Alex De Minaur and Grigor Dimitrov will clash against each other in the semifinal of the ABN AMRO Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Grigor Dimitrov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Grigor Dimitrov is the pick to win this match.
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.909
Alex De Minaur -> 1.909
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Grigor Dimitrov
This will be the 5th time that Alex De Minaur and Grigor Dimitrov fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for De Minaur and Dimitrov (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played, Dimitrov won 6-3 3-6 7-6(6) in the quarter in Rotterdam back in 2023.
Highlights Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex De Minaur – Rotterdam 17-February-2023
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, the Australian got to the semifinal after defeating Sebastian Korda 6-4 6-3, David Goffin 6-3 6-1 and Andrey Rublev 7-65 4-6 6-3.
In the quarter, Alex defeated Rublev (7-65 4-6 6-3). During the match, De Minaur scored 110 points vs Rublev’s 108. Alex was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, De Minaur fired 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was extremely efficient on serve to win 77% (44/57) of his 1st serve and 52% (28/54) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. De Minaur broke Rublev once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
De Minaur has dropped 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.
De Minaur has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (327-189). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, De Minaur has an overall 59-35 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The Australian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Australia.
The Australian has an aggregate 9-2 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rotterdam
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the Bulgarian got to the semifinal after beating Lorenzo Sonego 7-64 6-3, Marton Fucsovics 6-3 7-5 and Alexander Shevchenko 7-62 3-6 6-4.
In the quarter, Grigor defeated Shevchenko (7-62 3-6 6-4). During the match Dimitrov scored 94 points vs Shevchenko’s 92. Dimitrov was pretty aggressive to blast 49 winners.
About the serving games, Dimitrov struck 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Grigor Dimitrov was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (49/61) of his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Dimitrov broke Shevchenko once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Grigor has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Brisbane where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 7-6(5) 6-4.
Grigor has an aggregate 13-2 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rotterdam
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 67 | 75 |
| Pts | 249-210 | 231-197 |
| Total Points | 459 | 428 |
| Winners | 97 | 121 |
| %Winners | 39% | 52% |
Both De Minaur and Dimitrov played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur surrendered 1 set, while Grigor Dimitrov conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, De Minaur and Dimitrov have played the same amount of sets 7. However, De Minaur played 8 games less than Dimitrov. The Australian scored 97 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Dimitrov made 121 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 6.3 | 6.7 |
| 1st in | 124/216 | 139/207 |
| %1st in | 57% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 97/124 | 121/139 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 87% |
| 2nd pts | 47/92 | 37/68 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 54% |
De Minaur fired 19 aces (6.3 per match). Dimitrov fired 20 aces (6.7 per match). De Minaur won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Dimitrov won 87% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 5 |
| Converted | 9/22 | 5/13 |
| % Converted | 41% | 38% |
| Conceded | 17 | 8 |
| Saved | 14 | 6 |
| % Saved | 82% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Alex broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Dimitrov broke his opponents 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Bulgarian conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | |||||
| R1 Korda |
R2 Goffin |
1/4 Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-1 | 7-65 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 16 | 32 | 67 | |
| pts | 73-56 | 66-46 | 110-108 | 249-210 | |
| Total points | 129 | 112 | 218 | 459 | |
| Winners | 33 | 20 | 44 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 30% | 40% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 38/57 | 29/48 | 57/111 | 124/216 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 60% | 51% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 33/38 | 20/29 | 44/57 | 97/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 69% | 77% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 9/19 | 28/54 | 47/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 47% | 52% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 6 | 1 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 6/11 | 1/3 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 55% | 33% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 5/7 | 5/6 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 71% | 83% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Dimitrov | |||||
| R1 Sonego |
R2 Fucsovics |
1/4 Shevchenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 | 6-3 7-5 | 7-62 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 21 | 32 | 75 | |
| pts | 70-54 | 67-51 | 94-92 | 231-197 | |
| Total points | 124 | 118 | 186 | 428 | |
| Winners | 39 | 33 | 49 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 49% | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 39/62 | 39/59 | 61/86 | 139/207 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 66% | 71% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 39/39 | 33/39 | 49/61 | 121/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 100% | 85% | 80% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/23 | 14/20 | 14/25 | 37/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 70% | 56% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/4 | 1/3 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 33% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/3 | 0/1 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 0% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WW
LWWW Tennis Scores in Rotterdam
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (7-62 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (7-5 7-64) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Andrey RublevRublev (7-65 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Wesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola Mektic – Alexander Erler/Lucas MiedlerErler/Lucas Miedler (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Milos RaonicRaonic (7-64 1-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek – Andreas Mies/John-Patrick SmithMies/John-Patrick Smith (4-6 6-4 10-8) – See score progression
- Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Sander Gille/Joran VliegenGille/Joran Vliegen (7-66 6-714 10-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Milos RaonicRaonic (7-6(4) 1-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (7-5 7-6(4)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (2-0) – H2H and prediction
