Brandon Nakashima and Jurij Rodionov will play each other in the final of the Koblenz Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on LOTTO RLP CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.35
Jurij Rodionov -> 3.04
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Jurij Rodionov
There is no head to head record between Brandon Nakashima and Jurij Rodionov since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 96, Nakashima reached the final after defeating Alejandro Moro Canas 6-1 6-2, Filip Krajinovic 7-65 6-4, Max Hans Rehberg 6-3 6-4 and Hazem Naow 6-3 7-5.
In the semifinal, The American had a good straight sets win against Naow (6-3 7-5). During the match, Nakashima scored 74 points vs Naow’s 55. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nakashima scored 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Brandon Nakashima was pretty efficient on serve to win 84% (31/37) of his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nakashima broke Naow twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Brandon hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Nakashima has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (180-111). 7-1 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nakashima has a composed57-20 record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he overcame Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.
Nakashima has a compiled 15-3 win-loss record in 2024, 7-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Koblenz Challenger
Nakashima has never competed in this tournament before.
Jurij Rodionov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-32 | 10-10 | 6-12 | 11-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-33 | 3-6 | 15-13 | 21-11 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-31 | 5-5 | 16-11 | 21-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-28 | 2-4 | 2-7 | 13-13 | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 25-16 | 5-1 | 7-6 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 108, the Austrian reached the final after beating Dennis Novak 6-1 6-1, Valentin Royer 7-64 6-1, Rudolf Molleker 6-3 7-5 and Stefano Travaglia 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Austrian had a good straight sets win against Travaglia (6-3 6-4). During the match Rodionov scored 68 points vs Travaglia’s 50. Jurij was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Rodionov blasted 5 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Jurij Rodionov was quite effective on serve to win 77% (24/31) of his 1st serve and 71% (15/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Rodionov broke Travaglia 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jurij hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Rodionov’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Koblenz Challenger.
Jurij has an overall 4-1 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakashima | Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 74 |
| Pts | 281-213 | 272-204 |
| Total Points | 494 | 476 |
| Winners | 116 | 118 |
| %Winners | 41% | 43% |
Both Nakashima and Rodionov played 4 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Nakashima and Rodionov have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Nakashima played 4 games more than Rodionov. Nakashima scored 116 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Jurij bagged 118 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakashima | Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 143/225 | 149/221 |
| %1st in | 64% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 116/143 | 118/149 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 53/82 | 39/72 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 54% |
Nakashima blasted 22 aces (5.5 per match). Rodionov fired 28 aces (7 per match). Nakashima won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Rodionov won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakashima | Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 14 |
| Converted | 10/25 | 14/34 |
| % Converted | 40% | 41% |
| Conceded | 6 | 15 |
| Saved | 5 | 12 |
| % Saved | 83% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Nakashima broke his opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. The American lost his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Jurij broke his opponents 14 times with a 41% conversion rate. Rodionov conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nakashima | ||||||
| R1 Moro |
R2 Krajinovic |
1/4 Hans |
1/2 Naow |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 7-65 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 23 | 19 | 21 | 78 | |
| pts | 57-33 | 89-80 | 61-45 | 74-55 | 281-213 | |
| Total points | 90 | 169 | 106 | 129 | 494 | |
| Winners | 22 | 35 | 28 | 31 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | 46% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 28/43 | 45/69 | 33/51 | 37/62 | 143/225 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | 65% | 60% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 35/45 | 28/33 | 31/37 | 116/143 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 78% | 85% | 84% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/15 | 14/24 | 12/18 | 16/25 | 53/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 58% | 67% | 64% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 2/9 | 2/6 | 2/4 | 10/25 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 22% | 33% | 50% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | – | 100% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Rodionov | ||||||
| R1 Novak |
R2 Royer |
1/4 Molleker |
1/2 Travaglia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 7-64 6-1 | 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 74 | |
| pts | 63-40 | 65-54 | 76-60 | 68-50 | 272-204 | |
| Total points | 103 | 119 | 136 | 118 | 476 | |
| Winners | 22 | 40 | 32 | 24 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 62% | 42% | 35% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 31/45 | 46/65 | 41/59 | 31/52 | 149/221 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 71% | 69% | 60% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 22/31 | 40/46 | 32/41 | 24/31 | 118/149 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 87% | 78% | 77% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 7/19 | 11/18 | 15/21 | 39/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 37% | 61% | 71% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 2/4 | 3/8 | 3/7 | 14/34 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 50% | 38% | 43% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4/4 | 3/4 | 1/2 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
