Aryna Sabalenka and Cori Gauff will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Australian Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 7:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.64
Cori Gauff -> 2.31
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Cori Gauff
This will be the 7th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Cori Gauff square off. The head to head is 4-2 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Gauff won 2-6 6-3 6-2 in the final in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.
Highlights Cori Gauff vs Aryna Sabalenka – U.S. Open 09-September-2023
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-9 | 14-4 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Sabalenka got to the semifinal after beating Ella Seidel 6-0 6-1, Brenda Fruhvirtova 6-3 6-2, Lesya Tsurenko 6-0 6-0, Amanda Anisimova 6-3 6-2 and Barbora Krejcikova 6-2 6-3.
In the quarter, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Krejcikova (6-2 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 55 points vs Krejcikova’s 34. Sabalenka was quite aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka scored 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was extremely efficient on serve to win 72% (18/25) of her 1st serve and 53% (8/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Aryna broke Krejcikova 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belarussian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 64% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (327-155). 9-1 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a compiled198-86 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Belarussian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Brisbane.
Sabalenka has an aggregate 9-1 win-loss record in 2024, 9-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Cori Gauff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-10 | 18-5 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-8 | 7-5 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the American reached the semifinal after defeating Anna Schmiedlova 6-3 6-0, Caroline Dolehide 7-62 6-2, Alycia Parks 6-0 6-2, Magdalena Frech 6-1 6-2 and Marta Kostyuk 7-66 6-73 6-2.
In the quarter, The American defeated Kostyuk (7-66 6-73 6-2). During the match Gauff scored 126 points vs Kostyuk’s 120. The American was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Gauff scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 9 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve 7 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 54% of her first serves in, winning 59% (38/64) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (21/54) on the 2nd serve. Gauff broke Kostyuk 9 times after converting 41% of her break points (9/22).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gauff has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Auckland where she beat Elina Svitolina in the final 6-7(4) 6-3 6-3.
Cori has a compiled 10-0 win-loss record in 2024, 10-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2020 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 76 | 99 |
| Pts | 286-164 | 370-265 |
| Total Points | 450 | 635 |
| Winners | 109 | 130 |
| %Winners | 38% | 35% |
Both Sabalenka and Gauff played 5 matches. At the moment, Cori Gauff conceded 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Gauff (10 vs 11). Therefore, Sabalenka played 23 games less than Gauff. Aryna scored 109 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The American made 130 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2.2 |
| 1st in | 137/221 | 180/310 |
| %1st in | 62% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 109/137 | 130/180 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 47/84 | 60/130 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 46% |
Sabalenka blasted 20 aces (4 per match). Gauff recorded 11 aces (2.2 per match). Sabalenka won 80% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Gauff won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 24 | 30 |
| Converted | 24/40 | 30/52 |
| % Converted | 60% | 58% |
| Conceded | 8 | 27 |
| Saved | 5 | 15 |
| % Saved | 63% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 12 |
Sabalenka broke her opponents 24 times with a 60% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 30 times with a 58% conversion rate. Gauff conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||||
| R1 Seidel |
R2 Fruhvirtova |
R3 Tsurenko |
R4 Anisimova |
1/4 Krejcikova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-0 6-0 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 76 | |
| pts | 56-26 | 62-41 | 54-24 | 59-39 | 55-34 | 286-164 | |
| Total points | 82 | 103 | 78 | 98 | 89 | 450 | |
| Winners | 24 | 21 | 19 | 27 | 18 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 34% | 35% | 46% | 33% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 30/44 | 26/48 | 25/39 | 31/50 | 25/40 | 137/221 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 54% | 64% | 62% | 63% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 21/26 | 19/25 | 27/31 | 18/25 | 109/137 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 81% | 76% | 87% | 72% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 13/22 | 8/14 | 11/19 | 8/15 | 47/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 59% | 57% | 58% | 53% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/6 | 6/10 | 3/6 | 6/9 | 24/40 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 67% | 60% | 50% | 67% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| Gauff | |||||||
| R1 Anna Schmiedlova |
R2 Dolehide |
R3 Parks |
R4 Frech |
1/4 Kostyuk |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 7-62 6-2 | 6-0 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | 7-66 6-73 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 21 | 14 | 15 | 34 | 99 | |
| pts | 54-21 | 80-63 | 56-29 | 54-32 | 126-120 | 370-265 | |
| Total points | 75 | 143 | 85 | 86 | 246 | 635 | |
| Winners | 15 | 38 | 23 | 16 | 38 | 130 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 48% | 41% | 30% | 30% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 21/38 | 48/77 | 26/39 | 21/38 | 64/118 | 180/310 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 62% | 67% | 55% | 54% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 15/21 | 38/48 | 23/26 | 16/21 | 38/64 | 130/180 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 79% | 88% | 76% | 59% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 11/29 | 6/13 | 12/17 | 21/54 | 60/130 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 38% | 46% | 71% | 39% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 30 | |
| Converted | 7/9 | 4/7 | 5/5 | 5/9 | 9/22 | 30/52 | |
| Converted % | 78% | 57% | 100% | 56% | 41% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 27 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 6/8 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 7/14 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 75% | – | – | 50% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWLWW
WLWWLWWWWW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Daniel BrandsBrands – Jurij RodionovRodionov (6-4 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (4-2) – H2H and prediction
