Marta Kostyuk and Maria Timofeeva will face off in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on Kia Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marta Kostyuk who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Marta Kostyuk is the pick to win this match.
Marta Kostyuk -> 1.65
Maria Timofeeva -> 2.24
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Prediction and head to head Marta Kostyuk vs. Maria Timofeeva
There is no head to head record between Marta Kostyuk and Maria Timofeeva since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Marta Kostyuk
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-20 | 24-12 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 22-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 18-11 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 8-9 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-12 | 16-6 | 7-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 37, the Ukrainian reached the 4th round after defeating Claire Liu 6-3 4-6 6-1, Elise Mertens 5-7 6-1 7-66 and Elina Avanesyan 2-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 3rd round against Avanesyan, Kostyuk recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-4). During the match, Kostyuk scored 112 points vs Avanesyan’s 111. Kostyuk was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kostyuk made 6 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve 7 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 57% of her first serves in, winning 54% (32/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (19/44) on the 2nd serve. Marta broke Avanesyan 7 times after converting 29% of her break points (7/24).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kostyuk has lost 3 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points she played.
Kostyuk has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 63% of her matches (190-110). 6-2 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Kostyuk has an aggregate97-56 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Kostyuk has a composed 6-2 win-loss record in 2024, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Maria Timofeeva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-21 | 14-10 | 4-8 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-19 | 15-6 | 10-6 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-21 | 21-11 | 7-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-19 | 22-11 | 13-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2020 | 11-4 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 170, the Russian got to the 4th round after defeating Darya Astakhova 6-2 6-3, Astra Sharma 6-2 6-4, Priscilla Hon 6-2 4-6 6-1, Alize Cornet 6-2 6-4, Caroline Wozniacki 1-6 6-4 6-1 and Beatriz Haddad Maia 7-67 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Maria had a good straight sets win against Haddad Maia (7-67 6-3). During the match Timofeeva scored 79 points vs Haddad Maia’s 66. Timofeeva was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Timofeeva scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Maria Timofeeva lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Timofeeva put 67% of her first serves in, winning 80% (37/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Maria broke Haddad Maia 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Timofeeva has a compiled 6-1 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Timofeeva has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kostyuk | Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 14 |
| Tot Games | 86 | 124 |
| Pts | 311-278 | 469-373 |
| Total Points | 589 | 842 |
| Winners | 110 | 186 |
| %Winners | 35% | 40% |
Kostyuk played 3 matches while Timofeeva competed in 6 matches. Timofeeva started her run from the qualifications while Kostyuk had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Marta Kostyuk lost 3 sets, while Maria Timofeeva conceded 2 sets. Kostyuk has played 5 set(s) less than Timofeeva (9 vs 14). Therefore, Kostyuk played 38 games less than Timofeeva. The Ukrainian scored 110 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Maria managed to score 186 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kostyuk | Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 1 |
| 1st in | 166/288 | 278/406 |
| %1st in | 58% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 110/166 | 186/278 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 60/122 | 66/128 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 52% |
Kostyuk scored 10 aces (3.3 per match). Timofeeva bagged 6 aces (1 per match). Kostyuk won 66% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Timofeeva won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kostyuk | Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 30 |
| Converted | 17/40 | 30/65 |
| % Converted | 43% | 46% |
| Conceded | 34 | 41 |
| Saved | 21 | 27 |
| % Saved | 62% | 66% |
| Times Broken | 13 | 14 |
The Ukrainian broke her opponents 17 times with a 43% conversion rate. Kostyuk conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded. Maria broke her opponents 30 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 14 times and she saved 66% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kostyuk | |||||
| R1 Liu |
R2 Mertens |
R3 Avanesyan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-1 | 5-7 6-1 7-66 | 2-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 32 | 28 | 86 | |
| pts | 86-67 | 113-100 | 112-111 | 311-278 | |
| Total points | 153 | 213 | 223 | 589 | |
| Winners | 26 | 52 | 32 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 46% | 29% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 11 | 5 | 23 | |
| 1st in | 38/77 | 69/108 | 59/103 | 166/288 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 64% | 57% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 26/38 | 52/69 | 32/59 | 110/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 75% | 54% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/39 | 17/39 | 19/44 | 60/122 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 44% | 43% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 4/8 | 7/24 | 17/40 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 50% | 29% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 13 | 16 | 34 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 10/13 | 9/16 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 77% | 56% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | |
| Timofeeva | ||||||||
| Q1 Astakhova |
Q2 Sharma |
Q3 Hon |
R1 Cornet |
R2 Wozniacki |
R3 Haddad Maia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-2 4-6 6-1 | 6-2 6-4 | 1-6 6-4 6-1 | 7-67 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 18 | 25 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 124 | |
| pts | 58-41 | 63-40 | 92-71 | 79-64 | 98-91 | 79-66 | 469-373 | |
| Total points | 99 | 103 | 163 | 143 | 189 | 145 | 842 | |
| Winners | 24 | 27 | 31 | 31 | 36 | 37 | 186 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 43% | 34% | 39% | 37% | 47% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 32/45 | 34/55 | 54/74 | 45/67 | 67/96 | 46/69 | 278/406 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 62% | 73% | 67% | 70% | 67% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 24/32 | 27/34 | 31/54 | 31/45 | 36/67 | 37/46 | 186/278 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 79% | 57% | 69% | 54% | 80% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/13 | 8/21 | 15/20 | 11/22 | 15/29 | 10/23 | 66/128 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 38% | 75% | 50% | 52% | 43% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 30 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/7 | 7/13 | 4/15 | 6/13 | 3/8 | 30/65 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 71% | 54% | 27% | 46% | 38% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 41 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 3/5 | 6/9 | 6/7 | 10/15 | 0/2 | 27 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 60% | 67% | 86% | 67% | 0% | 116% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 14 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWLWWL
LWWLWLWWWW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Yafan WangWang (6-4 2-6 7-68) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (7-61 6-4) – See score progression
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Emma NavarroNavarro (6-2 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Oceane DodinDodin – Clara BurelBurel (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Sloane StephensStephens (6-78 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Alycia ParksParks (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Anastasia ZakharovaZakharova (4-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Storm HunterHunter (4-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (2-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Maria TimofeevaTimofeeva – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (7-67 6-3) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Diane ParryParry (1-6 6-1 7-65) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Emma NavarroNavarro (6-2 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (7-6(1) 6-4) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Sloane StephensStephens (6-7(8) 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Yafan WangWang (6-4 2-6 7-6(8)) – See score progression
- Oceane DodinDodin – Clara BurelBurel (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Oceane DodinDodin (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (4-1) – H2H and prediction
