Federico Coria and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida will square off in the semifinal of the Piracicaba Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on QUADRA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Coria who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Federico Coria is the pick to win this match.
Federico Coria -> 1.63
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida -> 2.16

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Prediction and head to head Federico Coria vs. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

This will be the 3^rd time that Federico Coria and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Coria (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Coria won 6-4 6-4 in the quarter in the Guayaquil Challenger back in 2022.

Federico Coria

Ranked no. 103, Federico got to the semifinal after beating Renzo Olivo 6-1 7-5, Juan Bautista Torres 6-0 3-0 ret. and Gianluca Mager 6-0 4-6 6-3.

In the quarter, The Argentine defeated Mager (6-0 4-6 6-3). During the match, Coria scored 96 points vs Mager’s 77. Federico was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Talking about the service games, Coria scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Federico Coria lost the serve 3 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Coria put 80% of his first serves in, winning 68% (50/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 28% (5/18) on the 2nd serve. Federico broke Mager 7 times after converting 70% of his break points (7/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Coria has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.

Coria has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (406-259). 3-1 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Coria has an aggregate 390-213 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Federico has a composed 3-2 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Piracicaba Challenger

The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Ranked no. 343, matheus reached the semifinal after defeating Damien Wenger 6-2 6-4, Edoardo Lavagno 6-1 6-3 and Alexander Weis 7-6³ 7-6⁴.

In the quarter, Pucinelli De Almeida had a good straight sets win against Weis (7-6³ 7-6⁴). During the match Pucinelli De Almeida scored 81 points vs Weis’s 76. The Brazilian was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Pucinelli De Almeida blasted 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Pucinelli De Almeida put 54% of his first serves in, winning 73% (33/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (17/39) on the 2nd serve. Matheus broke Weis 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Matheus hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Pucinelli De Almeida has an overall 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Piracicaba Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Coria	Pucinelli De Almeida
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	8	6
Tot Games	53	60
Pts	223-165	206-168
Total Points	388	374
Winners	104	73
%Winners	47%	35%

Both Coria and Pucinelli De Almeida played 3 matches. At the moment, Federico Coria surrendered 1 set while Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida hasn’t dropped a set so far. Coria has played 2 sets more than Pucinelli De Almeida (8 vs 6). However, it’s interesting to notice that Coria played 7 games less than Pucinelli De Almeida. Federico scored 104 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Matheus blasted 73 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Coria	Pucinelli De Almeida
Aces	2	9
Avg per match	0.7	3
1st in	153/204	98/191
%1st in	75%	51%
1st pts	104/153	73/98
%1st pts	68%	74%
2nd pts	24/51	47/93
%2nd pts	47%	51%

Coria bagged 2 aces (0.7 per match). Pucinelli De Almeida scored 9 aces (3 per match). Coria won 68% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Pucinelli De Almeida won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Coria	Pucinelli De Almeida
Won	15	13
Converted	15/28	13/17
% Converted	54%	76%
Conceded	23	19
Saved	19	13
% Saved	83%	68%
Times Broken	4	6

Coria broke his opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. Federico dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Matheus broke his opponents 13 times with a 76% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Coria
	R1 Olivo	R2 Bautista	1/4 Mager	Total
Score	6-1 7-5	6-0 3-0 ret.	6-0 4-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	19	9	25	53
pts	81-61	46-27	96-77	223-165
Total points	142	73	173	388
Winners	33	21	50	104
%Winners	41%	46%	52%	47%
SERVE
Aces	0	1	1	2
Double Faults	2	3	3	8
1st in	50/71	29/41	74/92	153/204
% 1st in	70%	71%	80%	75%
1st pts	33/50	21/29	50/74	104/153
% 1st pts	66%	72%	68%	68%
2nd pts	14/21	5/12	5/18	24/51
% 2nd pts	67%	42%	28%	47%
Breaks
Won	4	4	7	15
Converted	4/12	4/6	7/10	15/28
Converted %	33%	67%	70%	54%
Conceded	5	4	14	23
Saved	4/5	4/4	11/14	19
Saved %	80%	100%	79%	86%
Times Broken	1	0	3	4

Pucinelli De Almeida
	R1 Wenger	R2 Lavagno	1/4 Weis	Total
Score	6-2 6-4	6-1 6-3	7-63 7-64
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	18	16	26	60
pts	59-49	66-43	81-76	206-168
Total points	108	109	157	374
Winners	20	20	33	73
%Winners	34%	30%	41%	35%
SERVE
Aces	2	3	4	9
Double Faults	5	4	4	13
1st in	31/56	22/51	45/84	98/191
% 1st in	55%	43%	54%	51%
1st pts	20/31	20/22	33/45	73/98
% 1st pts	65%	91%	73%	74%
2nd pts	13/25	17/29	17/39	47/93
% 2nd pts	52%	59%	44%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	4	4	13
Converted	5/7	4/5	4/5	13/17
Converted %	71%	80%	80%	76%
Conceded	5	1	13	19
Saved	3/5	1/1	9/13	13
Saved %	60%	100%	69%	76%
Times Broken	2	0	4	6

Tennis Scores in Piracicaba Challenger

• Federico CoriaCoria – Gianluca MagerMager (6-0 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Kilian FeldbauschFeldbausch (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Felix GillGill – Ivan GakhovGakhov (6-0 7-6³) – See score progression
• Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida – Alexander WeisWeis (7-6³ 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Daniel Dutra Da Silva/Pedro SakamotoDutra Da Silva/Pedro Sakamoto – Mariano Kestelboim/Juan Bautista TorresKestelboim/Juan Bautista Torres (w/o) – See score progression
• Guido Andreozzi/Guillermo DuranAndreozzi/Guillermo Duran – Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo/Carlos TabernerSanchez-Izquierdo/Carlos Taberner (w/o) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Federico CoriaCoria – Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida (2-0) – H2H and prediction