20 |
| % Converted | 38% | 80% |
| Conceded | 12 | 25 |
| Saved | 8 | 17 |
| % Saved | 67% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 8 |
Elena broke her opponents 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The Italian broke her opponents 16 times with a 80% conversion rate. Jasmine conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | ||||
| R2 Azarenka |
R3 Frech |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 ret. | 7-65 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 32 | 50 | |
| pts | 55-52 | 108-103 | 163-155 | |
| Total points | 107 | 211 | 318 | |
| Winners | 23 | 50 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 46% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 13 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 30/51 | 65/104 | 95/155 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 63% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 50/65 | 73/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 17/39 | 28/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 44% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 3/8 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 12 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 6/9 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Paolini | |||||
| R1 Haddad Maia |
R2 Annie |
R3 Sakkari |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-0 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 19 | 18 | 63 | |
| pts | 79-68 | 70-63 | 61-48 | 210-179 | |
| Total points | 147 | 133 | 109 | 389 | |
| Winners | 43 | 34 | 20 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 49% | 33% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 60/78 | 57/75 | 41/55 | 158/208 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 76% | 75% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 43/60 | 34/57 | 20/41 | 97/158 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 60% | 49% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 7/18 | 11/14 | 26/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 39% | 79% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/7 | 6/7 | 16/20 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 71% | 86% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 11 | 8 | 25 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 8/11 | 5/8 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 73% | 63% | 102% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLWLLWWW
WLWLLWLWWL Tennis Scores in Dubai
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- Tristan LamasineLamasine – Thiemo de Bakkerde Bakker (7-62 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Ignacio LonderoIgnacio Londero – Antoine HoangHoang (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Qinwen ZhengZheng (5-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (1-2) – H2H and prediction
