Felix Auger-Aliassime and Hugo Grenier will square off in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on 1573 Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Felix Auger-Aliassime who should win in 3 sets.
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 1.141
Hugo Grenier -> 5.7
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Prediction and head to head Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Hugo Grenier
There is no head to head record between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Hugo Grenier since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Felix Auger-Aliassime
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 50-25 | 24-10 | 3-6 | 17-5 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-24 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Felix got to the 2nd round after beating Dominic Thiem 6-3 7-5 6-75 5-7 6-3.
In the 1st round, Auger-Aliassime had a tough win against Thiem to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-3 7-5 6-75 5-7 6-3). During the match, Auger-Aliassime scored 182 points vs Thiem’s 164. The Canadian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 75 winners.
Talking about the service games, Auger-Aliassime recorded 16 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Overall, Felix Auger-Aliassime was extremely efficient on serve to win 77% (75/97) of his 1st serve and 58% (40/69) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Auger-Aliassime broke Thiem 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Auger-Aliassime has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (308-179). 1-1 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Auger-Aliassime has an overall 102-74 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Canadian has an overall 1-1 win-loss record in 2024, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Hugo Grenier
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-34 | 30-18 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-33 | 25-15 | 2-8 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-33 | 15-8 | 7-10 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-35 | 21-14 | 9-10 | 1-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-28 | 22-9 | 9-8 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 178, Grenier reached the 2nd round after beating Mark Lajal 6-4 6-2, Maxime Cressy 4-6 6-2 6-3, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 5-7 6-4 7-64 and Alexandre Muller 2-6 7-63 4-6 6-4 7-67.
In the 1st round, Grenier had a tough win against Muller to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (2-6 7-63 4-6 6-4 7-67).During the match Grenier scored less points (5) than Muller. In fact, the world no. 30 won 171 points vs Muller’s. That means that Grenier was more focused during the important points. The French player was quite aggressive to blast 84 winners.
About the serving games, Grenier overwhelmed his opponent with 31 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Hugo Grenier lost the serve 6 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Grenier put 67% of his first serves in, winning 75% (84/112) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (22/55) on the 2nd serve. Hugo broke Muller 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
The French player has a compiled 4-1 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Auger-Aliassime | Grenier |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 55 | 134 |
| Pts | 182-164 | 416-402 |
| Total Points | 346 | 818 |
| Winners | 75 | 212 |
| %Winners | 41% | 51% |
Auger-Aliassime played 1 match while Grenier competed in 4 matches. Grenier started his run from the qualifications while Auger-Aliassime had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Felix Auger-Aliassime lost 2 sets, while Hugo Grenier lost 4 sets. Auger-Aliassime has played 8 set(s) less than Grenier (5 vs 13). Therefore, Auger-Aliassime played 79 games less than Grenier. Felix scored 75 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Hugo recorded 212 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Auger-Aliassime | Grenier |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 60 |
| Avg per match | 16 | 15 |
| 1st in | 97/166 | 276/415 |
| %1st in | 58% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 75/97 | 212/276 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 40/69 | 63/139 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 45% |
Auger-Aliassime made 16 aces . Grenier made 60 aces (15 per match). Auger-Aliassime won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Grenier won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Auger-Aliassime | Grenier |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 14 |
| Converted | 5/13 | 14/32 |
| % Converted | 38% | 44% |
| Conceded | 8 | 32 |
| Saved | 5 | 22 |
| % Saved | 63% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 10 |
Felix broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Felix surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Hugo broke his opponents 14 times with a 44% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Auger-Aliassime | |||
| R1 Thiem | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 6-75 5-7 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 55 | 55 | |
| pts | 182-164 | 182-164 | |
| Total points | 346 | 346 | |
| Winners | 75 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 16 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 97/166 | 97/166 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 75/97 | 75/97 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 40/69 | 40/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Grenier | ||||||
| Q1 Lajal | Q2 Cressy | Q3 Mpetshi | R1 Muller | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | 5-7 6-4 7-64 | 2-6 7-63 4-6 6-4 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 27 | 35 | 54 | 134 | |
| pts | 67-55 | 85-76 | 93-95 | 171-176 | 416-402 | |
| Total points | 122 | 161 | 188 | 347 | 818 | |
| Winners | 33 | 42 | 53 | 84 | 212 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | 57% | 49% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 12 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 60 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 46/69 | 56/84 | 62/95 | 112/167 | 276/415 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 65% | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 33/46 | 42/56 | 53/62 | 84/112 | 212/276 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 75% | 85% | 75% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/23 | 12/28 | 19/33 | 22/55 | 63/139 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | 58% | 40% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/11 | 1/2 | 4/11 | 14/32 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 45% | 50% | 36% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 32 | |
| Saved | 11/12 | 4/6 | 0/1 | 7/13 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 92% | 67% | 0% | 54% | 213% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | |
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