Sloane Stephens and Anna Kalinskaya will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on Kia Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sloane Stephens who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sloane Stephens is the pick to win this match.
Sloane Stephens -> 1.62
Anna Kalinskaya -> 2.3
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Prediction and head to head Sloane Stephens vs. Anna Kalinskaya
This will be the 3rd time that Sloane Stephens and Anna Kalinskaya face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Stephens and Kalinskaya (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Stephens won 3-6 7-5 0-0 ret. in the semifinal in Guadalajara back in 2022.
Sloane Stephens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-16 | 8-8 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-20 | 11-14 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-17 | 13-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-19 | 6-11 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 44, Stephens got to the 3rd round after beating Olivia Gadecki 6-3 6-1 and Daria Kasatkina 4-6 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Kasatkina, Sloane recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-3). During the match, Stephens scored 95 points vs Kasatkina’s 92. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Regarding the service games, Stephens scored just 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault. Sloane Stephens lost the serve twice and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Stephens put 76% of her first serves in, winning 66% (48/73) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. Sloane broke Kasatkina 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Stephens has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Stephens has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (200-147). 3-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Stephens has a composed 112-90 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The American has an overall 3-2 win-loss record in 2024, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Anna Kalinskaya
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-12 | 18-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-18 | 16-15 | 7-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-20 | 22-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 19-12 | 3-7 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 8-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 75, Anna got to the 3rd round after defeating Katie Volynets 6-3 3-6 6-2 and Arantxa Rus 6-1 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Kalinskaya had a good straight sets win against Rus (6-1 7-5). During the match Kalinskaya scored 70 points vs Rus’s 52. Kalinskaya was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Kalinskaya scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Anna Kalinskaya lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Kalinskaya put 82% of her first serves in, winning 64% (29/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (6/10) on the 2nd serve. Anna broke Rus 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Anna has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Anna has a compiled 6-2 win-loss record in 2024, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018, 2019, 2020 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Stephens | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 45 |
| Pts | 148-122 | 178-147 |
| Total Points | 270 | 325 |
| Winners | 72 | 79 |
| %Winners | 49% | 44% |
Both Stephens and Kalinskaya played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Sloane Stephens surrendered 1 set, while Anna Kalinskaya lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Stephens and Kalinskaya have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Stephens played 1 game less than Kalinskaya. Sloane scored 72 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Kalinskaya recorded 79 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Stephens | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 105/139 | 116/154 |
| %1st in | 76% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 72/105 | 79/116 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 17/34 | 21/38 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 55% |
Stephens bagged 1 ace (0.5 per match). Kalinskaya also fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Stephens won 69% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Kalinskaya won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Stephens | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 9 |
| Converted | 9/19 | 9/30 |
| % Converted | 47% | 30% |
| Conceded | 11 | 13 |
| Saved | 8 | 10 |
| % Saved | 73% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Sloane broke her opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. Sloane conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded. Kalinskaya broke her opponents 9 times with a 30% conversion rate. Anna conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 77% of the break points that she conceded.
| Stephens | ||||
| R1 Gadecki |
R2 Kasatkina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 28 | 44 | |
| pts | 53-30 | 95-92 | 148-122 | |
| Total points | 83 | 187 | 270 | |
| Winners | 24 | 48 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 51% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 32/43 | 73/96 | 105/139 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 76% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 24/32 | 48/73 | 72/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 66% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/11 | 11/23 | 17/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 48% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/11 | 9/19 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 36% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 10 | 11 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 8/10 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 80% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Kalinskaya | ||||
| R1 Volynets |
R2 Rus |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-2 | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 19 | 45 | |
| pts | 108-95 | 70-52 | 178-147 | |
| Total points | 203 | 122 | 325 | |
| Winners | 50 | 29 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 41% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 71/99 | 45/55 | 116/154 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 82% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 50/71 | 29/45 | 79/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 64% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 6/10 | 21/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 60% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/16 | 6/14 | 9/30 | |
| Converted % | 19% | 43% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 | 13 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 3/5 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 60% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWLLLLLW
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