Nicolas Jarry and Facundo Diaz Acosta will face off in the final of the Argentina Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on COURT GUILLERMO VILAS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Jarry who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Nicolas Jarry is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Jarry -> 1.74
Facundo Diaz Acosta -> 2.1

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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Jarry vs. Facundo Diaz Acosta

This will be the 4th time that Nicolas Jarry and Facundo Diaz Acosta fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Jarry (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Jarry won 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the qualifications in at the U.S. Open back in 2022.

Nicolas Jarry

Nicolas Jarry

7 - 4win/loss

Hard
4-3
I Hard
0-0
Clay
3-1
Rank
36
High
16
LWLLWLLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 19-24 8-11 9-9 2-3 0-1 0-0
2023 43-21 14-7 21-8 4-3 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 8-5 30-16 0-2 0-0 0-0
2021 45-22 13-4 32-17 0-1 0-0 0-0
2020 1-7 1-6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 21, the Chilean got to the final after defeating Stan Wawrinka 6-73 6-2 7-65, Tomas Martin Etcheverry 4-6 7-5 ret. and Carlos Alcaraz 7-62 6-3.

In the semifinal, Nicolas had a good straight sets win against Alcaraz (7-62 6-3). During the match, Jarry scored 71 points vs Alcaraz’s 67. The Chilean was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about the service games, Jarry blasted 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Nicolas Jarry lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Jarry put 69% of his first serves in, winning 74% (39/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Alcaraz twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nicolas has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.

Jarry has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (315-207). 3-0 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Jarry has an overall 225-113 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Nicolas’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Buenos Aires.

Jarry has a composed 7-3 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Buenos Aires

Buenos Aires
Jarry's Record

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Facundo Diaz Acosta

9 - 4win/loss

Hard
2-3
I Hard
0-0
Clay
7-1
Rank
64
High
47
LLLLLWLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 19-22 3-8 16-10 0-3 0-1 0-0
2023 50-25 4-4 46-20 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 31-21 0-1 31-19 0-0 0-1 0-0
2021 43-30 7-4 36-26 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 22-12 10-7 12-5 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 87 (career-high), the Argentine reached the final after defeating Daniel Altmaier 6-3 7-61, Francisco Cerundolo 7-63 6-0, Dusan Lajovic 6-4 6-3 and Federico Coria 6-2 6-3.

In the semifinal, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Coria (6-2 6-3). During the match Diaz scored 63 points vs Coria’s 42. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Diaz made 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Facundo Diaz Acosta was quite effective on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Argentine broke Coria 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Diaz’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Buenos Aires.

The Argentine has a compiled 8-4 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Buenos Aires

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.

Buenos Aires
Diaz's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

N.Jarry
F.Diaz Acosta
7h:06
7h:06
Time on court​
6h:30
6h:30
1h:55
1h:55
Last match​
1h:24
1h:24
3
3
Match played
!
4
4
78
78
Games Played​
77
77
8
8
Set played​​
8
8
253
253
Total points​
275
275
84.3
84.3
Avg point​
68.8
68.8
115
115
Winners
110
110
38.3
38.3
Avg Winners​
27.5
27.5
45%
45%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
23
23
Aces
9
9
7.7
7.7
Avg Aces
2.3
2.3
8
8
Double Faults
9
9
2.7
2.7
Avg Double Faults
2.3
2.3
115/156
115/156
1st won total​
110/161
110/161
!
74%
74%
1st won %
68%
68%
50/98
50/98
2nd won total​
48/84
48/84
51%
51%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
9/19
9/19
BP won
17/35
17/35
3/6.3
3/6.3
Avg BP won
4.3/8.8
4.3/8.8
47%
47%
Won
49%
49%
21
21
Conceded
19
19
7
7
Avg Conceded
4.8
4.8
6
6
Broken
7
7
2
2
Avg Broken
1.8
1.8
15
15
Saved
12
12

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Jarry Diaz
Match played 3 4
Tot Set 8 8
Tot Games 78 77
Pts 253-239 275-209
Total Points 492 484
Winners 115 110
%Winners 45% 40%

Jarry played 3 matches while Diaz competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Nicolas Jarry surrendered 2 sets while Facundo Diaz Acosta hasn’t conceded a set so far. Talking about their workload, Jarry and Diaz have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Jarry played 1 game more than Diaz. The Chilean scored 115 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Facundo managed to score 110 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Jarry Diaz
Aces 23 9
Avg per match 7.7 2.3
1st in 156/254 161/245
%1st in 61% 66%
1st pts 115/156 110/161
%1st pts 74% 68%
2nd pts 50/98 48/84
%2nd pts 51% 57%

Jarry scored 23 aces (7.7 per match). Diaz bagged 9 aces (2.3 per match). Jarry won 74% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Diaz won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Jarry Diaz
Won 9 17
Converted 9/19 17/35
% Converted 47% 49%
Conceded 21 19
Saved 15 12
% Saved 71% 63%
Times Broken 6 7

Nicolas broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. Nicolas surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Diaz broke his opponents 17 times with a 49% conversion rate. Facundo conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Jarry
R2
Wawrinka
1/4
Etcheverry
1/2
Alcaraz
Total
Score 6-73 6-2 7-65 4-6 7-5 ret. 7-62 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 2 7
Tot Games 34 22 22 78
pts 107-97 75-75 71-67 253-239
Total points 204 150 138 492
Winners 45 31 39 115
%Winners 42% 41% 55% 45%
SERVE
Aces 11 5 7 23
Double Faults 3 3 2 8
1st in 61/102 42/75 53/77 156/254
% 1st in 60% 56% 69% 61%
1st pts 45/61 31/42 39/53 115/156
% 1st pts 74% 74% 74% 74%
2nd pts 25/41 14/33 11/24 50/98
% 2nd pts 61% 42% 46% 51%
Breaks
Won 4 3 2 9
Converted 4/8 3/7 2/4 9/19
Converted % 50% 43% 50% 47%
Conceded 7 10 4 21
Saved 5/7 7/10 3/4 15
Saved % 71% 70% 75% 72%
Times Broken 2 3 1 6
Diaz
R1
Altmaier
R2
Cerundolo
1/4
Lajovic
1/2
Coria
Total
Score 6-3 7-61 7-63 6-0 6-4 6-3 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 22 19 19 17 77
pts 80-67 71-56 61-44 63-42 275-209
Total points 147 127 105 105 484
Winners 28 27 27 28 110
%Winners 35% 38% 44% 44% 40%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 4 3 9
Double Faults 4 2 2 1 9
1st in 44/72 43/67 36/52 38/54 161/245
% 1st in 61% 64% 69% 70% 66%
1st pts 28/44 27/43 27/36 28/38 110/161
% 1st pts 64% 63% 75% 74% 68%
2nd pts 13/28 15/24 11/16 9/16 48/84
% 2nd pts 46% 63% 69% 56% 57%
Breaks
Won 5 5 3 4 17
Converted 5/11 5/9 3/4 4/11 17/35
Converted % 45% 56% 75% 36% 49%
Conceded 6 5 3 5 19
Saved 3/6 3/5 2/3 4/5 12
Saved % 50% 60% 67% 80% 86%
Times Broken 3 2 1 1 7

Upcoming matches in the draw