Jannik Sinner and Sebastian Baez will fight against each other in the 3^rd round of the Australian Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.05
Sebastian Baez -> 10

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Sebastian Baez

This will be the 2^nd time that Jannik Sinner and Sebastian Baez play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Sinner won 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the 3^rd round in Shanghai back in 2023.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Baez – Shanghai 08-October-2023

Jannik Sinner

Ranked no. 4 (career-high), the Italian got to the 3^rd round after beating Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-4 7-5 6-3 and Jesper De Jong 6-2 6-2 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Jannik had a good straight sets win against De Jong (6-2 6-2 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 87 points vs De Jong’s 51. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sinner blasted 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jannik Sinner was very effective on serve to win 86% (32/37) of his 1st serve and 76% (16/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jannik broke De Jong 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sinner hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 71% of his matches (275-113). 2-0 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has an overall100-41 record in the last 7 years on hard.

Jannik has a composed 2-0 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously at the Australian Open

Sebastian Baez

Ranked no. 29, the Argentine got to the 3^rd round after defeating Jeff Wolf 3-6 6-2 6-3 3-0 ret. and Daniel Elahi Galan 7-5 2-6 6-2 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Sebastian defeated Elahi Galan Riveros (7-5 2-6 6-2 6-4). During the match Baez scored 133 points vs Elahi Galan Riveros’s 121. Baez was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.

About the serving games, Baez made 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve 4 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 68% of his first serves in, winning 69% (53/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (20/36) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Elahi Galan Riveros 6 times after converting 30% of his break points (6/20).

Baez has an overall 2-2 win-loss record in 2024, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Baez
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	6	9
Tot Games	55	67
Pts	193-140	237-205
Total Points	333	442
Winners	67	95
%Winners	35%	40%

Both Sinner and Baez played 2 matches. At the moment, Sebastian Baez lost 2 sets while Jannik Sinner hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sinner has played 3 set(s) less than Baez (6 vs 9). Therefore, Sinner played 12 games less than Baez. Sinner scored 67 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine struck 95 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Baez
Aces	14	10
Avg per match	7	5
1st in	88/146	143/203
%1st in	60%	70%
1st pts	67/88	95/143
%1st pts	76%	66%
2nd pts	40/58	35/60
%2nd pts	69%	58%

Sinner fired 14 aces (7 per match). Baez fired 10 aces (5 per match). Sinner won 76% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Baez
Won	11	13
Converted	11/27	13/34
% Converted	41%	38%
Conceded	6	16
Saved	5	9
% Saved	83%	56%
Times Broken	1	7

Sinner broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Baez broke his opponents 13 times with a 38% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R1 Van De Zandschulp	R2 De	Total
Score	6-4 7-5 6-3	6-2 6-2 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	31	24	55
pts	106-89	87-51	193-140
Total points	195	138	333
Winners	35	32	67
%Winners	33%	37%	35%
SERVE
Aces	7	7	14
Double Faults	2	1	3
1st in	51/88	37/58	88/146
% 1st in	58%	64%	60%
1st pts	35/51	32/37	67/88
% 1st pts	69%	86%	76%
2nd pts	24/37	16/21	40/58
% 2nd pts	65%	76%	69%
Breaks
Won	5	6	11
Converted	5/15	6/12	11/27
Converted %	33%	50%	41%
Conceded	6	0	6
Saved	5/6	0/0	5
Saved %	83%	–	42%
Times Broken	1	0	1

Baez
	R1 Wolf	R2 Elahi Galan Riveros	Total
Score	3-6 6-2 6-3 3-0 ret.	7-5 2-6 6-2 6-4
Tot Set	4	4	8
Tot Games	29	38	67
pts	104-84	133-121	237-205
Total points	188	254	442
Winners	42	53	95
%Winners	40%	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	6	4	10
Double Faults	2	5	7
1st in	66/90	77/113	143/203
% 1st in	73%	68%	70%
1st pts	42/66	53/77	95/143
% 1st pts	64%	69%	66%
2nd pts	15/24	20/36	35/60
% 2nd pts	63%	56%	58%
Breaks
Won	7	6	13
Converted	7/14	6/20	13/34
Converted %	50%	30%	38%
Conceded	11	5	16
Saved	8/11	1/5	9
Saved %	73%	20%	47%
Times Broken	3	4	7

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

• Casper RuudRuud – Max PurcellPurcell (6-3 6-7⁵ 6-3 3-6 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-4 6-1 3-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Luca Van AsscheVan Assche – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-3 3-6 6-7⁵ 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-3 6-3 1-6 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Pavel KotovKotov (7-5 6-3 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-3 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 4-6 7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (7-5 2-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-4 6-4 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Hugo GastonGaston (6-0 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-2 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6⁵ 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (6-4 6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-6 7-6⁶ 6-2 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Max PurcellPurcell (6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 3-6 7-6(7)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Lukas KleinKlein (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sumit NagalNagal – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Jack DraperDraper (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Andrey RublevRublev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas MachacMachac – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – (0-0) – H2H and prediction