Emma Navarro and Dayana Yastremska will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on John Cain Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Emma Navarro who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Emma Navarro is the pick to win this match.
Emma Navarro -> 1.44
Dayana Yastremska -> 2.8
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Prediction and head to head Emma Navarro vs. Dayana Yastremska
There is no head to head record between Emma Navarro and Dayana Yastremska since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Emma Navarro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-15 | 21-7 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-24 | 17-9 | 37-11 | 3-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-18 | 8-8 | 23-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-13 | 6-6 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26 (career-high), the American got to the 3rd round after beating Xiyu Wang 6-1 6-75 7-5 and Elisabetta Cocciaretto 4-6 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Cocciaretto, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-3). During the match, Navarro scored 109 points vs Cocciaretto’s 95. Navarro was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Navarro scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 1 double fault. Emma Navarro lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Navarro put 67% of her first serves in, winning 72% (41/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Navarro broke Cocciaretto 5 times after converting 28% of her break points (5/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Navarro has conceded 2 set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.
Navarro has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 64% of her matches (159-88). 10-1 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Navarro has an aggregate48-37 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Hobart where she defeated Elise Mertens in the final 6-1 4-6 7-5.
The American has a compiled 10-1 win-loss record in 2024, 10-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Emma has never competed in this tournament before.
Dayana Yastremska
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-13 | 12-6 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-29 | 19-13 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 7-11 | 5-4 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 7-12 | 3-8 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-12 | 10-7 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 93, the Ukrainian reached the 3rd round after defeating Lea Boskovic 6-3 4-6 6-3, Valentini Grammatikopoulou 6-4 3-6 6-4, Maya Joint 6-2 1-6 6-4, Marketa Vondrousova 6-1 6-2 and Varvara Gracheva 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Yastremska had a good straight sets win against Gracheva (6-3 6-2). During the match Yastremska scored 63 points vs Gracheva’s 44. Yastremska was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Yastremska bagged 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Dayana Yastremska conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Yastremska put 63% of her first serves in, winning 69% (22/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 84% (16/19) on the 2nd serve. Yastremska broke Gracheva 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yastremska started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
The Ukrainian has a composed 7-1 win-loss record in 2024, 7-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Navarro | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 60 | 114 |
| Pts | 216-186 | 394-340 |
| Total Points | 402 | 734 |
| Winners | 84 | 148 |
| %Winners | 39% | 38% |
Navarro played 2 matches while Yastremska competed in 5 matches. Yastremska started her run from the qualifications while Navarro had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Emma Navarro dropped 2 sets, while Dayana Yastremska surrendered 3 sets. Navarro has played 7 set(s) less than Yastremska (6 vs 13). Therefore, Navarro played 54 games less than Yastremska. Navarro scored 84 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Yastremska managed to score 148 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Navarro | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2 |
| 1st in | 121/185 | 219/370 |
| %1st in | 65% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 84/121 | 148/219 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 32/64 | 73/151 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 48% |
Navarro recorded 4 aces (2 per match). Yastremska made 10 aces (2 per match). Navarro won 69% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Yastremska won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Navarro | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 26 |
| Converted | 11/28 | 26/40 |
| % Converted | 39% | 65% |
| Conceded | 19 | 28 |
| Saved | 13 | 12 |
| % Saved | 68% | 43% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 16 |
Navarro broke her opponents 11 times with a 39% conversion rate. Emma conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded. The Ukrainian broke her opponents 26 times with a 65% conversion rate. Dayana conceded her serve 16 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded.
| Navarro | ||||
| R1 Wang |
R2 Cocciaretto |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-75 7-5 | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 28 | 60 | |
| pts | 107-91 | 109-95 | 216-186 | |
| Total points | 198 | 204 | 402 | |
| Winners | 43 | 41 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 64/100 | 57/85 | 121/185 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 67% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 43/64 | 41/57 | 84/121 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 72% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/36 | 13/28 | 32/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 46% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/18 | 11/28 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 28% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 9 | 19 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 6/9 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 67% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Yastremska | |||||||
| Q1 Boskovic |
Q2 Grammatikopoulou |
Q3 Joint |
R1 Vondrousova |
R2 Gracheva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | 6-4 3-6 6-4 | 6-2 1-6 6-4 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 29 | 25 | 15 | 17 | 114 | |
| pts | 93-77 | 91-92 | 80-83 | 67-44 | 63-44 | 394-340 | |
| Total points | 170 | 183 | 163 | 111 | 107 | 734 | |
| Winners | 30 | 34 | 30 | 32 | 22 | 148 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 37% | 38% | 48% | 35% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | |
| 1st in | 38/78 | 56/100 | 48/76 | 45/65 | 32/51 | 219/370 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 56% | 63% | 69% | 63% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 30/38 | 34/56 | 30/48 | 32/45 | 22/32 | 148/219 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 61% | 63% | 71% | 69% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/40 | 16/44 | 11/28 | 8/20 | 16/19 | 73/151 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 36% | 39% | 40% | 84% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 8/11 | 5/5 | 5/10 | 3/4 | 26/40 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 73% | 100% | 50% | 75% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 28 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 5/13 | 1/5 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 38% | 20% | 75% | 100% | 137% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWLLWWW
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