Qinwen Zheng and Dayana Yastremska will face off in the semifinal of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 9:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Qinwen Zheng is the pick to win this match.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.46
Dayana Yastremska -> 2.8
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Prediction and head to head Qinwen Zheng vs. Dayana Yastremska
There is no head to head record between Qinwen Zheng and Dayana Yastremska since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Qinwen Zheng
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-17 | 31-10 | 17-4 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-19 | 23-11 | 11-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-19 | 27-12 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-11 | 7-1 | 16-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 38-8 | 3-3 | 26-3 | 9-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, Qinwen reached the semifinal after defeating Ashlyn Krueger 3-6 6-2 6-3, Katie Boulter 6-3 6-3, Yafan Wang 6-4 2-6 7-68, Oceane Dodin 6-0 6-3 and Anna Kalinskaya 6-74 6-3 6-1.
In the quarter against Kalinskaya, Zheng recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-3 6-1). During the match, Zheng scored 100 points vs Kalinskaya’s 77. Zheng was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Zheng fired 10 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Qinwen Zheng was quite effective on serve to win 80% (36/45) of her 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The Chinese broke Kalinskaya 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Qinwen has dropped 3 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points she played.
Zheng has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 70% of her matches (183-78). 7-1 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zheng has an overall93-44 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Zheng has an aggregate 7-1 win-loss record in 2024, 7-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Dayana Yastremska
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-21 | 12-12 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-29 | 19-13 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 7-11 | 5-4 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 7-12 | 3-8 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-12 | 10-7 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 93, Yastremska got to the semifinal after defeating Lea Boskovic 6-3 4-6 6-3, Valentini Grammatikopoulou 6-4 3-6 6-4, Maya Joint 6-2 1-6 6-4, Marketa Vondrousova 6-1 6-2, Varvara Gracheva 6-3 6-2, Emma Navarro 6-2 2-6 6-1, Victoria Azarenka 7-66 6-4 and Linda Noskova 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Noskova (6-3 6-4). During the match Yastremska scored 64 points vs Noskova’s 52. The Ukrainian was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Yastremska scored 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Dayana Yastremska was very efficient on serve to win 76% (26/34) of her 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Dayana broke Noskova 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yastremska started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Yastremska has a composed 10-1 win-loss record in 2024, 10-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zheng | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 8 |
| Tot Set | 13 | 20 |
| Tot Games | 119 | 179 |
| Pts | 423-355 | 624-538 |
| Total Points | 778 | 1162 |
| Winners | 166 | 231 |
| %Winners | 39% | 37% |
Zheng played 5 matches while Yastremska competed in 8 matches. Yastremska started her run from the qualifications while Zheng had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Qinwen Zheng conceded 3 sets, while Dayana Yastremska surrendered 4 sets. Zheng has played 7 set(s) less than Yastremska (13 vs 20). Therefore, Zheng played 60 games less than Yastremska. Qinwen scored 166 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian scored 231 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zheng | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 44 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 8.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st in | 210/396 | 336/595 |
| %1st in | 53% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 166/210 | 231/336 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 82/186 | 126/259 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 49% |
Zheng scored 44 aces (8.8 per match). Yastremska recorded 23 aces (2.9 per match). Zheng won 79% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Yastremska won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zheng | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 24 | 39 |
| Converted | 24/44 | 39/64 |
| % Converted | 55% | 61% |
| Conceded | 27 | 46 |
| Saved | 15 | 22 |
| % Saved | 56% | 48% |
| Times Broken | 12 | 24 |
Qinwen broke her opponents 24 times with a 55% conversion rate. Zheng dropped her serve 12 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. Dayana broke her opponents 39 times with a 61% conversion rate. Yastremska conceded her serve 24 times and she saved 48% of the break points that she conceded.
| Zheng | |||||||
| R1 Krueger |
R2 Boulter |
R3 Wang |
R4 Dodin |
1/4 Kalinskaya |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 2-6 7-68 | 6-0 6-3 | 6-74 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 18 | 31 | 15 | 29 | 119 | |
| pts | 100-90 | 70-55 | 100-99 | 53-34 | 100-77 | 423-355 | |
| Total points | 190 | 125 | 199 | 87 | 177 | 778 | |
| Winners | 41 | 30 | 40 | 19 | 36 | 166 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 43% | 40% | 36% | 36% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 12 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 44 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 32 | |
| 1st in | 54/101 | 39/71 | 50/93 | 22/50 | 45/81 | 210/396 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 55% | 54% | 44% | 56% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 41/54 | 30/39 | 40/50 | 19/22 | 36/45 | 166/210 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 77% | 80% | 86% | 80% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/47 | 11/32 | 20/43 | 13/28 | 19/36 | 82/186 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 34% | 47% | 46% | 53% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 5/6 | 3/7 | 5/7 | 6/9 | 24/44 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 83% | 43% | 71% | 67% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 27 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 7/9 | 1/5 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 78% | 20% | 50% | 0% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | |
| Yastremska | ||||||||||
| Q1 Boskovic |
Q2 Grammatikopoulou |
Q3 Joint |
R1 Vondrousova |
R2 Gracheva |
R3 Navarro |
R4 Azarenka |
1/4 Noskova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | 6-4 3-6 6-4 | 6-2 1-6 6-4 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 2-6 6-1 | 7-66 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 29 | 25 | 15 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 179 | |
| pts | 93-77 | 91-92 | 80-83 | 67-44 | 63-44 | 83-69 | 83-77 | 64-52 | 624-538 | |
| Total points | 170 | 183 | 163 | 111 | 107 | 152 | 160 | 116 | 1162 | |
| Winners | 30 | 34 | 30 | 32 | 22 | 26 | 31 | 26 | 231 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 37% | 38% | 48% | 35% | 31% | 37% | 41% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 35 | |
| 1st in | 38/78 | 56/100 | 48/76 | 45/65 | 32/51 | 36/79 | 47/84 | 34/62 | 336/595 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 56% | 63% | 69% | 63% | 46% | 56% | 55% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 30/38 | 34/56 | 30/48 | 32/45 | 22/32 | 26/36 | 31/47 | 26/34 | 231/336 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 61% | 63% | 71% | 69% | 72% | 66% | 76% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/40 | 16/44 | 11/28 | 8/20 | 16/19 | 23/43 | 15/37 | 15/28 | 126/259 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 36% | 39% | 40% | 84% | 53% | 41% | 54% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||||
| Won | 5 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 39 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 8/11 | 5/5 | 5/10 | 3/4 | 5/8 | 5/11 | 3/5 | 39/64 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 73% | 100% | 50% | 75% | 63% | 45% | 60% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 46 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 5/13 | 1/5 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 4/7 | 4/8 | 2/3 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 38% | 20% | 75% | 100% | 57% | 50% | 67% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 24 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWWWLWW
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- Cori GauffGauff – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (4-2) – H2H and prediction
