Tommy Paul and Jack Draper will play each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:00 pm on Kia Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.66
Jack Draper -> 2.23
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Jack Draper
This will be the 3rd time that Tommy Paul and Jack Draper face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Draper (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Draper won 6-1 6-4 in the quarter in Adelaide back in January 2024.
Highlights Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul – Adelaide 11-January-2024
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-8 | 10-4 | 8-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, Paul reached the 2nd round after beating Gregoire Barrere 6-2 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, Tommy had a good straight sets win against Barrere (6-2 6-3 6-3). During the match, Paul scored 87 points vs Barrere’s 56. Paul was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paul made 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tommy Paul was pretty effective on serve to win 86% (37/43) of his 1st serve and 67% (18/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tommy broke Barrere 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Paul has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (352-206). 2-1 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Paul has an aggregate 177-102 record in the last years on hard.
Tommy has an aggregate 2-1 win-loss record in 2024, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Jack Draper
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-6 | 13-3 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 55, Jack reached the 2nd round after beating Marcos Giron 6-4 3-6 4-6 6-0 6-2.
In the 1st round, Jack had a tough win against Giron to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-4 3-6 4-6 6-0 6-2). During the match Draper scored 138 points vs Giron’s 123. Jack was quite aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Talking about serving, Draper struck 17 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Jack Draper lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Draper put 54% of his first serves in, winning 71% (52/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (29/61) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Giron 9 times after converting 53% of his break points (9/17).
Jack’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Adelaide.
Jack has a compiled 5-1 win-loss record in 2024, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paul | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 43 |
| Pts | 87-56 | 138-123 |
| Total Points | 143 | 261 |
| Winners | 37 | 52 |
| %Winners | 43% | 38% |
Both Paul and Draper played 1 match. At the moment, Jack Draper lost 2 sets while Tommy Paul hasn’t lost a set so far. Paul has played 2 set(s) less than Draper (3 vs 5). Therefore, Paul played 17 games less than Draper. Paul scored 37 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit struck 52 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paul | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 17 |
| 1st in | 43/70 | 73/134 |
| %1st in | 61% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 37/43 | 52/73 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 18/27 | 29/61 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 48% |
Paul blasted 9 aces . Draper scored 17 aces . Paul won 86% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paul | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 9 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 9/17 |
| % Converted | 71% | 53% |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 |
| Saved | 4 | 5 |
| % Saved | 100% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Tommy broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Paul very solid his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 4 break points. Jack broke his opponent 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paul | |||
| R1 Barrere |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 87-56 | 87-56 | |
| Total points | 143 | 143 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 43/70 | 43/70 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 37/43 | 37/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/27 | 18/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Draper | |||
| R1 Giron |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 4-6 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 43 | 43 | |
| pts | 138-123 | 138-123 | |
| Total points | 261 | 261 | |
| Winners | 52 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 17 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 73/134 | 73/134 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 52/73 | 52/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 29/61 | 29/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 9 | 9 | |
| Converted | 9/17 | 9/17 | |
| Converted % | 53% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/10 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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