Marta Kostyuk and Maria Timofeeva will face off in the 4^th round of the Australian Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on Kia Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marta Kostyuk who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marta Kostyuk is the pick to win this match.
Marta Kostyuk -> 1.65
Maria Timofeeva -> 2.24

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Prediction and head to head Marta Kostyuk vs. Maria Timofeeva

There is no head to head record between Marta Kostyuk and Maria Timofeeva since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Marta Kostyuk

Ranked no. 37, the Ukrainian reached the 4^th round after defeating Claire Liu 6-3 4-6 6-1, Elise Mertens 5-7 6-1 7-6⁶ and Elina Avanesyan 2-6 6-4 6-4.

In the 3^rd round against Avanesyan, Kostyuk recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-4). During the match, Kostyuk scored 112 points vs Avanesyan’s 111. Kostyuk was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kostyuk made 6 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve 7 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 57% of her first serves in, winning 54% (32/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (19/44) on the 2nd serve. Marta broke Avanesyan 7 times after converting 29% of her break points (7/24).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kostyuk has lost 3 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points she played.

Kostyuk has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 63% of her matches (190-110). 6-2 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Kostyuk has an aggregate97-56 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Kostyuk has a composed 6-2 win-loss record in 2024, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Maria Timofeeva

Ranked no. 170, the Russian got to the 4^th round after defeating Darya Astakhova 6-2 6-3, Astra Sharma 6-2 6-4, Priscilla Hon 6-2 4-6 6-1, Alize Cornet 6-2 6-4, Caroline Wozniacki 1-6 6-4 6-1 and Beatriz Haddad Maia 7-6⁷ 6-3.

In the 3^rd round, Maria had a good straight sets win against Haddad Maia (7-6⁷ 6-3). During the match Timofeeva scored 79 points vs Haddad Maia’s 66. Timofeeva was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about serving, Timofeeva scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Maria Timofeeva lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Timofeeva put 67% of her first serves in, winning 80% (37/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Maria broke Haddad Maia 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Timofeeva has a compiled 6-1 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Timofeeva has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Kostyuk	Timofeeva
Match played	3	6
Tot Set	9	14
Tot Games	86	124
Pts	311-278	469-373
Total Points	589	842
Winners	110	186
%Winners	35%	40%

Kostyuk played 3 matches while Timofeeva competed in 6 matches. Timofeeva started her run from the qualifications while Kostyuk had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Marta Kostyuk lost 3 sets, while Maria Timofeeva conceded 2 sets. Kostyuk has played 5 set(s) less than Timofeeva (9 vs 14). Therefore, Kostyuk played 38 games less than Timofeeva. The Ukrainian scored 110 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Maria managed to score 186 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Kostyuk	Timofeeva
Aces	10	6
Avg per match	3.3	1
1st in	166/288	278/406
%1st in	58%	68%
1st pts	110/166	186/278
%1st pts	66%	67%
2nd pts	60/122	66/128
%2nd pts	49%	52%

Kostyuk scored 10 aces (3.3 per match). Timofeeva bagged 6 aces (1 per match). Kostyuk won 66% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Timofeeva won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Kostyuk	Timofeeva
Won	17	30
Converted	17/40	30/65
% Converted	43%	46%
Conceded	34	41
Saved	21	27
% Saved	62%	66%
Times Broken	13	14

The Ukrainian broke her opponents 17 times with a 43% conversion rate. Kostyuk conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded. Maria broke her opponents 30 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 14 times and she saved 66% of the break points that she conceded.

Kostyuk
	R1 Liu	R2 Mertens	R3 Avanesyan	Total
Score	6-3 4-6 6-1	5-7 6-1 7-66	2-6 6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	3	9
Tot Games	26	32	28	86
pts	86-67	113-100	112-111	311-278
Total points	153	213	223	589
Winners	26	52	32	110
%Winners	30%	46%	29%	35%
SERVE
Aces	1	3	6	10
Double Faults	7	11	5	23
1st in	38/77	69/108	59/103	166/288
% 1st in	49%	64%	57%	58%
1st pts	26/38	52/69	32/59	110/166
% 1st pts	68%	75%	54%	66%
2nd pts	24/39	17/39	19/44	60/122
% 2nd pts	62%	44%	43%	49%
Breaks
Won	6	4	7	17
Converted	6/8	4/8	7/24	17/40
Converted %	75%	50%	29%	43%
Conceded	5	13	16	34
Saved	2/5	10/13	9/16	21
Saved %	40%	77%	56%	58%
Times Broken	3	3	7	13

Timofeeva
	Q1 Astakhova	Q2 Sharma	Q3 Hon	R1 Cornet	R2 Wozniacki	R3 Haddad Maia	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	6-2 6-4	6-2 4-6 6-1	6-2 6-4	1-6 6-4 6-1	7-67 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	3	2	14
Tot Games	17	18	25	18	24	22	124
pts	58-41	63-40	92-71	79-64	98-91	79-66	469-373
Total points	99	103	163	143	189	145	842
Winners	24	27	31	31	36	37	186
%Winners	41%	43%	34%	39%	37%	47%	40%
SERVE
Aces	2	2	0	0	1	1	6
Double Faults	2	7	0	4	0	1	14
1st in	32/45	34/55	54/74	45/67	67/96	46/69	278/406
% 1st in	71%	62%	73%	67%	70%	67%	68%
1st pts	24/32	27/34	31/54	31/45	36/67	37/46	186/278
% 1st pts	75%	79%	57%	69%	54%	80%	67%
2nd pts	7/13	8/21	15/20	11/22	15/29	10/23	66/128
% 2nd pts	54%	38%	75%	50%	52%	43%	52%
Breaks
Won	5	5	7	4	6	3	30
Converted	5/9	5/7	7/13	4/15	6/13	3/8	30/65
Converted %	56%	71%	54%	27%	46%	38%	46%
Conceded	3	5	9	7	15	2	41
Saved	2/3	3/5	6/9	6/7	10/15	0/2	27
Saved %	67%	60%	67%	86%	67%	0%	116%
Times Broken	1	2	3	1	5	2	14

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

• Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Yafan WangWang (6-4 2-6 7-6⁸) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (7-6¹ 6-4) – See score progression
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Emma NavarroNavarro (6-2 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Oceane DodinDodin – Clara BurelBurel (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Sloane StephensStephens (6-7⁸ 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Alycia ParksParks (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Magdalena FrechFrech – Anastasia ZakharovaZakharova (4-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Storm HunterHunter (4-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (2-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Maria TimofeevaTimofeeva – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (7-6⁷ 6-3) – See score progression
• Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Diane ParryParry (1-6 6-1 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Emma NavarroNavarro (6-2 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (7-6(1) 6-4) – See score progression
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Sloane StephensStephens (6-7(8) 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Yafan WangWang (6-4 2-6 7-6(8)) – See score progression
• Oceane DodinDodin – Clara BurelBurel (6-2 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Oceane DodinDodin (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Magdalena FrechFrech – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (4-1) – H2H and prediction