H2H, prediction of Lesya Tsurenko vs Naomi Osaka in Doha with odds, preview, pick | 14th February 2024

PREVIEW. Doha. Tsurenko and Osaka will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Qatar TotalEnergies Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Wednesday the 14th of February

Prediction and head to head Lesya Tsurenko vs. Naomi Osaka

Lesya Tsurenko and Naomi Osaka will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Qatar TotalEnergies Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 4:30 pm on Center Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.44
Lesya Tsurenko -> 2.8

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Lesya Tsurenko vs. Naomi Osaka

This will be the 4th time that Lesya Tsurenko and Naomi Osaka clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Tsurenko won 6-2 6-4 in the semifinal in Brisbane back in 2019.

Lesya Tsurenko

Lesya Tsurenko
Lesya Tsurenko

5 - 3win/loss

Hard
5-3
I Hard
0-0
Rank
41
High
23
LLWLLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 8-9 7-6 1-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 42-16 31-10 8-4 0-0 3-2 0-0
2022 25-14 8-7 8-4 0-1 9-2 0-0
2021 30-17 10-10 2-2 15-5 3-0 0-0
2020 12-6 8-5 4-1 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 37, the Ukrainian got to the 3rd round after defeating Zeynep Sonmez 7-5 6-3 and Ons Jabeur 6-3 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Lesya had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (6-3 6-2). During the match, Tsurenko scored 67 points vs Jabeur’s 52. Tsurenko was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tsurenko couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Lesya Tsurenko lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Tsurenko put 58% of her first serves in, winning 67% (22/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Jabeur 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tsurenko hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points she played.

Tsurenko has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (244-156). 5-3 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Tsurenko has an overall 156-88 record in the last years on hard.

Lesya has a compiled 5-3 win-loss record in 2024, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Doha

Tsurenko
Doha
Tsurenko's Record

Naomi Osaka

Naomi Osaka
Naomi Osaka

3 - 3win/loss

Hard
3-3
I Hard
0-0
Rank
197
High
1
LWLWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 9-8 7-6 1-2 1-0 0-0 0-0
2023 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 14-9 13-7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 18-6 16-4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 16-3 16-2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 747, the Japanese got to the 3rd round after beating Caroline Garcia 7-5 6-4 and Petra Martic 6-3 7-69.

In the 2nd round, Naomi had a good straight sets win against Martic (6-3 7-69). During the match Osaka scored 79 points vs Martic’s 68. Osaka was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Osaka scored 7 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Naomi Osaka was pretty efficient on serve to win 78% (32/41) of her 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Osaka broke Martic 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Naomi hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

The Japanese has an overall 3-3 win-loss record in 2024, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Osaka
Doha
Osaka's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Tsurenko
N.Osaka
2h:56
2h:56
Time on court​
3h:13
3h:13
1h:21
1h:21
Last match​
1h:45
1h:45
2
2
Match played
2
2
38
38
Games Played​
44
44
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
145
145
Total points​
150
150
72.5
72.5
Avg point​
75
75
44
44
Winners
64
64
22
22
Avg Winners​
32
32
30%
30%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
0
0
Aces
13
13
0
0
Avg Aces
6.5
6.5
5
5
Double Faults
7
7
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
44/73
44/73
1st won total​
64/78
64/78
60%
60%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
27/49
27/49
2nd won total​
34/68
34/68
55%
55%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
11/30
11/30
BP won
6/11
6/11
5.5/15
5.5/15
Avg BP won
3/5.5
3/5.5
37%
37%
Won
!
55%
55%
13
13
Conceded
12
12
6.5
6.5
Avg Conceded
6
6
5
5
Broken
3
3
2.5
2.5
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
8
8
Saved
9
9

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Tsurenko Osaka
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 38 44
Pts 145-123 150-128
Total Points 268 278
Winners 44 64
%Winners 30% 43%

Both Tsurenko and Osaka played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Tsurenko and Osaka have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Tsurenko played 6 games less than Osaka. Tsurenko scored 44 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Osaka managed to score 64 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Tsurenko Osaka
Aces 0 13
Avg per match 0 6.5
1st in 73/122 78/146
%1st in 60% 53%
1st pts 44/73 64/78
%1st pts 60% 82%
2nd pts 27/49 34/68
%2nd pts 55% 50%

Tsurenko didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Osaka made 13 aces (6.5 per match). Tsurenko won 60% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Osaka won 82% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Tsurenko Osaka
Won 11 6
Converted 11/30 6/11
% Converted 37% 55%
Conceded 13 12
Saved 8 9
% Saved 62% 75%
Times Broken 5 3

Tsurenko broke her opponents 11 times with a 37% conversion rate. Tsurenko conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded. Naomi broke her opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Naomi conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.

Tsurenko
R1
Sonmez
R2
Jabeur
Total
Score 7-5 6-3 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 21 17 38
pts 78-71 67-52 145-123
Total points 149 119 268
Winners 22 22 44
%Winners 28% 33% 30%
SERVE
Aces 0 0 0
Double Faults 3 2 5
1st in 40/65 33/57 73/122
% 1st in 62% 58% 60%
1st pts 22/40 22/33 44/73
% 1st pts 55% 67% 60%
2nd pts 12/25 15/24 27/49
% 2nd pts 48% 63% 55%
Breaks
Won 7 4 11
Converted 7/17 4/13 11/30
Converted % 41% 31% 37%
Conceded 8 5 13
Saved 4/8 4/5 8
Saved % 50% 80% 65%
Times Broken 4 1 5
Osaka
R1
Garcia
R2
Martic
Total
Score 7-5 6-4 6-3 7-69
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 22 22 44
pts 71-60 79-68 150-128
Total points 131 147 278
Winners 32 32 64
%Winners 45% 41% 43%
SERVE
Aces 6 7 13
Double Faults 3 4 7
1st in 37/76 41/70 78/146
% 1st in 49% 59% 53%
1st pts 32/37 32/41 64/78
% 1st pts 86% 78% 82%
2nd pts 19/39 15/29 34/68
% 2nd pts 49% 52% 50%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/3 3/8 6/11
Converted % 100% 38% 55%
Conceded 8 4 12
Saved 7/8 2/4 9
Saved % 88% 50% 69%
Times Broken 1 2 3

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Tsurenko
LLWLLWLWLW
Osaka
LWLWLWWLWW
2024 2023 2022
8 - 9
9 - 8
7-6
Hard
7-6
0-0
I Hard
1-0
1-3
Clay
1-2

Tennis Scores in Doha

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw