Nicolas Jarry and Facundo Diaz Acosta will face off in the final of the Argentina Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on COURT GUILLERMO VILAS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Jarry who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolas Jarry is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Jarry -> 1.74
Facundo Diaz Acosta -> 2.1
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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Jarry vs. Facundo Diaz Acosta
This will be the 4th time that Nicolas Jarry and Facundo Diaz Acosta fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Jarry (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Jarry won 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the qualifications in at the U.S. Open back in 2022.
Nicolas Jarry
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-13 | 7-5 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 14-7 | 21-8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 8-5 | 30-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-22 | 13-4 | 32-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, the Chilean got to the final after defeating Stan Wawrinka 6-73 6-2 7-65, Tomas Martin Etcheverry 4-6 7-5 ret. and Carlos Alcaraz 7-62 6-3.
In the semifinal, Nicolas had a good straight sets win against Alcaraz (7-62 6-3). During the match, Jarry scored 71 points vs Alcaraz’s 67. The Chilean was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Jarry blasted 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Nicolas Jarry lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Jarry put 69% of his first serves in, winning 74% (39/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Alcaraz twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nicolas has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.
Jarry has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (315-207). 3-0 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Jarry has an overall 225-113 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Nicolas’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Buenos Aires.
Jarry has a composed 7-3 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Buenos Aires
Facundo Diaz Acosta
9 - 4win/loss
64
47
LLWWWLLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15-12 | 2-4 | 13-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-25 | 4-4 | 46-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-21 | 0-1 | 31-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-30 | 7-4 | 36-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-12 | 10-7 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 87 (career-high), the Argentine reached the final after defeating Daniel Altmaier 6-3 7-61, Francisco Cerundolo 7-63 6-0, Dusan Lajovic 6-4 6-3 and Federico Coria 6-2 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Coria (6-2 6-3). During the match Diaz scored 63 points vs Coria’s 42. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Diaz made 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Facundo Diaz Acosta was quite effective on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Argentine broke Coria 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Diaz’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Buenos Aires.
The Argentine has a compiled 8-4 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Buenos Aires
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Jarry | Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 77 |
| Pts | 253-239 | 275-209 |
| Total Points | 492 | 484 |
| Winners | 115 | 110 |
| %Winners | 45% | 40% |
Jarry played 3 matches while Diaz competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Nicolas Jarry surrendered 2 sets while Facundo Diaz Acosta hasn’t conceded a set so far. Talking about their workload, Jarry and Diaz have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Jarry played 1 game more than Diaz. The Chilean scored 115 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Facundo managed to score 110 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Jarry | Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 7.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st in | 156/254 | 161/245 |
| %1st in | 61% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 115/156 | 110/161 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 50/98 | 48/84 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 57% |
Jarry scored 23 aces (7.7 per match). Diaz bagged 9 aces (2.3 per match). Jarry won 74% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Diaz won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Jarry | Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 17 |
| Converted | 9/19 | 17/35 |
| % Converted | 47% | 49% |
| Conceded | 21 | 19 |
| Saved | 15 | 12 |
| % Saved | 71% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 7 |
Nicolas broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. Nicolas surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Diaz broke his opponents 17 times with a 49% conversion rate. Facundo conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Jarry | |||||
| R2 Wawrinka |
1/4 Etcheverry |
1/2 Alcaraz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 6-2 7-65 | 4-6 7-5 ret. | 7-62 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 22 | 22 | 78 | |
| pts | 107-97 | 75-75 | 71-67 | 253-239 | |
| Total points | 204 | 150 | 138 | 492 | |
| Winners | 45 | 31 | 39 | 115 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% | 55% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 11 | 5 | 7 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 61/102 | 42/75 | 53/77 | 156/254 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 56% | 69% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 45/61 | 31/42 | 39/53 | 115/156 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/41 | 14/33 | 11/24 | 50/98 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 42% | 46% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/7 | 2/4 | 9/19 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 50% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 10 | 4 | 21 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 7/10 | 3/4 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 70% | 75% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| Diaz | ||||||
| R1 Altmaier |
R2 Cerundolo |
1/4 Lajovic |
1/2 Coria |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-61 | 7-63 6-0 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 77 | |
| pts | 80-67 | 71-56 | 61-44 | 63-42 | 275-209 | |
| Total points | 147 | 127 | 105 | 105 | 484 | |
| Winners | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 38% | 44% | 44% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 44/72 | 43/67 | 36/52 | 38/54 | 161/245 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 64% | 69% | 70% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 28/44 | 27/43 | 27/36 | 28/38 | 110/161 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 63% | 75% | 74% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/28 | 15/24 | 11/16 | 9/16 | 48/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 63% | 69% | 56% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/9 | 3/4 | 4/11 | 17/35 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 56% | 75% | 36% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 4/5 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 60% | 67% | 80% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (3-0) – H2H and prediction
