Alexander Bublik and Borna Coric will square off in the final of the Open Sud de France for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on COURT PATRICE DOMINGUEZ. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Borna Coric who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Borna Coric is the pick to win this match.
Borna Coric -> 1.72
Alexander Bublik -> 2.13
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Borna Coric
This will be the 2nd time that Alexander Bublik and Borna Coric clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Bublik (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Bublik won 6-3 6-1 in the 1st round in Halle back in 2023.
Highlights Alexander Bublik vs Borna Coric – Halle 20-June-2023
Alexander Bublik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-8 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-17 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 27, Alexander reached the final after defeating Denis Shapovalov 1-6 7-612 6-3, Alexander Shevchenko 4-6 6-3 6-4 and Felix Auger-Aliassime 4-6 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal against Auger-Aliassime, The Kazakhstani recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-4). During the match, Bublik scored 105 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 98. The Kazakhstani was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bublik struck 14 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 63% of his first serves in, winning 74% (46/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (18/37) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Auger-Aliassime 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Kazakhstani has surrendered 3 set in this event to win 52% of the points he played.
Bublik has winning record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (314-230). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Bublik has an aggregate 100-56 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The Kazakhstani’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide and Montpellier.
Alexander has an aggregate 6-2 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montpellier
Borna Coric
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-19 | 10-10 | 9-5 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-17 | 10-5 | 10-9 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 6-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-12 | 6-5 | 4-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 37, Coric reached the final after beating Pedro Martinez Portero 6-4 6-0, Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-4 and Holger Rune 6-3 4-1 ret..
In the semifinal against Rune, Coric had a free pass after Rune retired on a 6-3 4-1 . scoreline.
Coric’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Neuve Challenger.
The Croatian has an overall 8-3 win-loss record in 2024, 7-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montpellier
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bublik | Coric |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 88 | 49 |
| Pts | 315-288 | 188-131 |
| Total Points | 603 | 319 |
| Winners | 126 | 80 |
| %Winners | 40% | 43% |
Both Bublik and Coric played 3 matches. At the moment, Alexander Bublik dropped 3 sets while Borna Coric hasn’t lost a set so far. Bublik has played 2 sets more than Coric (9 vs 7). Therefore, Bublik played 39 games more than Coric. Alexander scored 126 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Croatian managed to score 80 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bublik | Coric |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 39 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 168/292 | 106/159 |
| %1st in | 58% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 126/168 | 80/106 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 64/124 | 34/53 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 64% |
Bublik scored 39 aces (13 per match). Coric blasted 11 aces (3.7 per match). Bublik won 75% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Coric won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bublik | Coric |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 10 |
| Converted | 8/24 | 10/26 |
| % Converted | 33% | 38% |
| Conceded | 18 | 9 |
| Saved | 10 | 8 |
| % Saved | 56% | 89% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 1 |
Bublik broke his opponents 8 times with a 33% conversion rate. Bublik conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Borna broke his opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Croatian conceded his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bublik | |||||
| R2 Shapovalov |
1/4 Shevchenko |
1/2 Auger-Aliassime |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 7-612 6-3 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | 30 | 88 | |
| pts | 107-100 | 103-90 | 105-98 | 315-288 | |
| Total points | 207 | 193 | 203 | 603 | |
| Winners | 41 | 39 | 46 | 126 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | 44% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 15 | 14 | 39 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 8 | 4 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 52/100 | 54/93 | 62/99 | 168/292 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 58% | 63% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 41/52 | 39/54 | 46/62 | 126/168 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 72% | 74% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/48 | 18/39 | 18/37 | 64/124 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 46% | 49% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 1/6 | 4/9 | 3/9 | 8/24 | |
| Converted % | 17% | 44% | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 8 | 4 | 18 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 5/8 | 2/4 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 63% | 50% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Coric | |||||
| R2 Martinez Portero |
1/4 Cobolli |
1/2 Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 4-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 19 | 14 | 49 | |
| pts | 66-48 | 72-54 | 50-29 | 188-131 | |
| Total points | 114 | 126 | 79 | 319 | |
| Winners | 27 | 30 | 23 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% | 46% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 35/61 | 42/63 | 29/35 | 106/159 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 67% | 83% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 30/42 | 23/29 | 80/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 71% | 79% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/26 | 16/21 | 4/6 | 34/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 76% | 67% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 2/9 | 4/10 | 10/26 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 22% | 40% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 3/3 | 1/2 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 50% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Borna CoricCoric – Alexander BublikBublik (0-1) – H2H and prediction
