Jelena Ostapenko and Ajla Tomljanovic will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:00 pm on John Cain Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.24
Ajla Tomljanovic -> 4.1
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Ajla Tomljanovic
This will be the 4th time that Jelena Ostapenko and Ajla Tomljanovic face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Ostapenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played, Ostapenko won 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in Eastbourne back in 2022.
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Ostapenko got to the 2nd round after beating Kimberly Birrell 7-65 6-1.
In the 1st round, The Latvian had a good straight sets win against Birrell (7-65 6-1). During the match, Ostapenko scored 81 points vs Birrell’s 67. The Latvian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ostapenko recorded 5 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve once and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 63% of her first serves in, winning 75% (30/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. Jelena broke Birrell 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).
Ostapenko has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (290-191). 8-1 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Ostapenko has a composed 127-99 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-3 6-2.
Ostapenko has a composed 8-1 win-loss record in 2024, 8-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Ajla Tomljanovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-19 | 12-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 7-3 | 2-2 | 5-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-27 | 19-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 11-12 | 10-6 | 3-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 271, Ajla reached the 2nd round after beating Petra Martic 7-63 4-6 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Australian defeated Martic (7-63 4-6 6-4). During the match Tomljanovic scored 118 points vs Martic’s 112. Tomljanovic was extremely aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about serving, Tomljanovic scored 7 aces and she was not very solid on her 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Ajla Tomljanovic lost the serve 7 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Tomljanovic put 65% of her first serves in, winning 68% (48/71) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (15/39) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Martic 7 times after converting 50% of her break points (7/14).
Ajla’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Australia.
The Australian has an aggregate 2-3 win-loss record in 2024, 2-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2014, 2015, 2020 and 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 33 |
| Pts | 81-67 | 118-112 |
| Total Points | 148 | 230 |
| Winners | 30 | 48 |
| %Winners | 37% | 41% |
Both Ostapenko and Tomljanovic played 1 match. At the moment, Ajla Tomljanovic dropped 1 set while Jelena Ostapenko hasn’t conceded a set so far. Ostapenko has played 1 set(s) less than Tomljanovic (2 vs 3). Therefore, Ostapenko played 13 games less than Tomljanovic. Ostapenko scored 30 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Tomljanovic made 48 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 40/64 | 71/110 |
| %1st in | 63% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 48/71 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 15/39 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 38% |
Ostapenko blasted 5 aces . Tomljanovic scored 7 aces . Ostapenko won 75% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Tomljanovic won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 38% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 7 |
| Converted | 4/12 | 7/14 |
| % Converted | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Saved | 7 | 6 |
| % Saved | 88% | 46% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 7 |
The Latvian broke her opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Ostapenko lost her serve once and she saved 88% of the break points that she conceded. The Australian broke her opponent 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ajla conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 46% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | |||
| R1 Birrell |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 81-67 | 81-67 | |
| Total points | 148 | 148 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 40/64 | 40/64 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 30/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 12/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Tomljanovic | |||
| R1 Martic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 118-112 | 118-112 | |
| Total points | 230 | 230 | |
| Winners | 48 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 71/110 | 71/110 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 48/71 | 48/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/39 | 15/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 38% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/14 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 6/13 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 46% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLWWW
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