Pavle Marinkov and Yuki Mochizuki will face off in the qualifications of the Burnie 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on COURT 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yuki Mochizuki who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yuki Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Yuki Mochizuki -> 1.68
Pavle Marinkov -> 2.1
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Prediction and head to head Pavle Marinkov vs. Yuki Mochizuki
There is no head to head record between Pavle Marinkov and Yuki Mochizuki since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Pavle Marinkov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-17 | 13-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-11 | 11-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 7-2 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently unranked, the Australian reached the qualifications after beating Luke Sorensen 6-3 4-6 6-0.
In the qualifications, Pavle defeated Sorensen (6-3 4-6 6-0). During the match, Marinkov scored 91 points vs Sorensen’s 77. The Australian was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about the service games, Marinkov bagged 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Pavle Marinkov lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Marinkov put 59% of his first serves in, winning 77% (36/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. Pavle broke Sorensen 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Marinkov has a solid record in the last 3 years having won 61% of his matches (23-15). 2-2 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Marinkov has a compiled20-11 match record in the last 3 years on hard.
Pavle has a composed 2-2 win-loss record in 2024, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Burnie 1 Challenger
The Australian has never competed in this tournament before.
Yuki Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-20 | 16-16 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-26 | 21-23 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 18-12 | 14-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-8 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 552, Yuki got to the qualifications after defeating Seita Watanabe 7-64 6-0.
In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Watanabe (7-64 6-0). During the match Mochizuki scored 79 points vs Watanabe’s 63. Mochizuki was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Mochizuki bagged 3 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Yuki Mochizuki lost the serve 3 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 76% of his first serves in, winning 54% (31/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the 2nd serve. Mochizuki broke Watanabe 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Mochizuki has an overall 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Marinkov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 19 |
| Pts | 91-77 | 79-63 |
| Total Points | 168 | 142 |
| Winners | 36 | 31 |
| %Winners | 40% | 39% |
Both Marinkov and Mochizuki played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Pavle Marinkov lost 1 set while Yuki Mochizuki hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Marinkov has played 1 set more than Mochizuki (3 vs 2). Therefore, Marinkov played 6 games more than Mochizuki. Pavle scored 36 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese blasted 31 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Marinkov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 3 |
| 1st in | 47/79 | 57/75 |
| %1st in | 59% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 36/47 | 31/57 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 54% |
| 2nd pts | 14/32 | 10/18 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 56% |
Marinkov made 7 aces . Mochizuki recorded 3 aces . Marinkov won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 54% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Marinkov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 6 |
| Converted | 5/10 | 6/9 |
| % Converted | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded | 5 | 12 |
| Saved | 3 | 9 |
| % Saved | 60% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Australian broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Pavle surrendered his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Yuki conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Marinkov | |||
| Q1 Sorensen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 91-77 | 91-77 | |
| Total points | 168 | 168 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 47/79 | 47/79 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 36/47 | 36/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/32 | 14/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Mochizuki | |||
| Q1 Watanabe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 79-63 | 79-63 | |
| Total points | 142 | 142 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 57/75 | 57/75 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 31/57 | 31/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 54% | 54% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 10/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWWLWWLW
WLLWWWLWLW 
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