Daniil Medvedev and Nuno Borges will square off in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.028
Nuno Borges -> 12.75
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Nuno Borges
There is no head to head record between Daniil Medvedev and Nuno Borges since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-7 | 18-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Medvedev got to the 4th round after defeating Terence Atmane 5-7 6-2 6-4 1-0 ret., Emil Ruusuvuori 3-6 6-71 6-4 7-61 6-0 and Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-3 6-4 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Auger-Aliassime (6-3 6-4 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 91 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 75. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev struck 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 64% of his first serves in, winning 78% (43/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Auger-Aliassime 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has dropped 2 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a great match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (467-187). 3-0 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has an aggregate 221-69 match record in the last years on hard.
The Russian has a compiled 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Nuno Borges
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-14 | 12-8 | 8-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-26 | 20-11 | 8-7 | 6-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 7-5 | 28-13 | 11-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 52-21 | 6-4 | 46-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 31-7 | 29-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 69, Nuno reached the 4th round after defeating Maximilian Marterer 7-5 7-63 6-2, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-67 6-3 6-3 and Grigor Dimitrov 6-73 6-4 6-2 7-66.
In the 3rd round against Dimitrov, Nuno recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-4 6-2 7-66). During the match Borges scored 138 points vs Dimitrov’s 130. Borges was extremely aggressive to blast 80 winners.
About the serving games, Borges overpowered his opponent with 21 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Nuno Borges lost the serve once and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Borges put 69% of his first serves in, winning 78% (80/103) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (22/47) on the 2nd serve. Borges broke Dimitrov 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Portuguese has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Portuguese has a composed 4-2 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 13 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 110 | 108 |
| Pts | 386-343 | 376-321 |
| Total Points | 729 | 697 |
| Winners | 155 | 187 |
| %Winners | 40% | 50% |
Both Medvedev and Borges played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev surrendered 3 sets, while Nuno Borges lost 1 set. Medvedev has played 3 sets more than Borges (13 vs 10). Therefore, Medvedev played 2 games more than Borges. The Russian scored 155 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Borges fired 187 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 40 | 46 |
| Avg per match | 13.3 | 15.3 |
| 1st in | 213/351 | 240/363 |
| %1st in | 61% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 155/213 | 187/240 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 68/138 | 62/123 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 50% |
Medvedev blasted 40 aces (13.3 per match). Borges bagged 46 aces (15.3 per match). Medvedev won 73% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Borges won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 13 |
| Converted | 19/42 | 13/30 |
| % Converted | 45% | 43% |
| Conceded | 28 | 29 |
| Saved | 19 | 25 |
| % Saved | 68% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 4 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 19 times with a 45% conversion rate. Medvedev dropped his serve 9 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. The Portuguese broke his opponents 13 times with a 43% conversion rate. Nuno conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||||
| R1 Atmane |
R2 Ruusuvuori |
R3 Auger-Aliassime |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-2 6-4 1-0 ret. | 3-6 6-71 6-4 7-61 6-0 | 6-3 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 51 | 28 | 110 | |
| pts | 112-99 | 183-169 | 91-75 | 386-343 | |
| Total points | 211 | 352 | 166 | 729 | |
| Winners | 39 | 73 | 43 | 155 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 40% | 47% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 23 | 8 | 40 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 8 | 4 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 54/90 | 104/175 | 55/86 | 213/351 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 59% | 64% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 39/54 | 73/104 | 43/55 | 155/213 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 70% | 78% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/36 | 32/71 | 15/31 | 68/138 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 45% | 48% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 6/19 | 8/16 | 5/7 | 19/42 | |
| Converted % | 32% | 50% | 71% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 18 | 2 | 28 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 13/18 | 1/2 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 72% | 50% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9 | |
| Borges | |||||
| R1 Marterer |
R2 Davidovich Fokina |
R3 Dimitrov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-63 6-2 | 7-67 6-3 6-3 | 6-73 6-4 6-2 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 31 | 44 | 108 | |
| pts | 122-95 | 116-96 | 138-130 | 376-321 | |
| Total points | 217 | 212 | 268 | 697 | |
| Winners | 54 | 53 | 80 | 187 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 46% | 58% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 18 | 7 | 21 | 46 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 64/99 | 73/114 | 103/150 | 240/363 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 64% | 69% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 54/64 | 53/73 | 80/103 | 187/240 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 73% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/35 | 22/41 | 22/47 | 62/123 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 54% | 47% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 5/9 | 4/7 | 13/30 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 56% | 57% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 9 | 12 | 29 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 7/9 | 11/12 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 78% | 92% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWLWL
LWWWLWWLLW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-2 7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-73 6-4 6-2 7-66) – See score progression
- Arthur CazauxCazaux – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 6-77 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Juncheng ShangShang (6-1 6-1 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-6 6-1 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Tommy PaulPaul (6-4 3-6 2-6 7-67 6-0) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-0 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 6-3 7-62) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-3 6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Tomas MachacMachac (6-4 7-64 4-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (3-6 6-4 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Ben SheltonShelton (7-64 1-6 6-72 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-2 7-66 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Andrey RublevRublev (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
