Jelena Ostapenko and Anna Kalinskaya will face off in the 3rd round of the Dubai Duty Free Championships for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 12:00 pm on Court 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.58
Anna Kalinskaya -> 2.39
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Anna Kalinskaya
This will be the 2nd time that Jelena Ostapenko and Anna Kalinskaya fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kalinskaya (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Kalinskaya won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Adelaide back in 2023.
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-11 | 13-6 | 8-5 | 4-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Jelena got to the 3rd round after defeating Xiyu Wang 5-7 6-2 6-3 and Lulu Sun 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Jelena had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-4 6-3). During the match, Ostapenko scored 69 points vs Sun’s 62. Ostapenko was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ostapenko struck 6 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko was very effective on serve to win 74% (28/38) of her 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jelena broke Sun twice after converting 22% of her break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jelena has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points she played.
Ostapenko has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (298-193). 12-3 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Ostapenko has a composed 131-101 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Linz where she defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova in the final 6-2 6-3.
Ostapenko has an aggregate 16-3 win-loss record in 2024, 12-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Anna Kalinskaya
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-11 | 18-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-18 | 16-15 | 7-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-20 | 22-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 19-12 | 3-7 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 8-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 40, Anna got to the 3rd round after defeating Rebeka Masarova 6-4 6-3, Kamilla Rakhimova 6-2 6-2, Storm Hunter 6-1 6-2 and Cristina Bucsa 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Bucsa (6-3 6-4). During the match Kalinskaya scored 66 points vs Bucsa’s 53. Anna was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Kalinskaya scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Anna Kalinskaya lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Kalinskaya put 75% of her first serves in, winning 63% (24/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Bucsa 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Kalinskaya has a compiled 12-4 win-loss record in 2024, 12-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 69 |
| Pts | 156-138 | 263-195 |
| Total Points | 294 | 458 |
| Winners | 57 | 118 |
| %Winners | 37% | 45% |
Ostapenko played 2 matches while Kalinskaya competed in 4 matches. Kalinskaya started her run from the qualifications while Ostapenko had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jelena Ostapenko lost 1 set while Anna Kalinskaya hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ostapenko has played 3 set(s) less than Kalinskaya (5 vs 8). Therefore, Ostapenko played 21 games less than Kalinskaya. The Latvian scored 57 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian scored 118 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 1.8 |
| 1st in | 75/142 | 170/232 |
| %1st in | 53% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 57/75 | 118/170 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 37/67 | 38/62 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 61% |
Ostapenko managed to score 8 aces (4 per match). Kalinskaya blasted 7 aces (1.8 per match). Ostapenko won 76% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Kalinskaya won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 15 |
| Converted | 8/24 | 15/38 |
| % Converted | 33% | 39% |
| Conceded | 6 | 22 |
| Saved | 3 | 20 |
| % Saved | 50% | 91% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Ostapenko broke her opponents 8 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Latvian surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Anna broke her opponents 15 times with a 39% conversion rate. Anna conceded her serve twice and she saved 91% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | ||||
| R1 Wang |
R2 Sun |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 19 | 48 | |
| pts | 87-76 | 69-62 | 156-138 | |
| Total points | 163 | 131 | 294 | |
| Winners | 29 | 28 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 41% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 37/73 | 38/69 | 75/142 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 55% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 29/37 | 28/38 | 57/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 74% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/36 | 18/31 | 37/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 58% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 2/9 | 8/24 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 22% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 2/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 100% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Kalinskaya | ||||||
| Q1 Masarova |
Q3 Rakhimova |
R1 Sanders |
R2 Bucsa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 69 | |
| pts | 79-67 | 61-44 | 57-31 | 66-53 | 263-195 | |
| Total points | 146 | 105 | 88 | 119 | 458 | |
| Winners | 34 | 29 | 31 | 24 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 48% | 54% | 36% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 52/72 | 39/59 | 41/50 | 38/51 | 170/232 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 66% | 82% | 75% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 34/52 | 29/39 | 31/41 | 24/38 | 118/170 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 74% | 76% | 63% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 11/20 | 5/9 | 8/13 | 38/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 55% | 56% | 62% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 2/11 | 4/7 | 4/6 | 5/14 | 15/38 | |
| Converted % | 18% | 57% | 67% | 36% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | |
| Saved | 9/9 | 7/7 | 4/4 | 0/2 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 150% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWLWWL
LWLLWLLWWW Tennis Scores in Dubai
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Lulu SunSun (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (6-72 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (4-6 6-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Peyton StearnsStearns (6-1 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Nao HibinoHibino (5-7 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sloane StephensStephens (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Petra MarticMartic (6-4 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Cristina BucsaBucsa (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (w/o) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (6-75 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Tatjana MariaMaria (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Emma NavarroNavarro (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Hugo DellienDellien – Jelle SelsSels (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Juan Ignacio LonderoIgnacio Londero – Roberto MarcoraMarcora (3-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Riccardo BellottiBellotti (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Antoine HoangHoang – Ivan GakhovGakhov (7-5 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Tristan LamasineLamasine – Filippo BaldiBaldi (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Martin CuevasCuevas (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Thiemo de Bakkerde Bakker – Elliot BenchetritBenchetrit (6-4 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (7-65 6-74 7-5) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sloane StephensStephens (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Tatjana MariaMaria (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Nao HibinoHibino (5-7 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (6-7(2) 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Lulu SunSun (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Cristina BucsaBucsa (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (4-6 6-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Donna VekicVekic (3-2) – H2H and prediction
