Karolina Pliskova and Naomi Osaka will play each other in the quarter of the Qatar TotalEnergies Open for the 7^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 8:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.64
Karolina Pliskova -> 2.26

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Karolina Pliskova vs. Naomi Osaka

This will be the 7^th time that Karolina Pliskova and Naomi Osaka play each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Pliskova (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Pliskova won 3-6 7-6(4) 6-4 in the 2^nd round in Brisbane back in January 2024.

Highlights Karolina Pliskova vs Naomi Osaka – Brisbane 03-January-2024

Karolina Pliskova

Ranked no. 59, Pliskova got to the quarter after beating Anna Kalinskaya 2-6 7-6³ 6-4, Anastasia Potapova 6-1 5-7 6-4 and Linda Noskova 3-6 7-5 6-1.

In the 3^rd round against Noskova, Karolina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-1). During the match, Pliskova scored 94 points vs Noskova’s 82. Karolina was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pliskova scored 12 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Karolina Pliskova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Pliskova put 67% of her first serves in, winning 64% (38/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the 2nd serve. The Czech broke Noskova 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Czech has conceded 3 set in this event to win 51% of the points she played.

Pliskova has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 67% of her matches (354-177). 4-3 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pliskova has an aggregate 213-101 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Napoca where she beat Ana Bogdan in the final 6-4 6-3.

Karolina has an overall 9-3 win-loss record in 2024, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Doha

Naomi Osaka

Ranked no. 747, Naomi reached the quarter after defeating Caroline Garcia 7-5 6-4, Petra Martic 6-3 7-6⁹ and Lesya Tsurenko w/o.

In the 3^rd round, Osaka defeated Tsurenko (w/o). During the match Osaka and Tsurenko scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 59 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Japanese was not very aggressive do strike just winners.

About the serving games, Osaka wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Naomi Osaka conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Naomi has an overall 3-3 win-loss record in 2024, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Doha

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2^nd

round in 2018. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Pliskova	Osaka
Match played	3	2
Tot Set	9	4
Tot Games	88	44
Pts	303-289	150-128
Total Points	592	278
Winners	144	64
%Winners	48%	43%

Pliskova played 3 matches while Osaka competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Karolina Pliskova surrendered 3 sets while Naomi Osaka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Pliskova has played 5 sets more than Osaka (9 vs 4). Therefore, Pliskova played 44 games more than Osaka. The Czech scored 144 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Naomi bagged 64 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Pliskova	Osaka
Aces	37	13
Avg per match	12.3	6.5
1st in	210/309	78/146
%1st in	68%	53%
1st pts	144/210	64/78
%1st pts	69%	82%
2nd pts	35/99	34/68
%2nd pts	35%	50%

Pliskova managed to score 37 aces (12.3 per match). Osaka bagged 13 aces (6.5 per match). Pliskova won 69% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 35% of the points. On the other side, Osaka won 82% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Pliskova	Osaka
Won	16	6
Converted	16/32	6/11
% Converted	50%	55%
Conceded	41	12
Saved	28	9
% Saved	68%	75%
Times Broken	13	3

Pliskova broke her opponents 16 times with a 50% conversion rate. Karolina surrendered her serve 13 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded. Osaka broke her opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Naomi conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.

Pliskova
	R1 Kalinskaya	R2 Potapova	R3 Noskova	Total
Score	2-6 7-63 6-4	6-1 5-7 6-4	3-6 7-5 6-1
Tot Set	3	3	3	9
Tot Games	31	29	28	88
pts	105-107	104-100	94-82	303-289
Total points	212	204	176	592
Winners	62	44	38	144
%Winners	59%	42%	40%	48%
SERVE
Aces	19	6	12	37
Double Faults	10	9	6	25
1st in	82/117	69/104	59/88	210/309
% 1st in	70%	66%	67%	68%
1st pts	62/82	44/69	38/59	144/210
% 1st pts	76%	64%	64%	69%
2nd pts	10/35	10/35	15/29	35/99
% 2nd pts	29%	29%	52%	35%
Breaks
Won	2	8	6	16
Converted	2/4	8/16	6/12	16/32
Converted %	50%	50%	50%	50%
Conceded	16	13	12	41
Saved	13/16	7/13	8/12	28
Saved %	81%	54%	67%	67%
Times Broken	3	6	4	13

Osaka
	R1 Garcia	R2 Martic	R3 Tsurenko	Total
Score	7-5 6-4	6-3 7-69	w/o
Tot Set	2	2	–	4
Tot Games	22	22	–	44
pts	71-60	79-68	–	150-128
Total points	131	147	–	278
Winners	32	32	–	64
%Winners	45%	41%	–	43%
SERVE
Aces	6	7	–	13
Double Faults	3	4	–	7
1st in	37/76	41/70	–	78/146
% 1st in	49%	59%	–	53%
1st pts	32/37	32/41	–	64/78
% 1st pts	86%	78%	–	82%
2nd pts	19/39	15/29	–	34/68
% 2nd pts	49%	52%	–	50%
Breaks
Won	3	3	–	6
Converted	3/3	3/8	–	6/11
Converted %	100%	38%	–	55%
Conceded	8	4	–	12
Saved	7/8	2/4	–	9
Saved %	88%	50%	–	46%
Times Broken	1	2	–	3

Tennis Scores in Doha

• Lukas RosolRosol – Enrique Lopez-PerezLopez-Perez (1-6 6-2 7-6⁶) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Aleksandr NedovesovNedovesov – Guilherme ClezarClezar (6-4 7-6³) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Filip HoranskyHoransky – Vaclav SafranekSafranek (0-6 6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Mats MoraingMoraing (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (2-4) – H2H and prediction
• Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-3) – H2H and prediction