Yasutaka Uchiyama and Alex Bolt will play each other in the semifinal of the Burnie 1 Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Bolt who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Bolt is the pick to win this match.
Alex Bolt -> 1.7
Yasutaka Uchiyama -> 2.05
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Prediction and head to head Yasutaka Uchiyama vs. Alex Bolt
This will be the 4th time that Yasutaka Uchiyama and Alex Bolt fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Bolt (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Bolt won 2-6 7-6(2) 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Anning Challenger back in 2019.
Yasutaka Uchiyama
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-10 | 13-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-24 | 27-22 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-21 | 16-13 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-26 | 9-13 | 0-3 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-13 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 268, the Japanese got to the semifinal after defeating Jake Delaney 6-3 6-1, Yusuke Takahashi 6-2 6-4 and Marc Polmans 3-6 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter against Polmans, Yasutaka recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4).During the match, Uchiyama scored less points (1) than Polmans. In fact, the world no. 268 won 86 points vs Polmans’s. That means that Uchiyama was more focused during the important points. Uchiyama was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Uchiyama bagged 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Yasutaka Uchiyama was very effective on serve to win 76% (44/58) of his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Uchiyama broke Polmans twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yasutaka has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Uchiyama has good record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (250-211). 5-2 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Uchiyama has a composed 182-134 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Japanese has a composed 5-2 win-loss record in 2024, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Burnie 1 Challenger
Alex Bolt
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-11 | 19-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-22 | 22-17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-10 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-18 | 7-6 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-12 | 12-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 291, Bolt reached the semifinal after beating Stefanos Sakellaridis 6-0 6-3, Adam Walton 6-3 6-2 and Hiroki Moriya 2-6 7-65 6-2.
In the quarter against Moriya, Alex recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-65 6-2). During the match Bolt scored 100 points vs Moriya’s 97. Bolt was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Bolt struck 7 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Alex Bolt lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Bolt put 60% of his first serves in, winning 61% (36/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (25/39) on the 2nd serve. Bolt broke Moriya 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Alex has a compiled 7-2 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Uchiyama | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 61 |
| Pts | 213-176 | 216-164 |
| Total Points | 389 | 380 |
| Winners | 91 | 86 |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% |
Both Uchiyama and Bolt played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Yasutaka Uchiyama dropped 1 set, while Alex Bolt dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Uchiyama and Bolt have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Uchiyama played 1 game more than Bolt. Yasutaka scored 91 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Alex fired 86 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Uchiyama | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 4.7 | 6 |
| 1st in | 122/184 | 115/193 |
| %1st in | 66% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 91/122 | 86/115 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 38/62 | 49/78 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 63% |
Uchiyama recorded 14 aces (4.7 per match). Bolt made 18 aces (6 per match). Uchiyama won 75% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Bolt won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Uchiyama | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 11 |
| Converted | 10/28 | 11/27 |
| % Converted | 36% | 41% |
| Conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Saved | 6 | 9 |
| % Saved | 75% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Uchiyama broke his opponents 10 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Japanese surrendered his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Uchiyama | |||||
| R1 Delaney |
R2 Takahashi |
1/4 Polmans |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 | 28 | 62 | |
| pts | 59-35 | 68-54 | 86-87 | 213-176 | |
| Total points | 94 | 122 | 173 | 389 | |
| Winners | 24 | 23 | 44 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 34% | 51% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 29/45 | 35/56 | 58/83 | 122/184 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 63% | 70% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 23/35 | 44/58 | 91/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 66% | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 14/21 | 13/25 | 38/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 67% | 52% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | 2/8 | 10/28 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | 25% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 75% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Bolt | |||||
| R1 Sakellaridis |
R2 Walton |
1/4 Moriya |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 2-6 7-65 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 29 | 61 | |
| pts | 58-29 | 58-38 | 100-97 | 216-164 | |
| Total points | 87 | 96 | 197 | 380 | |
| Winners | 20 | 30 | 36 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 52% | 36% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 21/42 | 35/53 | 59/98 | 115/193 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 66% | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 20/21 | 30/35 | 36/59 | 86/115 | |
| % 1st pts | 95% | 86% | 61% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 10/18 | 25/39 | 49/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 56% | 64% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/5 | 4/14 | 11/27 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 60% | 29% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/2 | 6/10 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 60% | 87% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWWWWW
WWLWLWLWLW Tennis Scores in Burnie 1 Challenger
- Alex BoltBolt – Hiroki MoriyaMoriya (2-6 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Shintaro ImaiImai – Luke SavilleSaville (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Omar JasikaJasika – Dane SweenySweeny (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Marc PolmansPolmans (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Blake Bayldon/Kody PearsonBayldon/Kody Pearson – Taisei Ichikawa/Seita WatanabeIchikawa/Seita Watanabe (6-74 7-5 10-7) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alex BoltBolt – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Omar JasikaJasika – Shintaro ImaiImai (0-0) – H2H and prediction
