Novak Djokovic and Jannik Sinner will play each other in the semifinal of the Australian Open for the 7^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.363
Jannik Sinner -> 3.24

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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Jannik Sinner

This will be the 7^th time that Novak Djokovic and Jannik Sinner face off. The head to head is 4-2 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Sinner won 6-2 2-6 7-5 in the Rubber 2 in 1 back in 2023.

Novak Djokovic

Currently world no. 1 Novak reached the semifinal after beating Dino Prizmic 6-2 6-7⁵ 6-3 6-4, Alexei Popyrin 6-3 4-6 7-6⁴ 6-3, Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-3 6-3 7-6², Adrian Mannarino 6-0 6-0 6-3

and Taylor Fritz 7-6³ 4-6 6-2 6-3.

In the quarter, Djokovic defeated Fritz (7-6³ 4-6 6-2 6-3). During the match, Djokovic scored 148 points vs Fritz’s 121. Novak was pretty aggressive to blast 59 winners.

Talking about the service games, Djokovic overpowered his opponent with 20 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was quite effective on serve to win 82% (59/72) of his 1st serve and 58% (25/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Djokovic broke Fritz 4 times after converting 19% of his break points (4/21).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Novak has dropped 3 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Djokovic has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (490-74). 7-1 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Djokovic has a composed 228-28 match record in the last years on hard.

Djokovic has a compiled 7-1 win-loss record in 2024, 7-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Jannik Sinner

Ranked no. 4 (career-high), the Italian reached the semifinal after beating Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-4 7-5 6-3, Jesper De Jong 6-2 6-2 6-2, Sebastian Baez 6-0 6-1 6-3, Karen Khachanov 6-4 7-5 6-3 and Andrey Rublev 6-4 7-6⁵ 6-3.

In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Rublev (6-4 7-6⁵ 6-3). During the match Sinner scored 115 points vs Rublev’s 103. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 57 winners.

Talking about serving, Sinner struck 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jannik Sinner was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (57/75) of his 1st serve and 52% (22/42) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sinner broke Rublev twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Sinner has a compiled 5-0 win-loss record in 2024, 5-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Djokovic	Sinner
Match played	5	5
Tot Set	18	15
Tot Games	173	140
Pts	600-462	500-383
Total Points	1062	883
Winners	258	200
%Winners	43%	40%

Both Djokovic and Sinner played 5 matches. At the moment, Novak Djokovic conceded 3 sets while Jannik Sinner hasn’t lost a set so far. Djokovic has played 3 sets more than Sinner (18 vs 15). Therefore, Djokovic played 33 games more than Sinner. The Serbian scored 258 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Sinner fired 200 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Djokovic	Sinner
Aces	69	38
Avg per match	13.8	7.6
1st in	327/516	260/430
%1st in	63%	60%
1st pts	258/327	200/260
%1st pts	79%	77%
2nd pts	113/189	101/170
%2nd pts	60%	59%

Djokovic blasted 69 aces (13.8 per match). Sinner struck 38 aces (7.6 per match). Djokovic won 79% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Sinner won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Djokovic	Sinner
Won	25	25
Converted	25/67	25/54
% Converted	37%	46%
Conceded	25	28
Saved	17	26
% Saved	68%	93%
Times Broken	8	2

The Serbian broke his opponents 25 times with a 37% conversion rate. Djokovic surrendered his serve 8 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 25 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 93% of the break points that he conceded.

Djokovic
	R1 Prizmic	R2 Popyrin	R3 Etcheverry	R4 Mannarino	1/4 Fritz	Total
Score	6-2 6-75 6-3 6-4	6-3 4-6 7-64 6-3	6-3 6-3 7-62	6-0 6-0 6-3	7-63 4-6 6-2 6-3
Tot Set	4	4	3	3	4	18
Tot Games	40	41	31	21	40	173
pts	139-113	124-106	104-80	85-42	148-121	600-462
Total points	252	230	184	127	269	1062
Winners	51	60	49	39	59	258
%Winners	37%	48%	47%	46%	40%	43%
SERVE
Aces	11	11	10	17	20	69
Double Faults	1	0	0	5	3	9
1st in	77/129	73/119	57/84	48/69	72/115	327/516
% 1st in	60%	61%	68%	70%	63%	63%
1st pts	51/77	60/73	49/57	39/48	59/72	258/327
% 1st pts	66%	82%	86%	81%	82%	79%
2nd pts	32/52	27/46	16/27	13/21	25/43	113/189
% 2nd pts	62%	59%	59%	62%	58%	60%
Breaks
Won	8	3	3	7	4	25
Converted	8/17	3/11	3/7	7/11	4/21	25/67
Converted %	47%	27%	43%	64%	19%	37%
Conceded	9	7	0	3	6	25
Saved	5/9	5/7	0/0	3/3	4/6	17
Saved %	56%	71%	–	100%	67%	59%
Times Broken	4	2	0	0	2	8

Sinner
	R1 Van De Zandschulp	R2 De	R3 Baez	R4 Khachanov	1/4 Rublev	Total
Score	6-4 7-5 6-3	6-2 6-2 6-2	6-0 6-1 6-3	6-4 7-5 6-3	6-4 7-65 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	3	3	3	15
Tot Games	31	24	22	31	32	140
pts	106-89	87-51	88-56	104-84	115-103	500-383
Total points	195	138	144	188	218	883
Winners	35	32	35	41	57	200
%Winners	33%	37%	40%	39%	50%	40%
SERVE
Aces	7	7	6	8	10	38
Double Faults	2	1	0	3	3	9
1st in	51/88	37/58	45/70	52/97	75/117	260/430
% 1st in	58%	64%	64%	54%	64%	60%
1st pts	35/51	32/37	35/45	41/52	57/75	200/260
% 1st pts	69%	86%	78%	79%	76%	77%
2nd pts	24/37	16/21	13/25	26/45	22/42	101/170
% 2nd pts	65%	76%	52%	58%	52%	59%
Breaks
Won	5	6	7	5	2	25
Converted	5/15	6/12	7/12	5/8	2/7	25/54
Converted %	33%	50%	58%	63%	29%	46%
Conceded	6	0	4	10	8	28
Saved	5/6	0/0	4/4	9/10	8/8	26
Saved %	83%	–	100%	90%	100%	75%
Times Broken	1	0	0	1	0	2

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-6⁴ 2-6 6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
• Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-1 6-3 6-7² 6-4) – See score progression
• Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (6-4 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Yannick Hanfmann/Dominik KoepferHanfmann/Dominik Koepfer – Hugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan Zielinski (6-4 7-6³) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Taylor FritzFritz (7-6³ 4-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Tomas Machac/Zhizhen ZhangMachac/Zhizhen Zhang – Ariel Behar/Adam PavlasekBehar/Adam Pavlasek (6-3 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jannik SinnerSinner (4-2) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ZverevZverev (11-7) – H2H and prediction