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Hubert Hurkacz and Ugo Humbert will play each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on John Cain Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hubert Hurkacz who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hubert Hurkacz is the pick to win this match.
Hubert Hurkacz -> 1.59
Ugo Humbert -> 2.375
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Prediction and head to head Hubert Hurkacz vs. Ugo Humbert
This will be the 3rd time that Hubert Hurkacz and Ugo Humbert play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Hurkacz (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Hurkacz won 6-4 3-6 7-6(5) in the semifinal in Basel back in 2023.
Highlights Hubert Hurkacz vs Ugo Humbert – Basel 28-October-2023
Hubert Hurkacz
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 6-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 40-19 | 17-10 | 14-4 | 4-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 47-24 | 23-11 | 5-5 | 13-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 41-21 | 18-9 | 9-4 | 9-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 36-23 | 22-9 | 1-4 | 8-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9 (career-high), Hurkacz got to the 3rd round after defeating Omar Jasika 7-64 6-4 6-2 and Jakub Mensik 6-79 6-1 5-7 6-1 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Hurkacz had a tough win against Mensik to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-79 6-1 5-7 6-1 6-3). During the match, Hurkacz scored 168 points vs Mensik’s 134. Hurkacz was extremely aggressive to blast 74 winners.
Talking about the service games, Hurkacz bagged 19 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Hubert Hurkacz was very effective on serve to win 82% (74/90) of his 1st serve and 60% (27/45) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Pole broke Mensik 7 times after converting 33% of his break points (7/21).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Hubert has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Hurkacz has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (355-214). 5-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Hurkacz has a compiled 172-81 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Pole’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Australia.
Hurkacz has an aggregate 5-2 win-loss record in 2024, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Ugo Humbert
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 9-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 39-24 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20 (career-high), the French player reached the 3rd round after beating David Goffin 6-2 7-5 5-7 6-3 and Zhizhen Zhang 6-2 5-7 6-1 7-63.
In the 2nd round, The French player defeated Zhang (6-2 5-7 6-1 7-63). During the match Humbert scored 133 points vs Zhang’s 105. Ugo was quite aggressive to blast 61 winners.
About the serving games, Humbert blasted 15 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Ugo Humbert was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (61/80) of his 1st serve and 59% (24/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Humbert broke Zhang 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Humbert has a compiled 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Hurkacz | Humbert |
---|---|---|
Match played | 2 | 2 |
Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
Tot Games | 79 | 81 |
Pts | 273-219 | 267-221 |
Total Points | 492 | 488 |
Winners | 122 | 116 |
%Winners | 45% | 43% |
Both Hurkacz and Humbert played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hubert Hurkacz dropped 2 sets, while Ugo Humbert surrendered 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Hurkacz and Humbert have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Hurkacz played 2 games less than Humbert. Hurkacz scored 122 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Humbert struck 116 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Hurkacz | Humbert |
---|---|---|
Aces | 43 | 24 |
Avg per match | 21.5 | 12 |
1st in | 146/227 | 152/241 |
%1st in | 64% | 63% |
1st pts | 122/146 | 116/152 |
%1st pts | 84% | 76% |
2nd pts | 47/81 | 54/89 |
%2nd pts | 58% | 61% |
Hurkacz fired 43 aces (21.5 per match). Humbert recorded 24 aces (12 per match). Hurkacz won 84% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Hurkacz | Humbert |
---|---|---|
Won | 10 | 10 |
Converted | 10/28 | 10/26 |
% Converted | 36% | 38% |
Conceded | 4 | 16 |
Saved | 2 | 12 |
% Saved | 50% | 75% |
Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
The Pole broke his opponents 10 times with a 36% conversion rate. Hubert surrendered his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Humbert broke his opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. Humbert conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
Hurkacz | ||||
R1 Jasika |
R2 Mensik |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-64 6-4 6-2 | 6-79 6-1 5-7 6-1 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
Tot Games | 31 | 48 | 79 | |
pts | 105-85 | 168-134 | 273-219 | |
Total points | 190 | 302 | 492 | |
Winners | 48 | 74 | 122 | |
%Winners | 46% | 44% | 45% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 24 | 19 | 43 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
1st in | 56/92 | 90/135 | 146/227 | |
% 1st in | 61% | 67% | 64% | |
1st pts | 48/56 | 74/90 | 122/146 | |
% 1st pts | 86% | 82% | 84% | |
2nd pts | 20/36 | 27/45 | 47/81 | |
% 2nd pts | 56% | 60% | 58% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
Converted | 3/7 | 7/21 | 10/28 | |
Converted % | 43% | 33% | 36% | |
Conceded | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Saved | 1/1 | 1/3 | 2 | |
Saved % | 100% | 33% | 67% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Humbert | ||||
R1 Goffin |
R2 Zhang |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 7-5 5-7 6-3 | 6-2 5-7 6-1 7-63 | ||
Tot Set | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
Tot Games | 41 | 40 | 81 | |
pts | 134-116 | 133-105 | 267-221 | |
Total points | 250 | 238 | 488 | |
Winners | 55 | 61 | 116 | |
%Winners | 41% | 46% | 43% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 9 | 15 | 24 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
1st in | 72/120 | 80/121 | 152/241 | |
% 1st in | 60% | 66% | 63% | |
1st pts | 55/72 | 61/80 | 116/152 | |
% 1st pts | 76% | 76% | 76% | |
2nd pts | 30/48 | 24/41 | 54/89 | |
% 2nd pts | 63% | 59% | 61% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
Converted | 5/17 | 5/9 | 10/26 | |
Converted % | 29% | 56% | 38% | |
Conceded | 9 | 7 | 16 | |
Saved | 7/9 | 5/7 | 12 | |
Saved % | 78% | 71% | 75% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Head 2 Head
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