Aryna Sabalenka and Lesya Tsurenko will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.065
Lesya Tsurenko -> 8.8
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Lesya Tsurenko
This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Lesya Tsurenko fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Sabalenka and Tsurenko (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Sabalenka won 6-2 7-5 in the 3rd round in Indian Wells back in 2019.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Sabalenka got to the 3rd round after beating Ella Seidel 6-0 6-1 and Brenda Fruhvirtova 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Fruhvirtova (6-3 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 62 points vs Fruhvirtova’s 41. The Belarussian was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka recorded 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (21/26) of her 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Belarussian broke Fruhvirtova 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 64% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (324-155). 6-1 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has an aggregate195-86 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Sabalenka’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Brisbane.
The Belarussian has a compiled 6-1 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Lesya Tsurenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-23 | 11-15 | 2-5 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-16 | 31-10 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-14 | 8-7 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-17 | 10-10 | 2-2 | 15-5 | 3-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-6 | 8-5 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33, Lesya got to the 3rd round after beating Lucia Bronzetti 3-6 7-5 6-3 and Rebeka Masarova 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Lesya had a good straight sets win against Masarova (6-3 6-4). During the match Tsurenko scored 77 points vs Masarova’s 65. The Ukrainian was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
About the serving games, Tsurenko couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Lesya Tsurenko lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Tsurenko put 67% of her first serves in, winning 57% (20/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Masarova 6 times after converting 35% of her break points (6/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tsurenko has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
The Ukrainian has an overall 3-1 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2013. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 49 |
| Pts | 118-67 | 187-165 |
| Total Points | 185 | 352 |
| Winners | 45 | 56 |
| %Winners | 38% | 30% |
Both Sabalenka and Tsurenko played 2 matches. At the moment, Lesya Tsurenko conceded 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Tsurenko (4 vs 5). Therefore, Sabalenka played 19 games less than Tsurenko. Sabalenka scored 45 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Lesya struck 56 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 0 |
| 1st in | 56/92 | 107/155 |
| %1st in | 61% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 45/56 | 56/107 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 52% |
| 2nd pts | 20/36 | 24/48 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 50% |
Sabalenka managed to score 10 aces (5 per match). Tsurenko didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Sabalenka won 80% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Tsurenko won 52% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 15 |
| Converted | 9/15 | 15/35 |
| % Converted | 60% | 43% |
| Conceded | 2 | 22 |
| Saved | 1 | 11 |
| % Saved | 50% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 11 |
Aryna broke her opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. Sabalenka surrendered her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Tsurenko broke her opponents 15 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||
| R1 Seidel |
R2 Fruhvirtova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 17 | 30 | |
| pts | 56-26 | 62-41 | 118-67 | |
| Total points | 82 | 103 | 185 | |
| Winners | 24 | 21 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 34% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 30/44 | 26/48 | 56/92 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 54% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 21/26 | 45/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 81% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 13/22 | 20/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 59% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/6 | 9/15 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 67% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tsurenko | ||||
| R1 Bronzetti |
R2 Masarova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-5 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 19 | 49 | |
| pts | 110-100 | 77-65 | 187-165 | |
| Total points | 210 | 142 | 352 | |
| Winners | 36 | 20 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 26% | 30% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 2 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 72/103 | 35/52 | 107/155 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 67% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 36/72 | 20/35 | 56/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 50% | 57% | 52% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 9/17 | 24/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 53% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 9 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 9/18 | 6/17 | 15/35 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 35% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 6 | 22 | |
| Saved | 8/16 | 3/6 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
LWLWWWLLWW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Mccartney KesslerKessler (6-3 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Arantxa RusRus (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Caroline DolehideDolehide (7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Diane ParryParry – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Alina KorneevaKorneeva (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Brenda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Ons JabeurJabeur (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Elise MertensMertens (5-7 6-1 7-66) – See score progression
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alycia ParksParks – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Storm HunterHunter – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Anastasia ZakharovaZakharova – Kaja JuvanJuvan (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Maria TimofeevaTimofeeva – Caroline WozniackiWozniacki (1-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Tamara KorpatschKorpatsch (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Khumoun SultanovSultanov (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Yannick JankovitsJankovits (7-66 7-5) – See score progression
- Pavel KotovKotov – Duckhee LeeLee (5-7 7-64 7-5) – See score progression
- Maxime JanvierJanvier – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (4-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Saketh-Sai MyneniMyneni – Mikhail YouzhnyYouzhny (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Aleksandr NedovesovNedovesov – Arjun KadheKadhe (6-3 6-74 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel BrandsBrands – Ivan GakhovGakhov (6-73 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Egor GerasimovGerasimov (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Mccartney KesslerKessler (6-3 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Arantxa RusRus (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Clara TausonTauson – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tatjana MariaMaria – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Katie BoulterBoulter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Yafan WangWang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Oceane DodinDodin – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara BurelBurel – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Anastasia ZakharovaZakharova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alycia ParksParks – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Storm SandersSanders – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
