Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Australian Open for the 19th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.7
Alexander Zverev -> 2.2
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Zverev
This will be the 19th time that Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev fight against each other. The head to head is 11-7 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats),but they are 4-4 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 7-6(7) 6-4 in the R in Nitto atp finals back in 2023.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev – Nitto atp finals 15-November-2023
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Medvedev got to the semifinal after beating Terence Atmane 5-7 6-2 6-4 1-0 ret., Emil Ruusuvuori 3-6 6-71 6-4 7-61 6-0, Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-3 6-4 6-3, Nuno Borges 6-3 7-64 5-7 6-1 and Hubert Hurkacz 7-64 2-6 6-3 5-7 6-4.
In the quarter, Medvedev had a tough win against Hurkacz to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (7-64 2-6 6-3 5-7 6-4).During the match, Medvedev scored less points (8) than Hurkacz. In fact, the world no. 3 won 156 points vs Hurkacz’s. That means that Medvedev was more focused during the important points. Daniil was quite aggressive to blast 86 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev made 11 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 5 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 61% of his first serves in, winning 78% (86/110) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (29/70) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Hurkacz 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 5 set in this event to win 52% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a remarkable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (469-187). 5-0 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has an overall 223-69 record in the last years on hard.
Daniil has an aggregate 5-0 win-loss record in 2024, 5-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Alexander Zverev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 57-25 | 24-9 | 18-7 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Alexander got to the semifinal after beating Dominik Koepfer 4-6 6-3 7-63 6-3, Lukas Klein 7-5 3-6 4-6 7-65 7-67, Alex Michelsen 6-2 7-64 6-2, Cameron Norrie 7-5 3-6 6-3 4-6 7-63 and Carlos Alcaraz 6-1 6-3 6-72 6-4.
In the quarter, The German had a good straight sets win against Alcaraz (6-1 6-3 6-72 6-4). During the match Zverev scored 125 points vs Alcaraz’s 103. Alexander was very aggressive to blast 69 winners.
About the serving games, Zverev bagged 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alexander Zverev lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 85% of his first serves in, winning 73% (69/94) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. Zverev broke Alcaraz 7 times after converting 70% of his break points (7/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German has conceded 6 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-4.
The German has an aggregate 9-1 win-loss record in 2024, 9-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 22 | 21 |
| Tot Games | 203 | 219 |
| Pts | 694-637 | 721-638 |
| Total Points | 1331 | 1359 |
| Winners | 310 | 380 |
| %Winners | 45% | 53% |
Both Medvedev and Zverev played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev lost 6 sets, while Alexander Zverev conceded 6 sets. Medvedev has played 1 set more than Zverev (22 vs 21). However, it’s interesting to notice that Medvedev played 16 games less than Zverev. Medvedev scored 310 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Zverev made 380 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 64 | 73 |
| Avg per match | 12.8 | 14.6 |
| 1st in | 415/676 | 494/652 |
| %1st in | 61% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 310/415 | 380/494 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 121/261 | 79/158 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 50% |
Medvedev recorded 64 aces (12.8 per match). Zverev bagged 73 aces (14.6 per match). Medvedev won 75% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Zverev won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 29 | 20 |
| Converted | 29/64 | 20/52 |
| % Converted | 45% | 38% |
| Conceded | 54 | 35 |
| Saved | 36 | 24 |
| % Saved | 67% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 18 | 11 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 29 times with a 45% conversion rate. Daniil surrendered his serve 18 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Alexander broke his opponents 20 times with a 38% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||||||
| R1 Atmane |
R2 Ruusuvuori |
R3 Auger-Aliassime |
R4 Borges |
1/4 Hurkacz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-2 6-4 1-0 ret. | 3-6 6-71 6-4 7-61 6-0 | 6-3 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 7-64 5-7 6-1 | 7-64 2-6 6-3 5-7 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 51 | 28 | 41 | 52 | 203 | |
| pts | 112-99 | 183-169 | 91-75 | 152-130 | 156-164 | 694-637 | |
| Total points | 211 | 352 | 166 | 282 | 320 | 1331 | |
| Winners | 39 | 73 | 43 | 69 | 86 | 310 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 40% | 47% | 45% | 55% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 9 | 23 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 64 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 37 | |
| 1st in | 54/90 | 104/175 | 55/86 | 92/145 | 110/180 | 415/676 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 59% | 64% | 63% | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 39/54 | 73/104 | 43/55 | 69/92 | 86/110 | 310/415 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 70% | 78% | 75% | 78% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/36 | 32/71 | 15/31 | 24/53 | 29/70 | 121/261 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 45% | 48% | 45% | 41% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 6 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 29 | |
| Converted | 6/19 | 8/16 | 5/7 | 6/13 | 4/9 | 29/64 | |
| Converted % | 32% | 50% | 71% | 46% | 44% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 54 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 13/18 | 1/2 | 7/11 | 10/15 | 36 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 72% | 50% | 64% | 67% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 18 | |
| Zverev | |||||||
| R1 Koepfer |
R2 Klein |
R3 Michelsen |
R4 Norrie |
1/4 Alcaraz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 7-63 6-3 | 7-5 3-6 4-6 7-65 7-67 | 6-2 7-64 6-2 | 7-5 3-6 6-3 4-6 7-63 | 6-1 6-3 6-72 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 21 | |
| Tot Games | 41 | 57 | 29 | 53 | 39 | 219 | |
| pts | 140-122 | 190-190 | 100-70 | 166-153 | 125-103 | 721-638 | |
| Total points | 262 | 380 | 170 | 319 | 228 | 1359 | |
| Winners | 73 | 105 | 46 | 87 | 69 | 380 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 55% | 46% | 52% | 55% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 19 | 21 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 73 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 94/131 | 134/179 | 58/81 | 114/150 | 94/111 | 494/652 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 75% | 72% | 76% | 85% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 73/94 | 105/134 | 46/58 | 87/114 | 69/94 | 380/494 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | 79% | 76% | 73% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/37 | 18/45 | 15/23 | 16/36 | 8/17 | 79/158 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 40% | 65% | 44% | 47% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 2/10 | 5/10 | 4/14 | 7/10 | 20/52 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 20% | 50% | 29% | 70% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 35 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 7/10 | 0/1 | 6/10 | 3/5 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 70% | 0% | 60% | 60% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWWL
WWLLWLWWWL Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Yannick Hanfmann/Dominik KoepferHanfmann/Dominik Koepfer – Hugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan Zielinski (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-64 2-6 6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-1 6-3 6-72 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas Machac/Zhizhen ZhangMachac/Zhizhen Zhang – Ariel Behar/Adam PavlasekBehar/Adam Pavlasek (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Taylor FritzFritz (7-63 4-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jannik SinnerSinner (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ZverevZverev (11-7) – H2H and prediction
