Carlos Alcaraz and Juncheng Shang will square off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.045
Juncheng Shang -> 10.5

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Juncheng Shang

There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Juncheng Shang since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

2 - 0win/loss

Hard
2-0
I Hard
0-0
Rank
3
High
1
WWWWLWLLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 43-9 14-4 17-4 4-0 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard got to the 3rd round after defeating Richard Gasquet 7-65 6-1 6-2 and Lorenzo Sonego 6-4 6-73

6-3 7-63.

In the 2nd round, Carlos defeated Sonego (6-4 6-73 6-3 7-63). During the match, Alcaraz scored 147 points vs Sonego’s 125. Carlos was exceptionally aggressive to blast 69 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz managed to score 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (69/89) of his 1st serve and 71% (29/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Carlos broke Sonego 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (235-63). 2-0 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an aggregate77-20 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

Alcaraz has an aggregate 2-0 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Alcaraz's Record

Juncheng Shang

Juncheng Shang

5 - 1win/loss

Hard
5-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
55
High
55
WWWWWLWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 39-19 24-8 8-7 0-0 7-4 0-0
2023 31-23 21-14 3-3 0-2 7-4 0-0
2022 40-24 17-8 15-10 7-5 1-1 0-0
2021 18-5 6-3 12-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 140 (career-high), the Chinese reached the 3rd round after defeating Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-3 1-6 3-6 6-4 6-2 and Sumit Nagal 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Nagal, Shang recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4). During the match Shang scored 123 points vs Nagal’s 115. Shang was pretty aggressive to blast 62 winners.

About the serving games, Shang blasted 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Juncheng Shang was very efficient on serve to win 72% (62/86) of his 1st serve and 60% (25/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Juncheng broke Nagal 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Shang has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

Shang’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Hong Kong.

Juncheng has an overall 5-1 win-loss record in 2024, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.

Australian Open
Shang's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
J.Shang
5h:47
5h:47
Time on court​
6h:16
6h:16
!
3h:25
3h:25
Last match​
!
2h:50
2h:50
2
2
Match played
2
2
73
73
Games Played​
82
82
7
7
Set played​​
9
9
268
268
Total points​
255
255
134
134
Avg point​
127.5
127.5
114
114
Winners
119
119
57
57
Avg Winners​
59.5
59.5
43%
43%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
21
21
Aces
12
12
!
10.5
10.5
Avg Aces
6
6
7
7
Double Faults
7
7
3.5
3.5
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
114/151
114/151
1st won total​
119/169
119/169
!
75%
75%
1st won %
70%
70%
50/73
50/73
2nd won total​
55/102
55/102
!
68%
68%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
7/22
7/22
BP won
8/20
8/20
3.5/11
3.5/11
Avg BP won
4/10
4/10
32%
32%
Won
40%
40%
6
6
Conceded
25
25
3
3
Avg Conceded
12.5
12.5
1
1
Broken
7
7
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
5
5
Saved
18
18
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Shang
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 7 9
Tot Games 73 82
Pts 268-215 255-243
Total Points 483 498
Winners 114 119
%Winners 43% 47%

Both Alcaraz and Shang played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz surrendered 1 set, while Juncheng Shang surrendered 3 sets. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Shang (7 vs 9). Therefore, Alcaraz played 9 games less than Shang. Carlos scored 114 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Shang fired 119 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Shang
Aces 21 12
Avg per match 10.5 6
1st in 151/224 169/271
%1st in 67% 62%
1st pts 114/151 119/169
%1st pts 75% 70%
2nd pts 50/73 55/102
%2nd pts 68% 54%

Alcaraz fired 21 aces (10.5 per match). Shang blasted 12 aces (6 per match). Alcaraz won 75% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Shang won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Shang
Won 7 8
Converted 7/22 8/20
% Converted 32% 40%
Conceded 6 25
Saved 5 18
% Saved 83% 72%
Times Broken 1 7

Alcaraz broke his opponents 7 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Shang broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Shang conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R1
Gasquet		 R2
Sonego		 Total
Score 7-65 6-1 6-2 6-4 6-73 6-3 7-63
Tot Set 3 4 7
Tot Games 28 45 73
pts 121-90 147-125 268-215
Total points 211 272 483
Winners 45 69 114
%Winners 37% 47% 43%
SERVE
Aces 9 12 21
Double Faults 3 4 7
1st in 62/94 89/130 151/224
% 1st in 66% 68% 67%
1st pts 45/62 69/89 114/151
% 1st pts 73% 78% 75%
2nd pts 21/32 29/41 50/73
% 2nd pts 66% 71% 68%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7
Converted 4/16 3/6 7/22
Converted % 25% 50% 32%
Conceded 2 4 6
Saved 2/2 3/4 5
Saved % 100% 75% 88%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Shang
R1
Mcdonald		 R2
Nagal		 Total
Score 6-3 1-6 3-6 6-4 6-2 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 5 4 9
Tot Games 43 39 82
pts 132-128 123-115 255-243
Total points 260 238 498
Winners 57 62 119
%Winners 43% 50% 47%
SERVE
Aces 4 8 12
Double Faults 4 3 7
1st in 83/143 86/128 169/271
% 1st in 58% 67% 62%
1st pts 57/83 62/86 119/169
% 1st pts 69% 72% 70%
2nd pts 30/60 25/42 55/102
% 2nd pts 50% 60% 54%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/10 3/10 8/20
Converted % 50% 30% 40%
Conceded 18 7 25
Saved 13/18 5/7 18
Saved % 72% 71% 72%
Times Broken 5 2 7

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Alcaraz
More Stats
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Shang

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