Alexander Bublik and Borna Coric will square off in the final of the Open Sud de France for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on COURT PATRICE DOMINGUEZ. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Borna Coric who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Borna Coric is the pick to win this match.
Borna Coric -> 1.72
Alexander Bublik -> 2.13

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Borna Coric

This will be the 2nd time that Alexander Bublik and Borna Coric clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Bublik (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Bublik won 6-3 6-1 in the 1st round in Halle back in 2023.

Highlights Alexander Bublik vs Borna Coric – Halle 20-June-2023

Alexander Bublik

Alexander Bublik

7 - 2win/loss

Hard
3-2
I Hard
4-0
Rank
34
High
17
LWLLLLWLLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 25-25 10-11 5-6 6-4 4-4 0-0
2023 28-30 3-12 7-9 9-7 9-2 0-0
2022 33-27 5-8 2-6 17-8 9-5 0-0
2021 35-30 14-12 4-6 10-8 7-4 0-0
2020 15-17 3-6 4-5 8-6 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 27, Alexander reached the final after defeating Denis Shapovalov 1-6 7-612 6-3, Alexander Shevchenko 4-6 6-3 6-4 and Felix Auger-Aliassime 4-6 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal against Auger-Aliassime, The Kazakhstani recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-4). During the match, Bublik scored 105 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 98. The Kazakhstani was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Talking about the service games, Bublik struck 14 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 63% of his first serves in, winning 74% (46/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (18/37) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Auger-Aliassime 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Kazakhstani has surrendered 3 set in this event to win 52% of the points he played.

Bublik has winning record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (314-230). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Bublik has an aggregate 100-56 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

The Kazakhstani’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide and Montpellier.

Alexander has an aggregate 6-2 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montpellier

Montpellier
Bublik's Record

Borna Coric

Borna Coric

8 - 4win/loss

Hard
1-2
I Hard
7-2
Rank
92
High
12
LWLWWLWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 23-27 8-13 3-7 11-6 1-1 0-0
2023 22-19 10-10 9-5 3-1 0-3 0-0
2022 27-17 10-5 10-9 7-3 0-0 0-0
2021 6-3 3-2 0-0 3-1 0-0 0-0
2020 16-12 6-5 4-4 6-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 37, Coric reached the final after beating Pedro Martinez Portero 6-4 6-0, Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-4 and Holger Rune 6-3 4-1 ret..

In the semifinal against Rune, Coric had a free pass after Rune retired on a 6-3 4-1 . scoreline.

Coric’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Neuve Challenger.

The Croatian has an overall 8-3 win-loss record in 2024, 7-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Montpellier

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.

Montpellier
Coric's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Bublik
B.Coric
!
7h:08
7h:08
Time on court​
4h:06
4h:06
!
2h:37
2h:37
Last match​
!
0h:57
0h:57
3
3
Match played
3
3
88
88
Games Played​
49
49
9
9
Set played​​
7
7
315
315
Total points​
188
188
105
105
Avg point​
62.7
62.7
126
126
Winners
80
80
42
42
Avg Winners​
26.7
26.7
40%
40%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
39
39
Aces
11
11
!
13
13
Avg Aces
3.7
3.7
21
21
Double Faults
0
0
!
7
7
Avg Double Faults
0
0
126/168
126/168
1st won total​
80/106
80/106
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
64/124
64/124
2nd won total​
34/53
34/53
52%
52%
2nd won %
!
64%
64%
-- Break Points --
8/24
8/24
BP won
10/26
10/26
2.7/8
2.7/8
Avg BP won
3.3/8.7
3.3/8.7
33%
33%
Won
38%
38%
18
18
Conceded
9
9
6
6
Avg Conceded
3
3
8
8
Broken
1
1
2.7
2.7
Avg Broken
!
0.3
0.3
10
10
Saved
8
8
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Bublik Coric
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 9 7
Tot Games 88 49
Pts 315-288 188-131
Total Points 603 319
Winners 126 80
%Winners 40% 43%

Both Bublik and Coric played 3 matches. At the moment, Alexander Bublik dropped 3 sets while Borna Coric hasn’t lost a set so far. Bublik has played 2 sets more than Coric (9 vs 7). Therefore, Bublik played 39 games more than Coric. Alexander scored 126 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Croatian managed to score 80 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Bublik Coric
Aces 39 11
Avg per match 13 3.7
1st in 168/292 106/159
%1st in 58% 67%
1st pts 126/168 80/106
%1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 64/124 34/53
%2nd pts 52% 64%

Bublik scored 39 aces (13 per match). Coric blasted 11 aces (3.7 per match). Bublik won 75% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Coric won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Bublik Coric
Won 8 10
Converted 8/24 10/26
% Converted 33% 38%
Conceded 18 9
Saved 10 8
% Saved 56% 89%
Times Broken 8 1

Bublik broke his opponents 8 times with a 33% conversion rate. Bublik conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Borna broke his opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Croatian conceded his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded.

Bublik
R2
Shapovalov		 1/4
Shevchenko		 1/2
Auger-Aliassime		 Total
Score 1-6 7-612 6-3 4-6 6-3 6-4 4-6 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 29 29 30 88
pts 107-100 103-90 105-98 315-288
Total points 207 193 203 603
Winners 41 39 46 126
%Winners 38% 38% 44% 40%
SERVE
Aces 10 15 14 39
Double Faults 9 8 4 21
1st in 52/100 54/93 62/99 168/292
% 1st in 52% 58% 63% 58%
1st pts 41/52 39/54 46/62 126/168
% 1st pts 79% 72% 74% 75%
2nd pts 28/48 18/39 18/37 64/124
% 2nd pts 58% 46% 49% 52%
Breaks
Won 1 4 3 8
Converted 1/6 4/9 3/9 8/24
Converted % 17% 44% 33% 33%
Conceded 6 8 4 18
Saved 3/6 5/8 2/4 10
Saved % 50% 63% 50% 54%
Times Broken 3 3 2 8
Coric
R2
Martinez Portero		 1/4
Cobolli		 1/2
Rune		 Total
Score 6-4 6-0 6-3 6-4 6-3 4-1 ret.
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 16 19 14 49
pts 66-48 72-54 50-29 188-131
Total points 114 126 79 319
Winners 27 30 23 80
%Winners 41% 42% 46% 43%
SERVE
Aces 8 3 0 11
Double Faults 0 0 0 0
1st in 35/61 42/63 29/35 106/159
% 1st in 57% 67% 83% 67%
1st pts 27/35 30/42 23/29 80/106
% 1st pts 77% 71% 79% 75%
2nd pts 14/26 16/21 4/6 34/53
% 2nd pts 54% 76% 67% 64%
Breaks
Won 4 2 4 10
Converted 4/7 2/9 4/10 10/26
Converted % 57% 22% 40% 38%
Conceded 4 3 2 9
Saved 4/4 3/3 1/2 8
Saved % 100% 100% 50% 83%
Times Broken 0 0 1 1

Upcoming matches in the draw

Bublik
More Stats
Click here
Coric

Click for FULL STATS