Elena Rybakina and Liudmila Samsonova will play each other in the semifinal of the Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on Stadium Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.52
Liudmila Samsonova -> 2.54
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Liudmila Samsonova
This will be the 5th time that Elena Rybakina and Liudmila Samsonova face off. The head to head is 4-0 for Samsonova (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Samsonova won 7-6(7) 6-3 in the semifinal in Beijing back in 2023.
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Elena got to the semifinal after defeating Danielle Rose Collins 4-6 6-3 6-3 and Cristina Bucsa 6-1 6-4.
In the quarter, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Bucsa (6-1 6-4). During the match, Rybakina scored 64 points vs Bucsa’s 39. The Kazakhstani was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina made 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Elena Rybakina was exceptionally effective on serve to win 85% (28/33) of her 1st serve and 53% (8/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Kazakhstani broke Bucsa 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Kazakhstani has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Rybakina has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 69% of her matches (298-134). 9-2 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Rybakina has an aggregate 136-68 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Brisbane where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3.
Rybakina has an overall 9-2 win-loss record in 2024, 9-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Abu Dhabi
Liudmila Samsonova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-23 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, the Russian reached the semifinal after beating Lesya Tsurenko 6-0 6-1, Anhelina Kalinina 6-1 6-3 and Barbora Krejcikova 7-5 6-4.
In the quarter, Samsonova had a good straight sets win against Krejcikova (7-5 6-4). During the match Samsonova scored 74 points vs Krejcikova’s 65. Samsonova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Samsonova struck 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Liudmila Samsonova was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (25/31) of her 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The Russian broke Krejcikova 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Samsonova hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points she played.
Ludmilla has a compiled 3-3 win-loss record in 2024, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Abu Dhabi
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 51 |
| Pts | 161-129 | 187-124 |
| Total Points | 290 | 311 |
| Winners | 64 | 57 |
| %Winners | 40% | 30% |
Rybakina played 2 matches while Samsonova competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Elena Rybakina lost 1 set while Liudmila Samsonova hasn’t lost a set so far. Rybakina has played 1 set(s) less than Samsonova (5 vs 6). Therefore, Rybakina played 6 games less than Samsonova. Elena scored 64 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Ludmilla struck 57 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 93/137 | 69/145 |
| %1st in | 68% | 48% |
| 1st pts | 64/93 | 57/69 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 25/44 | 42/76 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 55% |
Rybakina recorded 10 aces (5 per match). Samsonova fired 13 aces (4.3 per match). Rybakina won 69% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 83% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 15 |
| Converted | 10/23 | 15/30 |
| % Converted | 43% | 50% |
| Conceded | 10 | 11 |
| Saved | 5 | 8 |
| % Saved | 50% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 |
Elena broke her opponents 10 times with a 43% conversion rate. Elena lost her serve 5 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Samsonova broke her opponents 15 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | ||||
| R2 Collins |
1/4 Bucsa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 17 | 45 | |
| pts | 97-90 | 64-39 | 161-129 | |
| Total points | 187 | 103 | 290 | |
| Winners | 36 | 28 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 60/89 | 33/48 | 93/137 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 69% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 36/60 | 28/33 | 64/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 85% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 8/15 | 25/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 53% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 4/11 | 10/23 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 36% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 1 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 0/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 0% | 28% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Samsonova | |||||
| R1 Tsurenko |
R2 Kalinina |
1/4 Krejcikova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | 6-1 6-3 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 16 | 22 | 51 | |
| pts | 54-23 | 59-36 | 74-65 | 187-124 | |
| Total points | 77 | 95 | 139 | 311 | |
| Winners | 18 | 14 | 25 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 24% | 34% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 22/34 | 16/49 | 31/62 | 69/145 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 33% | 50% | 48% | |
| 1st pts | 18/22 | 14/16 | 25/31 | 57/69 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 88% | 81% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 19/33 | 16/31 | 42/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | 52% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 5/10 | 4/11 | 15/30 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 36% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 3/4 | 4/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 67% | 121% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLWLLWWW
LLLLWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Abu Dhabi
- Jay ClarkeClarke – Marcel GranollersGranollers (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Laurynas GrigelisGrigelis (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-4) – H2H and prediction
