Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur will fight against each other in the final of the ABN AMRO Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.24
Alex De Minaur -> 4.1
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 7th time that Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur square off. The head to head is 6-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Sinner won 6-3 6-0 in the Rubber 2 in 2 back in 2023.
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 66-6 | 40-3 | 11-2 | 6-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 2-6 | 7-3 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), the Italian reached the final after beating Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-3, Gael Monfils 6-3 3-6 6-3, Milos Raonic 7-64 1-1 ret. and Tallon Griekspoor 6-2 6-4.
In the semifinal, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Griekspoor (6-2 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 59 points vs Griekspoor’s 45. Sinner was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner scored 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jannik Sinner was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (30/37) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sinner broke Griekspoor 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 72% of his matches (284-113). 4-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has a compiled91-25 match record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was conquering the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3.
The Italian has an overall 11-0 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rotterdam
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-18 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-6 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 6-5 | 0-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, the Australian reached the final after beating Sebastian Korda 6-4 6-3, David Goffin 6-3 6-1, Andrey Rublev 7-65 4-6 6-3 and Grigor Dimitrov 6-4 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Dimitrov (6-4 6-3). During the match De Minaur scored 60 points vs Dimitrov’s 53. The Australian was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, De Minaur bagged 6 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alex De Minaur was exceptionally effective on serve to win 73% (27/37) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Australian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Dimitrov 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
De Minaur has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Alex’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Australia and Rotterdam.
Alex has a compiled 10-2 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rotterdam
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 86 |
| Pts | 252-205 | 309-263 |
| Total Points | 457 | 572 |
| Winners | 121 | 124 |
| %Winners | 48% | 40% |
Both Sinner and De Minaur played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner lost 1 set, while Alex De Minaur surrendered 1 set. Sinner has played 1 set more than De Minaur (10 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Sinner played 8 games less than De Minaur. The Italian scored 121 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian struck 124 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 150/221 | 161/279 |
| %1st in | 68% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 121/150 | 124/161 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 44/71 | 63/118 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 53% |
Sinner bagged 17 aces (4.3 per match). De Minaur bagged 25 aces (6.3 per match). Sinner won 81% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 12 |
| Converted | 9/18 | 12/25 |
| % Converted | 50% | 48% |
| Conceded | 14 | 20 |
| Saved | 12 | 17 |
| % Saved | 86% | 85% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Jannik broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve twice and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | ||||||
| R1 Van De Zandschulp |
R2 Monfils |
1/4 Raonic |
1/2 Griekspoor |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | 7-64 1-1 ret. | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 27 | 15 | 18 | 78 | |
| pts | 68-50 | 83-69 | 42-41 | 59-45 | 252-205 | |
| Total points | 118 | 152 | 83 | 104 | 457 | |
| Winners | 28 | 37 | 26 | 30 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% | 62% | 51% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 32/47 | 49/72 | 32/45 | 37/57 | 150/221 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | 71% | 65% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 28/32 | 37/49 | 26/32 | 30/37 | 121/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 76% | 81% | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 17/23 | 7/13 | 11/20 | 44/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 74% | 54% | 55% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 2/5 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 40% | 100% | 75% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 0/1 | 3/4 | 6/6 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 75% | 100% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| De Minaur | ||||||
| R1 Korda |
R2 Goffin |
1/4 Rublev |
1/2 Dimitrov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-1 | 7-65 4-6 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 16 | 32 | 19 | 86 | |
| pts | 73-56 | 66-46 | 110-108 | 60-53 | 309-263 | |
| Total points | 129 | 112 | 218 | 113 | 572 | |
| Winners | 33 | 20 | 44 | 27 | 124 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 30% | 40% | 45% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 38/57 | 29/48 | 57/111 | 37/63 | 161/279 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 60% | 51% | 59% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 33/38 | 20/29 | 44/57 | 27/37 | 124/161 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 69% | 77% | 73% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 9/19 | 28/54 | 16/26 | 63/118 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 47% | 52% | 62% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 6/11 | 1/3 | 3/3 | 12/25 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 55% | 33% | 100% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 20 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 5/7 | 5/6 | 3/3 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 71% | 83% | 100% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
LLLWWWLWWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-0) – H2H and prediction
