Ben Shelton and Adrian Mannarino will square off in the 3^rd round of the Australian Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on Kia Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ben Shelton who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ben Shelton is the pick to win this match.
Ben Shelton -> 1.41
Adrian Mannarino -> 2.92

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Prediction and head to head Ben Shelton vs. Adrian Mannarino

This will be the 2^nd time that Ben Shelton and Adrian Mannarino fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mannarino (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Mannarino won 6-4 3-6 6-1 in the 2^nd round in Miami back in 2023.

Highlights Adrian Mannarino vs Ben Shelton – Miami 25-March-2023

Ben Shelton

Ranked no. 16, Shelton got to the 3^rd round after defeating Roberto Bautista Agut 6-2 7-6² 7-5 and Christopher O Connell 6-4 6-1 3-6 7-6⁵.

In the 2^nd round, Ben had a good straight sets win against O Connell (6-4 6-1 3-6 7-6⁵). During the match, Shelton scored 133 points vs O Connell’s 114. Ben was exceptionally aggressive to blast 56 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shelton managed to score 17 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Ben Shelton was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (56/76) of his 1st serve and 63% (24/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The American broke O Connell 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Shelton has a solid record in the last 4 years having won 66% of his matches (90-46). 4-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shelton has a compiled48-27 record in the last 4 years on hard.

Ben’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Auckland.

Shelton has an aggregate 4-2 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously at the Australian Open

Adrian Mannarino

Ranked no. 19 (career-high), Mannarino got to the 3^rd round after defeating Stan Wawrinka 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-3 6-0 and Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-3 6-3 1-6 2-6 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Mannarino had a tough win against Munar Clar to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-3 6-3 1-6 2-6 6-3). During the match Mannarino scored 135 points vs Munar Clar’s 128. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 56 winners.

About the serving games, Mannarino managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (56/77) of his 1st serve and 56% (24/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. Mannarino broke Munar Clar 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The French player best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Australia.

Adrian has an overall 3-3 win-loss record in 2024, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Shelton	Mannarino
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	7	10
Tot Games	72	88
Pts	252-212	280-252
Total Points	464	532
Winners	111	118
%Winners	44%	42%

Both Shelton and Mannarino played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ben Shelton conceded 1 set, while Adrian Mannarino dropped 4 sets. Shelton has played 3 set(s) less than Mannarino (7 vs 10). Therefore, Shelton played 16 games less than Mannarino. Shelton scored 111 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The French player blasted 118 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Shelton	Mannarino
Aces	31	20
Avg per match	15.5	10
1st in	146/217	153/251
%1st in	67%	61%
1st pts	111/146	118/153
%1st pts	76%	77%
2nd pts	37/71	51/98
%2nd pts	52%	52%

Shelton scored 31 aces (15.5 per match). Mannarino struck 20 aces (10 per match). Shelton won 76% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Shelton	Mannarino
Won	9	11
Converted	9/17	11/25
% Converted	53%	44%
Conceded	16	18
Saved	12	10
% Saved	75%	56%
Times Broken	4	8

Ben broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Shelton conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Mannarino broke his opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.

Shelton
	R1 Bautista-Agut	R2 O	Total
Score	6-2 7-62 7-5	6-4 6-1 3-6 7-65
Tot Set	3	4	7
Tot Games	33	39	72
pts	119-98	133-114	252-212
Total points	217	247	464
Winners	55	56	111
%Winners	46%	42%	44%
SERVE
Aces	14	17	31
Double Faults	2	4	6
1st in	70/103	76/114	146/217
% 1st in	68%	67%	67%
1st pts	55/70	56/76	111/146
% 1st pts	79%	74%	76%
2nd pts	13/33	24/38	37/71
% 2nd pts	39%	63%	52%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/6	4/11	9/17
Converted %	83%	36%	53%
Conceded	11	5	16
Saved	9/11	3/5	12
Saved %	82%	60%	71%
Times Broken	2	2	4

Mannarino
	R1 Wawrinka	R2 Munar Clar	Total
Score	6-4 3-6 5-7 6-3 6-0	6-3 6-3 1-6 2-6 6-3
Tot Set	5	5	10
Tot Games	46	42	88
pts	145-124	135-128	280-252
Total points	269	263	532
Winners	62	56	118
%Winners	43%	41%	42%
SERVE
Aces	13	7	20
Double Faults	6	3	9
1st in	76/131	77/120	153/251
% 1st in	58%	64%	61%
1st pts	62/76	56/77	118/153
% 1st pts	82%	73%	77%
2nd pts	27/55	24/43	51/98
% 2nd pts	49%	56%	52%
Breaks
Won	7	4	11
Converted	7/13	4/12	11/25
Converted %	54%	33%	44%
Conceded	10	8	18
Saved	6/10	4/8	10
Saved %	60%	50%	55%
Times Broken	4	4	8

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

• Casper RuudRuud – Max PurcellPurcell (6-3 6-7⁵ 6-3 3-6 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (7-5 2-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-4 6-4 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-3 6-3 1-6 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Hugo GastonGaston (6-0 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-2 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6⁵ 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (6-4 6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-6 7-6⁶ 6-2 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-4 6-1 3-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Luca Van AsscheVan Assche – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-3 3-6 6-7⁵ 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Pavel KotovKotov (7-5 6-3 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-3 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 4-6 7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Max PurcellPurcell (6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 3-6 7-6(7)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Lukas KleinKlein (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sumit NagalNagal – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Jack DraperDraper (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Andrey RublevRublev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas MachacMachac – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – (0-0) – H2H and prediction