Alexander Bublik and Felix Auger-Aliassime will play each other in the semifinal of the Open Sud de France for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on COURT PATRICE DOMINGUEZ. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Felix Auger-Aliassime who should win in 3 sets.
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 1.51
Alexander Bublik -> 2.57
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
This will be the 4th time that Alexander Bublik and Felix Auger-Aliassime clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Auger-Aliassime won 6-2 6-3 in the quarter in Basel back in 2022.
Highlights Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublik – Basel 28-October-2022
Alexander Bublik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-24 | 12-11 | 23-6 | 8-6 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 27, the Kazakhstani got to the semifinal after defeating Denis Shapovalov 1-6 7-612 6-3 and Alexander Shevchenko 4-6 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter against Shevchenko, Bublik recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Bublik scored 103 points vs Shevchenko’s 90. Alexander was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bublik made 15 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 58% of his first serves in, winning 72% (39/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (18/39) on the 2nd serve. Bublik broke Shevchenko 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bublik has conceded 2 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Bublik has good match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (313-230). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Bublik has a composed 99-56 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The Kazakhstani’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.
Alexander has a compiled 5-2 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montpellier
Felix Auger-Aliassime
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 50-25 | 24-10 | 3-6 | 17-5 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-24 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Felix reached the semifinal after beating Arthur Cazaux 7-5 2-6 7-64 and Harold Mayot 7-5 6-1.
In the quarter, Felix had a good straight sets win against Mayot (7-5 6-1). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 60 points vs Mayot’s 44. The Canadian was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Auger-Aliassime struck 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Auger-Aliassime put 72% of his first serves in, winning 69% (27/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (8/15) on the 2nd serve. Felix broke Mayot 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Felix has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Canadian has an aggregate 4-2 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)
.Previously in Montpellier
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bublik | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 52 |
| Pts | 210-190 | 156-139 |
| Total Points | 400 | 295 |
| Winners | 80 | 66 |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% |
Both Bublik and Auger-Aliassime played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Bublik dropped 2 sets, while Felix Auger-Aliassime dropped 1 set. Bublik has played 1 set more than Auger-Aliassime (6 vs 5). Therefore, Bublik played 6 games more than Auger-Aliassime. The Kazakhstani scored 80 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Auger-Aliassime managed to score 66 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bublik | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 12.5 | 8 |
| 1st in | 106/193 | 92/144 |
| %1st in | 55% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 80/106 | 66/92 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 46/87 | 24/52 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 46% |
Bublik made 25 aces (12.5 per match). Auger-Aliassime scored 16 aces (8 per match). Bublik won 75% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bublik | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 9 |
| Converted | 5/15 | 9/16 |
| % Converted | 33% | 56% |
| Conceded | 14 | 8 |
| Saved | 8 | 1 |
| % Saved | 57% | 13% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 7 |
Bublik broke his opponents 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Alexander surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Auger-Aliassime broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Felix conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 13% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bublik | ||||
| R2 Shapovalov | 1/4 Shevchenko | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 7-612 6-3 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | 58 | |
| pts | 107-100 | 103-90 | 210-190 | |
| Total points | 207 | 193 | 400 | |
| Winners | 41 | 39 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 15 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 8 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 52/100 | 54/93 | 106/193 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 58% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 41/52 | 39/54 | 80/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 72% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/48 | 18/39 | 46/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 46% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Converted | 1/6 | 4/9 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | 17% | 44% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 8 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 5/8 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 63% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Auger-Aliassime | ||||
| R2 Cazaux | 1/4 Mayot | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 2-6 7-64 | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 19 | 52 | |
| pts | 96-95 | 60-44 | 156-139 | |
| Total points | 191 | 104 | 295 | |
| Winners | 39 | 27 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 10 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 53/90 | 39/54 | 92/144 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 72% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 39/53 | 27/39 | 66/92 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 69% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/37 | 8/15 | 24/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 53% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 5/6 | 9/16 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 83% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Saved | 1/6 | 0/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 17% | 0% | 9% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
Tennis Scores in Montpellier
- Albano Olivetti/Tristan-Samuel WeissbornOlivetti/Tristan-Samuel Weissborn – Robin Haase/Petr NouzaHaase/Petr Nouza (7-66 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alexander BublikBublik (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Borna CoricCoric (0-0) – H2H and prediction