Carlos Alcaraz and Juncheng Shang will square off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.045
Juncheng Shang -> 10.5
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Juncheng Shang
There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Juncheng Shang since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Carlos Alcaraz
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 53-12 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 6-2 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard got to the 3rd round after defeating Richard Gasquet 7-65 6-1 6-2 and Lorenzo Sonego 6-4 6-73 6-3 7-63.
In the 2nd round, Carlos defeated Sonego (6-4 6-73 6-3 7-63). During the match, Alcaraz scored 147 points vs Sonego’s 125. Carlos was exceptionally aggressive to blast 69 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz managed to score 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (69/89) of his 1st serve and 71% (29/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Carlos broke Sonego 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (235-63). 2-0 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an aggregate77-20 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
Alcaraz has an aggregate 2-0 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Juncheng Shang
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 42-24 | 25-10 | 8-7 | 2-3 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
2023 | 31-23 | 21-14 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
2022 | 40-24 | 17-8 | 15-10 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 18-5 | 6-3 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 140 (career-high), the Chinese reached the 3rd round after defeating Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-3 1-6 3-6 6-4 6-2 and Sumit Nagal 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Nagal, Shang recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4). During the match Shang scored 123 points vs Nagal’s 115. Shang was pretty aggressive to blast 62 winners.
About the serving games, Shang blasted 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Juncheng Shang was very efficient on serve to win 72% (62/86) of his 1st serve and 60% (25/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Juncheng broke Nagal 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shang has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
Shang’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Hong Kong.
Juncheng has an overall 5-1 win-loss record in 2024, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Alcaraz | Shang |
---|---|---|
Match played | 2 | 2 |
Tot Set | 7 | 9 |
Tot Games | 73 | 82 |
Pts | 268-215 | 255-243 |
Total Points | 483 | 498 |
Winners | 114 | 119 |
%Winners | 43% | 47% |
Both Alcaraz and Shang played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz surrendered 1 set, while Juncheng Shang surrendered 3 sets. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Shang (7 vs 9). Therefore, Alcaraz played 9 games less than Shang. Carlos scored 114 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Shang fired 119 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Alcaraz | Shang |
---|---|---|
Aces | 21 | 12 |
Avg per match | 10.5 | 6 |
1st in | 151/224 | 169/271 |
%1st in | 67% | 62% |
1st pts | 114/151 | 119/169 |
%1st pts | 75% | 70% |
2nd pts | 50/73 | 55/102 |
%2nd pts | 68% | 54% |
Alcaraz fired 21 aces (10.5 per match). Shang blasted 12 aces (6 per match). Alcaraz won 75% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Shang won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Alcaraz | Shang |
---|---|---|
Won | 7 | 8 |
Converted | 7/22 | 8/20 |
% Converted | 32% | 40% |
Conceded | 6 | 25 |
Saved | 5 | 18 |
% Saved | 83% | 72% |
Times Broken | 1 | 7 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 7 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Shang broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Shang conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.
Alcaraz | ||||
R1 Gasquet |
R2 Sonego |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-65 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 6-73 6-3 7-63 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
Tot Games | 28 | 45 | 73 | |
pts | 121-90 | 147-125 | 268-215 | |
Total points | 211 | 272 | 483 | |
Winners | 45 | 69 | 114 | |
%Winners | 37% | 47% | 43% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 9 | 12 | 21 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
1st in | 62/94 | 89/130 | 151/224 | |
% 1st in | 66% | 68% | 67% | |
1st pts | 45/62 | 69/89 | 114/151 | |
% 1st pts | 73% | 78% | 75% | |
2nd pts | 21/32 | 29/41 | 50/73 | |
% 2nd pts | 66% | 71% | 68% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
Converted | 4/16 | 3/6 | 7/22 | |
Converted % | 25% | 50% | 32% | |
Conceded | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Saved | 2/2 | 3/4 | 5 | |
Saved % | 100% | 75% | 88% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Shang | ||||
R1 Mcdonald |
R2 Nagal |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 1-6 3-6 6-4 6-2 | 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
Tot Games | 43 | 39 | 82 | |
pts | 132-128 | 123-115 | 255-243 | |
Total points | 260 | 238 | 498 | |
Winners | 57 | 62 | 119 | |
%Winners | 43% | 50% | 47% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 4 | 8 | 12 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
1st in | 83/143 | 86/128 | 169/271 | |
% 1st in | 58% | 67% | 62% | |
1st pts | 57/83 | 62/86 | 119/169 | |
% 1st pts | 69% | 72% | 70% | |
2nd pts | 30/60 | 25/42 | 55/102 | |
% 2nd pts | 50% | 60% | 54% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
Converted | 5/10 | 3/10 | 8/20 | |
Converted % | 50% | 30% | 40% | |
Conceded | 18 | 7 | 25 | |
Saved | 13/18 | 5/7 | 18 | |
Saved % | 72% | 71% | 72% | |
Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Head 2 Head
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