Daria Kasatkina and Sloane Stephens will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:00 pm on John Cain Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.62
Sloane Stephens -> 2.3
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Sloane Stephens
This will be the 5th time that Daria Kasatkina and Sloane Stephens square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Stephens (see full H2H stats), but Kasatkina has a winning record of 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Stephens won 1-6 6-4 7-5 in the 2nd round in Parma back in 2021.
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-11 | 12-8 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the Russian got to the 2nd round after defeating Peyton Stearns 6-2 3-6 6-2.
In the 1st round, Darya defeated Stearns (6-2 3-6 6-2). During the match, Kasatkina scored 83 points vs Stearns’s 71. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kasatkina managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 69% of her first serves in, winning 73% (35/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Stearns 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Kasatkina has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (322-186). 5-2 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Kasatkina has an overall 140-105 record in the last years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Adelaide.
Darya has a compiled 5-2 win-loss record in 2024, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Sloane Stephens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-12 | 8-8 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-20 | 11-14 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-17 | 13-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-19 | 6-11 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 44, Sloane reached the 2nd round after defeating Olivia Gadecki 6-3 6-1.
In the 1st round, Sloane had a good straight sets win against Gadecki (6-3 6-1). During the match Stephens scored 53 points vs Gadecki’s 30. Sloane was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Stephens wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Sloane Stephens was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (24/32) of her 1st serve and 55% (6/11) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Sloane broke Gadecki 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Stephens has a compiled 2-2 win-loss record in 2024, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2013. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 16 |
| Pts | 83-71 | 53-30 |
| Total Points | 154 | 83 |
| Winners | 35 | 24 |
| %Winners | 42% | 45% |
Both Kasatkina and Stephens played 1 match. At the moment, Daria Kasatkina surrendered 1 set while Sloane Stephens hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kasatkina has played 1 set more than Stephens (3 vs 2). Therefore, Kasatkina played 9 games more than Stephens. The Russian scored 35 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Stephens blasted 24 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 0 |
| 1st in | 48/70 | 32/43 |
| %1st in | 69% | 74% |
| 1st pts | 35/48 | 24/32 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 10/22 | 6/11 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 55% |
Kasatkina scored 2 aces . Stephens didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kasatkina won 73% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Stephens won 75% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 56% | 63% |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 50% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Kasatkina broke her opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Sloane broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Stephens conceded her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | |||
| R1 Stearns |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 83-71 | 83-71 | |
| Total points | 154 | 154 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 48/70 | 48/70 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 35/48 | 35/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/22 | 10/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Stephens | |||
| R1 Gadecki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 53-30 | 53-30 | |
| Total points | 83 | 83 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 32/43 | 32/43 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 24/32 | 24/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLWWWW
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