Mariano Navone and Facundo Bagnis will square off in the final of the Tigre Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on ENRIQUE MOREA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mariano Navone who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mariano Navone is the pick to win this match.
Mariano Navone -> 1.56
Facundo Bagnis -> 2.33

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Prediction and head to head Mariano Navone vs. Facundo Bagnis

This will be the 2^nd time that Mariano Navone and Facundo Bagnis square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Navone (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Navone won 6-3 6-3 in the semifinal in the Villa Maria Challenger back in 2022.

Mariano Navone

Ranked no. 125, Mariano got to the final after defeating Gonzalo Bueno 6-3 6-2, Damien Wenger 6-3 6-3, Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco 6-2 6-1 and Edoardo Lavagno 6-0 6-4.

In the semifinal, Navone had a good straight sets win against Lavagno (6-0 6-4). During the match, Navone scored 62 points vs Lavagno’s 38. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, Navone scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Mariano Navone conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 74% of his first serves in, win 88% (28/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (5/11) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Lavagno 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 59% of the points he played.

Navone has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 65% of his matches (194-105). 4-0 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Navone has a composed190-99 record in the last 7 years on clay.

Mariano’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Tigre Challenger.

Mariano has an aggregate 4-1 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Tigre Challenger

Facundo Bagnis

Ranked no. 241, the Argentine reached the final after defeating Timo Stodder 6-2 6-3, Renzo Olivo 6-7⁴ 6-4 6-3, Liam Draxl 6-4 6-4 and Dmitry Popko 6-4 7-5.

In the semifinal, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Popko (6-4 7-5). During the match Bagnis scored 67 points vs Popko’s 53. Facundo was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Bagnis couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 5 double faults. Facundo Bagnis lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Bagnis put 64% of his first serves in, winning 76% (29/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. Facundo broke Popko 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bagnis has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The Argentine’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Tigre Challenger.

Bagnis has a compiled 4-1 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Navone	Bagnis
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	9
Tot Games	66	91
Pts	262-181	309-253
Total Points	443	562
Winners	99	129
%Winners	38%	42%

Both Navone and Bagnis played 4 matches. At the moment, Facundo Bagnis lost 1 set while Mariano Navone hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Navone has played 1 set(s) less than Bagnis (8 vs 9). Therefore, Navone played 25 games less than Bagnis. The Argentine scored 99 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine scored 129 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Navone	Bagnis
Aces	4	15
Avg per match	1	3.8
1st in	139/203	181/270
%1st in	68%	67%
1st pts	99/139	129/181
%1st pts	71%	71%
2nd pts	28/64	39/89
%2nd pts	44%	44%

Navone managed to score 4 aces (1 per match). Bagnis bagged 15 aces (3.8 per match). Navone won 71% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Bagnis won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Navone	Bagnis
Won	22	22
Converted	22/39	22/45
% Converted	56%	49%
Conceded	18	23
Saved	12	11
% Saved	67%	48%
Times Broken	6	12

Navone broke his opponents 22 times with a 56% conversion rate. Navone dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Bagnis broke his opponents 22 times with a 49% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 48% of the break points that he conceded.

Navone
	R1 Bueno	R2 Wenger	1/4 Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1/2 Lavagno	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	6-3 6-3	6-2 6-1	6-0 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	17	18	15	16	66
pts	62-45	67-51	71-47	62-38	262-181
Total points	107	118	118	100	443
Winners	18	30	23	28	99
%Winners	29%	45%	32%	45%	38%
SERVE
Aces	0	2	1	1	4
Double Faults	2	5	2	0	9
1st in	34/53	41/63	32/44	32/43	139/203
% 1st in	64%	65%	73%	74%	68%
1st pts	18/34	30/41	23/32	28/32	99/139
% 1st pts	53%	73%	72%	88%	71%
2nd pts	10/19	8/22	5/12	5/11	28/64
% 2nd pts	53%	36%	42%	45%	44%
Breaks
Won	7	5	6	4	22
Converted	7/11	5/9	6/12	4/7	22/39
Converted %	64%	56%	50%	57%	56%
Conceded	8	5	5	0	18
Saved	5/8	3/5	4/5	0/0	12
Saved %	63%	60%	80%	–	51%
Times Broken	3	2	1	0	6

Bagnis
	R1 Stodder	R2 Olivo	1/4 Draxl	1/2 Popko	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	6-74 6-4 6-3	6-4 6-4	6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	9
Tot Games	17	32	20	22	91
pts	60-45	113-105	69-50	67-53	309-253
Total points	105	218	119	120	562
Winners	26	47	27	29	129
%Winners	43%	42%	39%	43%	42%
SERVE
Aces	6	6	3	0	15
Double Faults	0	3	1	5	9
1st in	37/54	69/100	37/57	38/59	181/270
% 1st in	69%	69%	65%	64%	67%
1st pts	26/37	47/69	27/37	29/38	129/181
% 1st pts	70%	68%	73%	76%	71%
2nd pts	6/17	13/31	10/20	10/21	39/89
% 2nd pts	35%	42%	50%	48%	44%
Breaks
Won	5	7	5	5	22
Converted	5/9	7/16	5/12	5/8	22/45
Converted %	56%	44%	42%	63%	49%
Conceded	2	10	7	4	23
Saved	0/2	6/10	4/7	1/4	11
Saved %	0%	60%	57%	25%	36%
Times Broken	2	4	3	3	12

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Mariano NavoneNavone – Facundo BagnisBagnis (1-0) – H2H and prediction