Qinwen Zheng and Dayana Yastremska will face off in the semifinal of the Australian Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 9:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Qinwen Zheng is the pick to win this match.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.46
Dayana Yastremska -> 2.8

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Prediction and head to head Qinwen Zheng vs. Dayana Yastremska

There is no head to head record between Qinwen Zheng and Dayana Yastremska since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Qinwen Zheng

Ranked no. 15, Qinwen reached the semifinal after defeating Ashlyn Krueger 3-6 6-2 6-3, Katie Boulter 6-3 6-3, Yafan Wang 6-4 2-6 7-6⁸, Oceane Dodin 6-0 6-3 and Anna Kalinskaya 6-7⁴ 6-3 6-1.

In the quarter against Kalinskaya, Zheng recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁴ 6-3 6-1). During the match, Zheng scored 100 points vs Kalinskaya’s 77. Zheng was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Regarding the service games, Zheng fired 10 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Qinwen Zheng was quite effective on serve to win 80% (36/45) of her 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The Chinese broke Kalinskaya 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Qinwen has dropped 3 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points she played.

Zheng has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 70% of her matches (183-78). 7-1 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zheng has an overall93-44 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Zheng has an aggregate 7-1 win-loss record in 2024, 7-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Dayana Yastremska

Ranked no. 93, Yastremska got to the semifinal after defeating Lea Boskovic 6-3 4-6 6-3, Valentini Grammatikopoulou 6-4 3-6 6-4, Maya Joint 6-2 1-6 6-4, Marketa Vondrousova 6-1 6-2, Varvara Gracheva 6-3 6-2, Emma Navarro 6-2 2-6 6-1, Victoria Azarenka 7-6⁶ 6-4 and Linda Noskova 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Noskova (6-3 6-4). During the match Yastremska scored 64 points vs Noskova’s 52. The Ukrainian was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Yastremska scored 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Dayana Yastremska was very efficient on serve to win 76% (26/34) of her 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Dayana broke Noskova 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Yastremska started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Yastremska has a composed 10-1 win-loss record in 2024, 10-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2019. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Zheng	Yastremska
Match played	5	8
Tot Set	13	20
Tot Games	119	179
Pts	423-355	624-538
Total Points	778	1162
Winners	166	231
%Winners	39%	37%

Zheng played 5 matches while Yastremska competed in 8 matches. Yastremska started her run from the qualifications while Zheng had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Qinwen Zheng conceded 3 sets, while Dayana Yastremska surrendered 4 sets. Zheng has played 7 set(s) less than Yastremska (13 vs 20). Therefore, Zheng played 60 games less than Yastremska. Qinwen scored 166 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian scored 231 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Zheng	Yastremska
Aces	44	23
Avg per match	8.8	2.9
1st in	210/396	336/595
%1st in	53%	56%
1st pts	166/210	231/336
%1st pts	79%	69%
2nd pts	82/186	126/259
%2nd pts	44%	49%

Zheng scored 44 aces (8.8 per match). Yastremska recorded 23 aces (2.9 per match). Zheng won 79% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Yastremska won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Zheng	Yastremska
Won	24	39
Converted	24/44	39/64
% Converted	55%	61%
Conceded	27	46
Saved	15	22
% Saved	56%	48%
Times Broken	12	24

Qinwen broke her opponents 24 times with a 55% conversion rate. Zheng dropped her serve 12 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. Dayana broke her opponents 39 times with a 61% conversion rate. Yastremska conceded her serve 24 times and she saved 48% of the break points that she conceded.

Zheng
	R1 Krueger	R2 Boulter	R3 Wang	R4 Dodin	1/4 Kalinskaya	Total
Score	3-6 6-2 6-3	6-3 6-3	6-4 2-6 7-68	6-0 6-3	6-74 6-3 6-1
Tot Set	3	2	3	2	3	13
Tot Games	26	18	31	15	29	119
pts	100-90	70-55	100-99	53-34	100-77	423-355
Total points	190	125	199	87	177	778
Winners	41	30	40	19	36	166
%Winners	41%	43%	40%	36%	36%	39%
SERVE
Aces	12	7	10	5	10	44
Double Faults	11	8	8	3	2	32
1st in	54/101	39/71	50/93	22/50	45/81	210/396
% 1st in	53%	55%	54%	44%	56%	53%
1st pts	41/54	30/39	40/50	19/22	36/45	166/210
% 1st pts	76%	77%	80%	86%	80%	79%
2nd pts	19/47	11/32	20/43	13/28	19/36	82/186
% 2nd pts	40%	34%	47%	46%	53%	44%
Breaks
Won	5	5	3	5	6	24
Converted	5/15	5/6	3/7	5/7	6/9	24/44
Converted %	33%	83%	43%	71%	67%	55%
Conceded	9	9	5	2	2	27
Saved	6/9	7/9	1/5	1/2	0/2	15
Saved %	67%	78%	20%	50%	0%	43%
Times Broken	3	2	4	1	2	12

Yastremska
	Q1 Boskovic	Q2 Grammatikopoulou	Q3 Joint	R1 Vondrousova	R2 Gracheva	R3 Navarro	R4 Azarenka	1/4 Noskova	Total
Score	6-3 4-6 6-3	6-4 3-6 6-4	6-2 1-6 6-4	6-1 6-2	6-3 6-2	6-2 2-6 6-1	7-66 6-4	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	3	2	2	3	2	2	20
Tot Games	28	29	25	15	17	23	23	19	179
pts	93-77	91-92	80-83	67-44	63-44	83-69	83-77	64-52	624-538
Total points	170	183	163	111	107	152	160	116	1162
Winners	30	34	30	32	22	26	31	26	231
%Winners	32%	37%	38%	48%	35%	31%	37%	41%	37%
SERVE
Aces	0	2	1	2	5	5	5	3	23
Double Faults	5	9	6	2	1	3	6	3	35
1st in	38/78	56/100	48/76	45/65	32/51	36/79	47/84	34/62	336/595
% 1st in	49%	56%	63%	69%	63%	46%	56%	55%	56%
1st pts	30/38	34/56	30/48	32/45	22/32	26/36	31/47	26/34	231/336
% 1st pts	79%	61%	63%	71%	69%	72%	66%	76%	69%
2nd pts	22/40	16/44	11/28	8/20	16/19	23/43	15/37	15/28	126/259
% 2nd pts	55%	36%	39%	40%	84%	53%	41%	54%	49%
Breaks
Won	5	8	5	5	3	5	5	3	39
Converted	5/10	8/11	5/5	5/10	3/4	5/8	5/11	3/5	39/64
Converted %	50%	73%	100%	50%	75%	63%	45%	60%	61%
Conceded	5	13	5	4	1	7	8	3	46
Saved	2/5	5/13	1/5	3/4	1/1	4/7	4/8	2/3	22
Saved %	40%	38%	20%	75%	100%	57%	50%	67%	89%
Times Broken	3	8	4	1	0	3	4	1	24

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Daniel BrandsBrands – Jurij RodionovRodionov (6-4 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cori GauffGauff – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (4-2) – H2H and prediction