Jasmine Paolini and Anna Kalinskaya will square off in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 6:00 pm on John Cain Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Anna Kalinskaya who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Anna Kalinskaya is the pick to win this match.
Anna Kalinskaya -> 1.909
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.909

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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Anna Kalinskaya

This will be the 2nd time that Jasmine Paolini and Anna Kalinskaya face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Paolini (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Paolini won 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in Portoroz back in 2021.

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

4 - 2win/loss

Hard
4-2
I Hard
0-0
Rank
5
High
5
WLWLWWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 34-15 14-7 12-5 0-1 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 31, the Italian got to the 4th round after defeating Diana Shnaider 6-3 6-4, Tatjana Maria 6-2 6-3 and Anna Blinkova 7-61 6-4.

In the 3rd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Blinkova (7-61 6-4). During the match, Paolini scored 71 points vs Blinkova’s 54. Paolini was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Paolini managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 82% of her first serves in, winning 68% (34/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (5/11) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Blinkova 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points she played.

Paolini has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of her matches (289-227). 4-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Paolini has an overall 95-82 record in the last years on hard.

Paolini has an aggregate 4-2 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Paolini's Record

Anna Kalinskaya

Anna Kalinskaya

7 - 2win/loss

Hard
7-2
I Hard
0-0
Rank
15
High
15
WLWLWWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 32-15 22-8 3-5 0-0 7-2 0-0
2023 28-18 16-15 7-3 5-0 0-0 0-0
2022 27-20 22-10 2-6 1-1 2-3 0-0
2021 30-23 19-12 3-7 5-2 3-2 0-0
2020 9-8 8-6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 75, the Russian reached the 4th round after beating Katie Volynets 6-3 3-6 6-2, Arantxa Rus 6-1 7-5 and Sloane Stephens 6-78 6-1 6-4.

In the 3rd round against Stephens, Kalinskaya recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-78 6-1 6-4). During the match Kalinskaya scored 121 points vs Stephens’s 107. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 53 winners.

About the serving games, Kalinskaya bagged 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Anna Kalinskaya lost the serve once and she saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Kalinskaya put 69% of her first serves in, winning 65% (53/81) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the 2nd serve. Anna broke Stephens 4 times after converting 29% of her break points (4/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kalinskaya has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Kalinskaya has a composed 7-2 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st

round in 2018, 2019, 2020 and 2023. See her history.
Australian Open
Kalinskaya's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Paolini
A.Kalinskaya
3h:45
3h:45
Time on court​
!
6h:18
6h:18
1h:26
1h:26
Last match​
!
2h:45
2h:45
3
3
Match played
3
3
59
59
Games Played​
75
75
6
6
Set played​​
8
8
198
198
Total points​
299
299
66
66
Avg point​
99.7
99.7
95
95
Winners
132
132
31.7
31.7
Avg Winners​
44
44
48%
48%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
10
10
1.7
1.7
Avg Aces
3.3
3.3
3
3
Double Faults
6
6
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2
2
95/136
95/136
1st won total​
132/197
132/197
70%
70%
1st won %
67%
67%
17/38
17/38
2nd won total​
43/75
43/75
45%
45%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
12/17
12/17
BP won
13/44
13/44
4/5.7
4/5.7
Avg BP won
4.3/14.7
4.3/14.7
!
71%
71%
Won
30%
30%
12
12
Conceded
26
26
4
4
Avg Conceded
8.7
8.7
6
6
Broken
4
4
2
2
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
6
6
Saved
22
22
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paolini Kalinskaya
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 8
Tot Games 59 75
Pts 198-150 299-254
Total Points 348 553
Winners 95 132
%Winners 48% 44%

Both Paolini and Kalinskaya played 3 matches. At the moment, Anna Kalinskaya dropped 2 sets while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t lost a set so far. Paolini has played 2 set(s) less than Kalinskaya (6 vs 8). Therefore, Paolini played 16 games less than Kalinskaya. Paolini scored 95 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Kalinskaya bagged 132 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paolini Kalinskaya
Aces 5 10
Avg per match 1.7 3.3
1st in 136/174 197/272
%1st in 78% 72%
1st pts 95/136 132/197
%1st pts 70% 67%
2nd pts 17/38 43/75
%2nd pts 45% 57%

Paolini made 5 aces (1.7 per match). Kalinskaya fired 10 aces (3.3 per match). Paolini won 70% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Kalinskaya won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paolini Kalinskaya
Won 12 13
Converted 12/17 13/44
% Converted 71% 30%
Conceded 12 26
Saved 6 22
% Saved 50% 85%
Times Broken 6 4

The Italian broke her opponents 12 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Kalinskaya broke her opponents 13 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 85% of the break points that she conceded.

Paolini
R1
Shnaider		 R2
Maria		 R3
Blinkova		 Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-2 6-3 7-61 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 19 17 23 59
pts 58-47 69-49 71-54 198-150
Total points 105 118 125 348
Winners 26 35 34 95
%Winners 45% 51% 48% 48%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 3 5
Double Faults 1 1 1 3
1st in 38/55 48/58 50/61 136/174
% 1st in 69% 83% 82% 78%
1st pts 26/38 35/48 34/50 95/136
% 1st pts 68% 73% 68% 70%
2nd pts 8/17 4/10 5/11 17/38
% 2nd pts 47% 40% 45% 45%
Breaks
Won 4 4 4 12
Converted 4/5 4/7 4/5 12/17
Converted % 80% 57% 80% 71%
Conceded 2 5 5 12
Saved 0/2 4/5 2/5 6
Saved % 0% 80% 40% 40%
Times Broken 2 1 3 6
Kalinskaya
R1
Volynets		 R2
Rus		 R3
Stephens		 Total
Score 6-3 3-6 6-2 6-1 7-5 6-78 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 26 19 30 75
pts 108-95 70-52 121-107 299-254
Total points 203 122 228 553
Winners 50 29 53 132
%Winners 46% 41% 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 4 1 5 10
Double Faults 4 1 1 6
1st in 71/99 45/55 81/118 197/272
% 1st in 72% 82% 69% 72%
1st pts 50/71 29/45 53/81 132/197
% 1st pts 70% 64% 65% 67%
2nd pts 15/28 6/10 22/37 43/75
% 2nd pts 54% 60% 59% 57%
Breaks
Won 3 6 4 13
Converted 3/16 6/14 4/14 13/44
Converted % 19% 43% 29% 30%
Conceded 8 5 13 26
Saved 7/8 3/5 12/13 22
Saved % 88% 60% 92% 80%
Times Broken 1 2 1 4

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Paolini
More Stats
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Kalinskaya

Click for FULL STATS