Carlos Alcaraz and Nicolas Jarry will square off in the semifinal of the Argentina Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:00 pm on COURT GUILLERMO VILAS. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.177
Nicolas Jarry -> 4.95
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Nicolas Jarry
This will be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Nicolas Jarry square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Alcaraz won 6-3 6-7(6) 6-3 7-5 in the 3rd round in at the Wimbledon back in 2023.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Nicolas Jarry – Wimbledon 08-July-2023
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard got to the semifinal after defeating Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-2 7-5 and Andrea Vavassori 7-61 6-1.
In the quarter, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against Vavassori (7-61 6-1). During the match, Alcaraz scored 74 points vs Vavassori’s 60. Alcaraz was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault. Carlos Alcaraz conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 80% of his first serves in, winning 67% (37/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Vavassori twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (239-64). 2-0 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has an aggregate126-31 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
The Spaniard has a composed 6-1 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Buenos Aires
Nicolas Jarry
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-24 | 8-11 | 9-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 14-7 | 21-8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 8-5 | 30-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-22 | 13-4 | 32-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, Jarry got to the semifinal after beating Stan Wawrinka 6-73 6-2 7-65 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 4-6 7-5 ret..
In the quarter against Etcheverry, the Chilean had a free pass after Etcheverry retired on a 4-6 7-5 . scoreline.
Jarry has a compiled 6-3 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Buenos Aires
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2019 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 56 |
| Pts | 152-119 | 182-172 |
| Total Points | 271 | 354 |
| Winners | 68 | 76 |
| %Winners | 45% | 42% |
Both Alcaraz and Jarry played 2 matches. At the moment, Nicolas Jarry lost 2 sets while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t dropped a set so far. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Jarry (4 vs 6). Therefore, Alcaraz played 16 games less than Jarry. Alcaraz scored 68 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Jarry blasted 76 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 8 |
| 1st in | 99/130 | 103/177 |
| %1st in | 76% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 68/99 | 76/103 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 12/31 | 39/74 |
| %2nd pts | 39% | 53% |
Alcaraz managed to score 2 aces (1 per match). Jarry fired 16 aces (8 per match). Alcaraz won 69% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 39% of the points. On the other side, Jarry won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 7 |
| Converted | 9/26 | 7/15 |
| % Converted | 35% | 47% |
| Conceded | 10 | 17 |
| Saved | 6 | 12 |
| % Saved | 60% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 9 times with a 35% conversion rate. Carlos lost his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Jarry broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. Nicolas conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||
| R2 Ugo |
1/4 Vavassori |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 7-61 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 40 | |
| pts | 78-59 | 74-60 | 152-119 | |
| Total points | 137 | 134 | 271 | |
| Winners | 31 | 37 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 50% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 44/61 | 55/69 | 99/130 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 80% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 31/44 | 37/55 | 68/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 67% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 2/17 | 10/14 | 12/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 12% | 71% | 39% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 7/18 | 2/8 | 9/26 | |
| Converted % | 39% | 25% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 1 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 1/1 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 100% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Jarry | ||||
| R2 Wawrinka |
1/4 Etcheverry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 6-2 7-65 | 4-6 7-5 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 22 | 56 | |
| pts | 107-97 | 75-75 | 182-172 | |
| Total points | 204 | 150 | 354 | |
| Winners | 45 | 31 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 5 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 61/102 | 42/75 | 103/177 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 56% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 45/61 | 31/42 | 76/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/41 | 14/33 | 39/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 42% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/7 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 10 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 7/10 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 70% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLLWLWWW
LWLLWLLLWL Tennis Scores in Buenos Aires
- Federico CoriaCoria – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Andrea VavassoriVavassori (7-61 6-1) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (4-6 7-5 ret.) – See score progression
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Yannick Hanfmann/Juan Pablo VarillasHanfmann/Juan Pablo Varillas (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Andrea VavassoriVavassori (7-6(1) 6-1) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (4-6 7-5 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Federico CoriaCoria (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Nicolas JarryJarry (2-0) – H2H and prediction
