Brandon Nakashima and Jan Choinski will face off in the quarter of the Ottignies for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.157
Jan Choinski -> 4.7
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Jan Choinski
This will be the 2nd time that Brandon Nakashima and Jan Choinski fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Nakashima (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Nakashima won 6-4 6-2 in the 1st round in the Danderyd Challenger back in 2023.
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 127, the American got to the quarter after beating Benjamin Hassan 6-3 6-4 and Raphael Collignon 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Collignon (6-3 6-2). During the match, Nakashima scored 69 points vs Collignon’s 54. Nakashima was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nakashima fired 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Brandon Nakashima conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 4 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 59% of his first serves in, winning 68% (26/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the 2nd serve. Brandon broke Collignon 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Brandon hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Nakashima has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (175-110). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nakashima has an aggregate52-19 record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he defeated Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.
Brandon has an overall 10-2 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Louvain
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Jan Choinski
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-33 | 4-4 | 24-16 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-35 | 1-4 | 30-19 | 5-5 | 2-5 | 3-2 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 5-5 | 35-14 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 162, Jan reached the quarter after defeating Antoine Escoffier 6-3 7-66 and Adrian Andreev 7-66 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Jan had a good straight sets win against Andreev (7-66 6-1). During the match Choinski scored 67 points vs Andreev’s 56. The German was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Choinski scored 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jan Choinski lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Choinski put 56% of his first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (18/26) on the 2nd serve. Choinski broke Andreev 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Jan has a compiled 3-2 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakashima | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 42 |
| Pts | 144-113 | 142-120 |
| Total Points | 257 | 262 |
| Winners | 64 | 64 |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% |
Both Nakashima and Choinski played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Nakashima and Choinski have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Nakashima played 6 games less than Choinski. The American scored 64 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Choinski fired 64 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakashima | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 85/126 | 84/133 |
| %1st in | 67% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 64/85 | 64/84 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 24/41 | 29/49 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 59% |
Nakashima recorded 9 aces (4.5 per match). Choinski scored 9 aces (4.5 per match). Nakashima won 75% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Choinski won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakashima | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 6 |
| Converted | 5/13 | 6/12 |
| % Converted | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Saved | 6 | 5 |
| % Saved | 100% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Nakashima broke his opponents 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Nakashima pretty solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 6 break points. The German broke his opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Jan conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nakashima | ||||
| R1 Hassan |
R2 Collignon |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 36 | |
| pts | 75-59 | 69-54 | 144-113 | |
| Total points | 134 | 123 | 257 | |
| Winners | 38 | 26 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 38% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 47/62 | 38/64 | 85/126 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 59% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 38/47 | 26/38 | 64/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 68% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 17/26 | 24/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 65% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 3/8 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 4/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Choinski | ||||
| R1 Escoffier |
R2 Andreev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-66 | 7-66 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 20 | 42 | |
| pts | 75-64 | 67-56 | 142-120 | |
| Total points | 139 | 123 | 262 | |
| Winners | 41 | 23 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 34% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 51/74 | 33/59 | 84/133 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 56% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 41/51 | 23/33 | 64/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 70% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/23 | 18/26 | 29/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 69% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 4/6 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 67% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 2/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLLLWLW
LWWLLLWWLL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Borna CoricCoric – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Henri SquireSquire – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (1-0) – H2H and prediction
