Elena Rybakina and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova will play each other in the semifinal of the Qatar TotalEnergies Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.31
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova -> 3.46

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

This will be the 2^nd time that Elena Rybakina and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Pavlyuchenkova (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Pavlyuchenkova won 6-7(2) 6-2 9-7 in the quarter in at the French Open back in 2021.

Highlights Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Elena Rybakina – French Open 08-June-2021

Elena Rybakina

Ranked no. 4, the Kazakhstani got to the semifinal after defeating Lin Zhu 6-2 6-1, Emma Navarro 6-1 6-7⁶ 6-4 and Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4 6-2.

In the quarter, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Annie Fernandez (6-4 6-2). During the match, Rybakina scored 72 points vs Annie Fernandez’s 55. The Kazakhstani was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rybakina blasted 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 61% of her first serves in, winning 79% (27/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Annie Fernandez 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Kazakhstani has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points she played.

Rybakina has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 69% of her matches (303-134). 14-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has a composed 141-68 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Brisbane where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she overcame Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4.

Rybakina has an overall 14-2 win-loss record in 2024, 14-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Doha

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

Ranked no. 32, Anastasia reached the semifinal after beating Daria Kasatkina 6-2 7-6², Marta Kostyuk 2-1 ret., Marketa Vondrousova 7-5 6-3 and Danielle Rose Collins 7-5 6-4.

In the quarter, Anastasia had a good straight sets win against Collins (7-5 6-4). During the match Pavlyuchenkova scored 67 points vs Collins’s 61. Pavlyuchenkova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Pavlyuchenkova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Pavlyuchenkova put 66% of her first serves in, winning 73% (32/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (9/23) on the 2nd serve. Anastasia was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Collins 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Pavlyuchenkova’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Linz.

The Russian has an aggregate 12-4 win-loss record in 2024, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rybakina	Pavlyuchenkova
Match played	3	4
Tot Set	7	8
Tot Games	63	67
Pts	232-173	240-207
Total Points	405	447
Winners	92	94
%Winners	40%	39%

Rybakina played 3 matches while Pavlyuchenkova competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Elena Rybakina lost 1 set while Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rybakina has played 1 set(s) less than Pavlyuchenkova (7 vs 8). Therefore, Rybakina played 4 games less than Pavlyuchenkova. Elena scored 92 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian managed to score 94 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rybakina	Pavlyuchenkova
Aces	23	5
Avg per match	7.7	1.3
1st in	119/183	148/225
%1st in	65%	66%
1st pts	92/119	94/148
%1st pts	77%	64%
2nd pts	32/64	39/77
%2nd pts	50%	51%

Rybakina recorded 23 aces (7.7 per match). Pavlyuchenkova managed to score 5 aces (1.3 per match). Rybakina won 77% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Pavlyuchenkova won 64% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rybakina	Pavlyuchenkova
Won	15	15
Converted	15/28	15/26
% Converted	54%	58%
Conceded	10	27
Saved	6	19
% Saved	60%	70%
Times Broken	4	8

Rybakina broke her opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. Elena surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Anastasia broke her opponents 15 times with a 58% conversion rate. Anastasia conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
	R2 Zhu	R3 Navarro	1/4 Annie	Total
Score	6-2 6-1	6-1 6-76 6-4	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	15	30	18	63
pts	57-32	103-86	72-55	232-173
Total points	89	189	127	405
Winners	26	39	27	92
%Winners	46%	38%	38%	40%
SERVE
Aces	7	10	6	23
Double Faults	1	3	2	6
1st in	30/42	55/85	34/56	119/183
% 1st in	71%	65%	61%	65%
1st pts	26/30	39/55	27/34	92/119
% 1st pts	87%	71%	79%	77%
2nd pts	7/12	15/30	10/22	32/64
% 2nd pts	58%	50%	45%	50%
Breaks
Won	4	6	5	15
Converted	4/7	6/10	5/11	15/28
Converted %	57%	60%	45%	54%
Conceded	0	4	6	10
Saved	0/0	2/4	4/6	6
Saved %	–	50%	67%	39%
Times Broken	0	2	2	4

Pavlyuchenkova
	R1 Kasatkina	R2 Kostyuk	R3 Vondrousova	1/4 Collins	Total
Score	6-2 7-62	2-1 ret.	7-5 6-3	7-5 6-4
Tot Set	2	1	2	2	7
Tot Games	21	3	21	22	67
pts	82-67	13-10	78-69	67-61	240-207
Total points	149	23	147	128	447
Winners	32	1	29	32	94
%Winners	39%	8%	37%	48%	39%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	3	1	5
Double Faults	1	0	3	1	5
1st in	56/73	2/5	46/80	44/67	148/225
% 1st in	77%	40%	58%	66%	66%
1st pts	32/56	1/2	29/46	32/44	94/148
% 1st pts	57%	50%	63%	73%	64%
2nd pts	8/17	3/3	19/34	9/23	39/77
% 2nd pts	47%	100%	56%	39%	51%
Breaks
Won	6	1	4	4	15
Converted	6/11	1/3	4/8	4/4	15/26
Converted %	55%	33%	50%	100%	58%
Conceded	16	0	8	3	27
Saved	12/16	0/0	6/8	1/3	19
Saved %	75%	–	75%	33%	61%
Times Broken	4	0	2	2	8

Tennis Scores in Doha

• Lukas RosolRosol – Filip HoranskyHoransky (1-6 6-3 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Aleksandr NedovesovNedovesov – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (2-4) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (0-1) – H2H and prediction