Alex De Minaur and Flavio Cobolli will fight against each other in the 3^rd round of the Australian Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 7:00 pm on John Cain Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.143
Flavio Cobolli -> 5.65

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Flavio Cobolli

There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Flavio Cobolli since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 10 (career-high), the Australian reached the 3^rd round after beating Milos Raonic 6-7⁶ 6-3 2-0 ret. and Matteo Arnaldi 6-3 6-0 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Arnaldi (6-3 6-0 6-3). During the match, De Minaur scored 97 points vs Arnaldi’s 67. De Minaur was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, De Minaur fired 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (37/49) of his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alex broke Arnaldi 7 times after converting 50% of his break points (7/14).

De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (323-188). 5-1 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has an overall 157-81 record in the last years on hard.

The Australian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Australia.

De Minaur has an aggregate 5-1 win-loss record in 2024, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Flavio Cobolli

Ranked no. 100, the Italian reached the 3^rd round after defeating Jeremy Jin 6-2 6-2, Benjamin Hassan 6-4 6-3, Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 6-4 6-2, Nicolas Jarry 6-4 3-6 6-3 2-6 7-5 and Pavel Kotov 7-5 6-3 5-7 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Cobolli had a good straight sets win against Kotov (7-5 6-3 5-7 6-2). During the match Cobolli scored 127 points vs Kotov’s 116. Flavio was quite aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Talking about serving, Cobolli made 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Flavio Cobolli was extremely efficient on serve to win 73% (49/67) of his 1st serve and 56% (33/59) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Cobolli broke Kotov 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The Italian has a compiled 5-0 win-loss record in 2024, 5-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	De Minaur	Cobolli
Match played	2	5
Tot Set	7	15
Tot Games	48	142
Pts	178-136	467-399
Total Points	314	866
Winners	72	175
%Winners	40%	37%

De Minaur played 2 matches while Cobolli competed in 5 matches. Cobolli started his run from the qualifications while De Minaur had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur lost 1 set, while Flavio Cobolli lost 3 sets. De Minaur has played 8 set(s) less than Cobolli (7 vs 15). Therefore, De Minaur played 94 games less than Cobolli. De Minaur scored 72 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Flavio blasted 175 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	De Minaur	Cobolli
Aces	14	34
Avg per match	7	6.8
1st in	90/162	235/417
%1st in	56%	56%
1st pts	72/90	175/235
%1st pts	80%	74%
2nd pts	41/72	107/182
%2nd pts	57%	59%

De Minaur managed to score 14 aces (7 per match). Cobolli recorded 34 aces (6.8 per match). De Minaur won 80% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Cobolli won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	De Minaur	Cobolli
Won	9	22
Converted	9/17	22/48
% Converted	53%	46%
Conceded	10	23
Saved	9	14
% Saved	90%	61%
Times Broken	1	9

De Minaur broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. De Minaur lost his serve once and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 22 times with a 46% conversion rate. Flavio conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
	R1 Raonic	R2 Arnaldi	Total
Score	6-76 6-3 2-0 ret.	6-3 6-0 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	24	24	48
pts	81-69	97-67	178-136
Total points	150	164	314
Winners	35	37	72
%Winners	43%	38%	40%
SERVE
Aces	10	4	14
Double Faults	1	3	4
1st in	41/80	49/82	90/162
% 1st in	51%	60%	56%
1st pts	35/41	37/49	72/90
% 1st pts	85%	76%	80%
2nd pts	24/39	17/33	41/72
% 2nd pts	62%	52%	57%
Breaks
Won	2	7	9
Converted	2/3	7/14	9/17
Converted %	67%	50%	53%
Conceded	4	6	10
Saved	4/4	5/6	9
Saved %	100%	83%	92%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Cobolli
	Q1 Jin	Q2 Hassan	Q3 Rodriguez	R1 Jarry	R2 Kotov	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	6-4 6-3	6-4 6-2	6-4 3-6 6-3 2-6 7-5	7-5 6-3 5-7 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	5	4	15
Tot Games	16	19	18	48	41	142
pts	62-39	71-53	70-54	137-137	127-116	467-399
Total points	101	124	124	274	243	866
Winners	20	26	27	53	49	175
%Winners	32%	37%	39%	39%	39%	37%
SERVE
Aces	1	3	11	14	5	34
Double Faults	2	1	2	4	4	13
1st in	26/50	37/55	32/52	73/134	67/126	235/417
% 1st in	52%	67%	62%	54%	53%	56%
1st pts	20/26	26/37	27/32	53/73	49/67	175/235
% 1st pts	77%	70%	84%	73%	73%	74%
2nd pts	16/24	15/18	11/20	32/61	33/59	107/182
% 2nd pts	67%	83%	55%	52%	56%	59%
Breaks
Won	4	3	3	6	6	22
Converted	4/6	3/11	3/7	6/15	6/9	22/48
Converted %	67%	27%	43%	40%	67%	46%
Conceded	2	1	2	9	9	23
Saved	2/2	1/1	2/2	3/9	6/9	14
Saved %	100%	100%	100%	33%	67%	200%
Times Broken	0	0	0	6	3	9

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

• Casper RuudRuud – Max PurcellPurcell (6-3 6-7⁵ 6-3 3-6 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6⁵ 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Pavel KotovKotov (7-5 6-3 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-3 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 4-6 7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (7-5 2-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Luca Van AsscheVan Assche – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-3 3-6 6-7⁵ 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Hugo GastonGaston (6-0 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-2 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-4 6-4 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (6-4 6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-6 7-6⁶ 6-2 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-4 6-1 3-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-3 6-3 1-6 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Max PurcellPurcell (6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 3-6 7-6(7)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Lukas KleinKlein (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sumit NagalNagal – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Jack DraperDraper (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Andrey RublevRublev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas MachacMachac – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – (0-0) – H2H and prediction