Brandon Nakashima and Francesco Maestrelli will fight against each other in the quarter of the Tenerife 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.165
Francesco Maestrelli -> 4.55
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Francesco Maestrelli
There is no head to head record between Brandon Nakashima and Francesco Maestrelli since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 127, the American got to the quarter after defeating Martin Landaluce 6-2 2-6 7-61 and Alejandro Moro Canas 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Moro Canas (6-3 6-1). During the match, Nakashima scored 66 points vs Moro Canas’s 42. Brandon was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nakashima struck 3 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults. Brandon Nakashima was pretty efficient on serve to win 79% (22/28) of his 1st serve and 83% (10/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Moro Canas 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Nakashima has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (170-110). 5-2 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Nakashima has a compiled89-59 record in the last 9 years on hard.
The American’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger.
The American has an aggregate 5-2 win-loss record in 2024, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tenerife 1 Challenger
Brandon has never competed in this tournament before.
Francesco Maestrelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-33 | 11-6 | 21-23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 220, Maestrelli reached the quarter after defeating Daniel Rincon 6-3 6-4 and Otto Virtanen 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Virtanen (6-4 6-1). During the match Maestrelli scored 66 points vs Virtanen’s 50. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Maestrelli fired 2 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Francesco Maestrelli lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Maestrelli put 64% of his first serves in, winning 65% (24/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the 2nd serve. Maestrelli broke Virtanen 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Francesco hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Italian has a composed 2-2 win-loss record in 2024, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tenerife 1 Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakashima | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 36 |
| Pts | 168-138 | 129-105 |
| Total Points | 306 | 234 |
| Winners | 69 | 64 |
| %Winners | 41% | 50% |
Both Nakashima and Maestrelli played 2 matches. At the moment, Brandon Nakashima lost 1 set while Francesco Maestrelli hasn’t conceded a set so far. Nakashima has played 1 set more than Maestrelli (5 vs 4). Therefore, Nakashima played 9 games more than Maestrelli. Brandon scored 69 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Francesco scored 64 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakashima | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 4 |
| 1st in | 93/143 | 89/131 |
| %1st in | 65% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 69/93 | 64/89 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 27/50 | 19/42 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 45% |
Nakashima blasted 12 aces (6 per match). Maestrelli managed to score 8 aces (4 per match). Nakashima won 74% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakashima | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 8 |
| Converted | 7/18 | 8/14 |
| % Converted | 39% | 57% |
| Conceded | 11 | 12 |
| Saved | 8 | 9 |
| % Saved | 73% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Nakashima broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. The American surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Maestrelli broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Francesco conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nakashima | ||||
| R1 Landaluce |
R2 Moro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 2-6 7-61 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 16 | 45 | |
| pts | 102-96 | 66-42 | 168-138 | |
| Total points | 198 | 108 | 306 | |
| Winners | 47 | 22 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 33% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 3 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 65/103 | 28/40 | 93/143 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 70% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 47/65 | 22/28 | 69/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 79% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/38 | 10/12 | 27/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 83% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/11 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 36% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 0 | 11 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 0/0 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 73% | – | 37% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Maestrelli | ||||
| R1 Rincon |
R2 Virtanen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 36 | |
| pts | 63-55 | 66-50 | 129-105 | |
| Total points | 118 | 116 | 234 | |
| Winners | 40 | 24 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 63% | 36% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 52/73 | 37/58 | 89/131 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 64% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 40/52 | 24/37 | 64/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 65% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/21 | 13/21 | 19/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 29% | 62% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 5/10 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 50% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 2/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 50% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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